Lamar vs Louisiana Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 09/02/2026, 10:01 PM ET
Southern Miss vs. Louisiana prediction

Lamar travels to Lafayette to face Louisiana on Saturday, September 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with ESPN+ carrying the game. The current market has Louisiana favored by approximately 20.5 points, while the total is around 48.5 to 49.5. Lamar already has a game under its belt, giving the Cardinals some live preparation before stepping up to face an FBS opponent. Get into the action with our free college football picks.

Lamar Has Already Been Tested

Lamar has one advantage that shouldn't be completely dismissed: the Cardinals already have actual game experience. They've had an opportunity to identify first-game issues under real conditions while Louisiana will be making its debut.

Lamar is also receiving close to three touchdowns. The Cardinals don't need to win. They need to avoid allowing Louisiana to generate repeated short fields and create four-score separation.

Louisiana Gets Home Field

Louisiana gets the matchup at home and should have the overall depth advantage. The market strongly favors the Ragin' Cajuns to win outright, with Louisiana around a four-figure moneyline favorite.

But the spread has moved. Louisiana opened around -18.5 at some books and has climbed to approximately -20.5. That gives Lamar more value than was available when the market first appeared.

Lamar vs Louisiana Picks and Prediction

Pick: Lamar +20.5

I'm taking Lamar +20.5. Louisiana should win, but Lamar already has one game of preparation and is getting almost three touchdowns. Something around Louisiana 31, Lamar 17 gives the Ragin' Cajuns a comfortable two-touchdown victory while easily cashing the Cardinals. Take Lamar +20.5.

Pick: Under 49.5

At the higher available number, I'll take Under 49.5. Lamar's best route to covering involves shortening the game rather than engaging Louisiana in a shootout. A 31-14 or 31-17 result stays beneath 49.5.

Final Picks: Lamar +20.5 and Under 49.5

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