Murray State vs Middle Tennessee Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 09/02/2026, 06:05 AM ET
Nicholas Vattiato looks to lead Middle Tennessee over Jacksonville State

Murray State travels to Murfreesboro to face Middle Tennessee on Saturday, September 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. The current market has Middle Tennessee favored by approximately 20.5 to 21.5 points, depending on the sportsbook, while the total ranges around 59.5 to 60.5. Get into the action with our free college football picks.

Murray State Gets Three Touchdowns

Murray State is being given roughly three touchdowns against an FBS opponent.

The Racers need to avoid turnovers and find enough offense to prevent Middle Tennessee from creating four-score separation.

With the total around 60, the market expects meaningful scoring opportunities.

Middle Tennessee Should Control the Game

Middle Tennessee gets home field and the depth advantage.

The Blue Raiders are also priced around -1800 or higher on the moneyline at some books, making them overwhelming favorites to win outright.

But laying more than 20 is a different proposition.

Murray State vs Middle Tennessee Picks and Prediction

Pick: Murray State +21.5

If you can get it, I prefer Murray State +21.5. Crossing through 21 is meaningful because a three-touchdown Middle Tennessee victory still cashes the Racers by half a point. Something around Middle Tennessee 38, Murray State 20 gives the favorite a convincing victory without covering.

Pick: Under 60.5

I'll take Under 60.5 at the higher available total. The number is asking for considerable production from Murray State. Middle Tennessee can reach the upper 30s and still leave us room. A 38-20 final produces 58.

Final Picks: Murray State +21.5 and Under 60.5

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