Morgan State vs Arizona State Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 5 2026

Morgan State travels to Tempe for a massive opening-week challenge against Arizona State on Saturday, September 5. Arizona State is currently favored by 41.5 points, while the total is set at 52.5. The Sun Devils enter as overwhelming favorites, but asking Arizona State to cover almost six touchdowns in a game with a relatively modest total creates an interesting opportunity with the underdog. Get into the action with our free college football picks.

Morgan State Gets More Than 40 Points

Morgan State doesn't have to seriously compete with Arizona State to cash a ticket. The Bears are receiving 41.5 points, meaning even a 41-point defeat produces a cover.

That's especially noteworthy with a total of only 52.5. If Morgan State can produce even seven to 10 points, Arizona State could need to approach or exceed 50 before covering the spread.

Arizona State Should Dominate

Arizona State gets the matchup at home and should own overwhelming advantages in depth and athleticism. The Sun Devils went 7-6 against the spread last season and won five of the seven games in which they were moneyline favorites.

There's little reason to expect Arizona State to have serious difficulty winning this matchup. But covering 41.5 requires the Sun Devils to continue extending the margin long after the competitive portion of the game may be finished.

Morgan State vs Arizona State Picks and Prediction

Pick: Morgan State +41.5

I'm taking Morgan State +41.5. Arizona State should dominate, but the relationship between the enormous spread and 52.5 total makes the underdog appealing. Something around Arizona State 42, Morgan State 7 produces a 35-point blowout while still giving Morgan State more than six points of spread protection. Once a spread climbs above 40 with a total in the low 50s, I'll generally look hard at the dog. Take Morgan State +41.5.

Pick: Under 52.5

The Under 52.5 is my preferred total. Morgan State could have difficulty generating much offense, but that means Arizona State may need to produce almost the entire total itself. A 42-7 or 41-7 result gives the Sun Devils complete control while staying Under. Take Under 52.5.

Final Picks: Morgan State +41.5 and Under 52.5