Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction and Picks - November 22, 2025
Saturday afternoon Big 10 College football action, and we have a Michigan vs Maryland prediction locked and loaded for you. Michigan enters this game at 8-2 on the year and off a hard-fought 24-22 road win over Northwestern. Marland has lost six games in a row to fall to 4-6 on the year and need a win to keep their bowl hopes alive. Making things tougher for Maryland is that the Wolverines have won the last eight games in this series. Read on to see our Michigan vs Maryland prediction.
When it comes to college football selections, our College Football predictions are stellar.
Wolverines Survive Scare From Northwestern
Michigan’s most recent game was a tense 24-22 road win over Northwestern, a contest that highlighted both their strengths and lingering weaknesses. Freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood threw for 280 yards but was intercepted twice, forcing the Wolverines to lean heavily on their ground attack. Running back Jordan Marshall delivered in a big way, rushing for 142 yards and two touchdowns, while wideout Andrew Marsh had a breakout performance with 189 yards on 12 catches. Despite committing five turnovers, Michigan’s defense held firm late and preserved the victory, keeping their playoff hopes intact.
Underwood has shown flashes of brilliance in his first season, throwing for 1,951 yards and seven touchdowns while adding five scores on the ground. Still, the Wolverines’ identity remains firmly tied to their rushing attack. Marshall (871 yards, 10 TDs) and Jaylen Haynes (857 yards, 10 TDs) form one of the most productive backfield duos in the Big Ten, combining for more than 1,700 rushing yards. Michigan averages 223 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th nationally, and their ability to control tempo has masked inconsistencies in the passing game. Marsh has emerged as a reliable target with 565 receiving yards, while Donaven McCulley adds versatility as both a receiver and occasional gadget player.
Defensively, Michigan has been one of the nation’s most consistent units, allowing just 17.7 points per game and ranking 15th in total defense. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, holding opponents to 96.3 yards per game, which forces teams into predictable passing situations. The Wolverines’ formula is clear: lean on Marshall and Haynes to grind out drives, let the defense dictate tempo, and minimize turnovers from Underwood. Against Maryland, Michigan will look to impose its physical style early, wear down the Terps’ front seven, and keep momentum rolling into their season-ending clash with Ohio State.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +750.00 |
| 2 |  Brick Haus Sports | +391.00 |
| 3 |  David Delano | +182.00 |
| 4 |  The Insiders Room | +100.00 |
| 5 |  Terry Edelmann | +100.00 |
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Offense Struggles In Loss To Illinois
Maryland’s last outing was another disappointment, a 24-6 loss to Illinois that extended their losing streak to six games. Quarterback Malik Washington threw for 238 yards but failed to find the end zone, tossing one interception in the process. Running back DeJuan Williams managed just 43 rushing yards, though he added 50 receiving yards, while wideout Shaleak Knotts led the team with 62 yards on four catches. The Terps moved the ball between the 20s but couldn’t finish drives, settling for two field goals and struggling to generate explosive plays.
Washington has been the lone bright spot for Maryland this season, passing for 2,294 yards and 13 touchdowns while rushing for 269 yards and four more scores. His dual-threat ability has kept the Terps competitive at times, but the lack of a consistent run game has been a major issue. Williams leads the team with 409 rushing yards, while Nolan Ray has chipped in 284, yet neither has been able to consistently move the chains. Through the air, Knotts (496 yards, 5 TDs) and Octavian Smith Jr. (438 yards) have been reliable targets, while Kaden Webb has added 229 yards and two scores. Still, Maryland’s offense averages just 23.4 points per game, ranking outside the top 100 nationally, and has struggled to sustain drives against stronger defenses.
Defensively, Maryland has been vulnerable, giving up 392.9 yards and 23.5 points per game. Their biggest weakness has been against the run, allowing 171.8 yards per contest, which is a dangerous matchup against Michigan’s powerful rushing attack. The Terps have been opportunistic, however, forcing 18 takeaways to rank second nationally, and that ability to generate turnovers is their best chance to hang around in this game. For Maryland to compete, Washington must extend plays and avoid mistakes, while the defense needs to create short fields and limit Michigan’s ground dominance. With bowl eligibility slipping away, the Terps enter this matchup with urgency, hoping to snap their skid and spoil Michigan’s playoff push.
Michigan vs Maryland Pick
Michigan vs Maryland Spread Pick
- Maryland +14.5 (2 Units)
Maryland +14.5 has appeal because this matchup falls in a tricky scheduling spot for Michigan. With Ohio State looming the following week, it’s natural to expect the Wolverines to be more conservative, leaning on their run game and defense rather than opening up the playbook. That approach often shortens games and limits possessions, which makes covering a big number more difficult. Maryland, despite their struggles, has a quarterback in Malik Washington who can extend plays and keep drives alive, and the Terps have enough skill talent with Shaleak Knotts and Octavian Smith Jr. to generate points in spurts.
From a betting perspective, these look-ahead situations often create value on the underdog, especially when the favorite is focused on staying healthy and avoiding mistakes before a rivalry showdown. Michigan’s defense is elite, but their offense has been turnover-prone, and Maryland’s opportunistic defense ranks second nationally in takeaways. If the Terps can capitalize on a couple of short fields and Washington avoids costly errors, they have a path to staying within two touchdowns. With Michigan likely managing the game rather than chasing style points, Maryland +14.5 sets up as a live cover.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 | Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 | David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Michigan vs Maryland Over/Under Pick
- Under 47 (3 Units)
The Under 47 makes sense here because Michigan’s identity is built around a run-heavy offense and a defense that ranks top-15 nationally in both total yards and points allowed. They’ll look to control tempo with Jordan Marshall and Jaylen Haynes, grinding out long drives rather than chasing explosive plays, especially with Ohio State on deck. Maryland’s offense has struggled to finish drives, averaging just 23.4 points per game, and their run defense weakness plays directly into Michigan’s style of shortening games. With both teams leaning on the ground and Michigan unlikely to push pace, this matchup sets up for a slower, lower-scoring contest that stays under the number.
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