Liberty Flames vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025
We have an exciting battle of the 1-1 programs taking place in nonconference action for Week 3 of the college football season, as the Liberty Flames will be heading to Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday evening to take on the Bowling Green Falcons in our Flames vs. Falcons prediction. With the game airing on ESPN+, this game is going to be intriguing. The Flames (1-1) are coming off a 34-24 road loss on Saturday against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, while the Falcons (1-1) are coming off a 34-20 road loss against the Cincinnati Bearcats on Saturday. Rivalries, tempo, trenches — NCAAF picks for Liberty Flames vs Bowling Green Falcons.
Flames Looking to Heat Up
The Liberty Flames season has gotten off to a decent start as they are coming off a 34-24 road loss against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in their most recent game. Quarterback Ethan Vasko had a huge game as he completed 19-of-29 passes for 335 passing yards with a pair of touchdowns and an interception. The Flames were also able to run the football extremely well as they averaged 5.4 yards per carry to move the football.
The Gamecocks were able to step up offensively despite not being able to pass the football, going just 6-for-12 passing. Jacksonville State was able to run for 338 yards (5.0 yards per attempt) against Liberty in the game. It is hard to get the defense off the field when they allow 8-for-14 on third-down attempts by the opposing offense.
Injury Report for Liberty
- Wide receiver Tyson Mobley: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Safety Dylan Mullins: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Kaidon Whidby: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Da’Jy’Quwan Jackson: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Braeden Edwards: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Kam Cullins: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman CJ Bazile Jr: Undisclosed (Doubtful)
- Quarterback Ryan Burger: Concussion (OUT)
- Offensive guard Cal Grubbs: Undisclosed (OUT)
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Falcons Looking to Fly
The Bowling Green Falcons struggled in their most recent game as they lost on the road to the Cincinnati Bearcats 34-20. Quarterback Drew Pyne did well as he completed 29-of-36 passes for 274 yards with a passing touchdown.
The rushing game was holding its own as the program was able to average 2.9 yards per carry with a rushing touchdown. Running back Cameron Pettaway led the way in this aspect with 13 carries for 72 yards. Wide receiver Jyrin Johnson stepped up in the passing game with seven catches for 80 yards (11.4 yards per reception) with a touchdown as well.
Bowling Green’s defense did a tough job as they allowed Cincinnati to record 439 total yards throughout the game. Their worst ability was defending against the pass as they gave up 17-of-24 passes for 333 yards and did not record a takeaway.
Injury Report for Bowling Green
- Defensive lineman Dayln White: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Pasean Wimberly: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Ian van der Merwe: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Brendon Rice: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Andrew Hines III: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Martreece Dillard: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Wide receiver Austin Clay: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Chris McMillian: Undisclosed (Questionable)
Liberty Flames vs. Bowling Green Falcons Pick
Spread Pick for Liberty Flames vs. Bowling Green Falcons
- Liberty Flames -6.5 (5 units)
This game opened with a 7.5-point spread, so we are getting a bit of an advantage to not get the hook going against us. Liberty’s offense has looked significantly better than Bowling Green’s has thus far. Ethan Vasko has a 5:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, while Drew Pyne has one passing touchdown in two games this year. The ability to move the chains on third downs shows a gap as the Flames are 18-of-33 (54.55%) on third downs while the Falcons are 11-of-29 (37.93%) on those chances. Go with the Liberty Flames to cover the spread on the road here.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Liberty Flames vs. Bowling Green Falcons
- Under 51.5 (4 units)
The weather is supposed to be rainy at kickoff, meaning it is going to be difficult to pass the football. However, this is just not trusting Bowling Green’s offense to score enough points to reach their implied total. We talked about it in the previous section, btu they are not able to really get much going through the air, and that makes scoring have a significant dropoff. Liberty’s offense should be able ot score, but expecting them to reach 30+ points feels a bit tough as well. All in all, go with under 51.5 total points to score.
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