North Texas Mean Green vs. Army Black Knights Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 20, 2025
Get ready for an exciting Week 4 clash as the North Texas Mean Green battle it out with the Army Black Knights in our Mean Green vs. Black Knights prediction. Set to unfold at Michie Stadium on September 20th at 12:00 PM ET, this game, airing on CBSSN, promises an exciting American Conference matchup with two teams entering with high hopes as conference play begins. With these teams looking to step up in this matchup, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights to preview what's in store. Before kickoff: NCAAF predictions for North Texas Mean Green at Army Black Knights in one clean snapshot.
Mean Green Stepping Up
The North Texas Mean Green (3-0, 0-0 American) are getting ready to continue dominating on the offensive side of the ball as they are coming off a 59-10 home win over the Washington State Cougars on Saturday. North Texas’s offense is led by quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who has been able to complete 66-of-94 passes for 764 yards with nine passing touchdowns to begin the season. Their total offense stands at 426.0 yards per game (53rd in NCAA), with rushing accounting for an amazing 159.3 yards (73rd). The passing game has been stepping up compared to the rest of the country, with an average of 266.7 yards per game (36th).
Defensively, North Texas has excelled as they are allowing 232.3 total yards per game (17th), with their pass defense standing out as they are allowing a 93.1 quarterback rating (14th). The opposing offense is not able to throw the football if they are going against the Mean Green.
Injury Report for North Texas
- Running back Kiefer Sibley: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Connor Vaughn: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Jimto Obidegwu: Undisclosed (Questionable)
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Black Knights Looking to Step Up
The Army Black Knights (1-1, 0-0 American) are looking to get off to a hot start this season and they are coming off an impressive 24-21 upset road win over the Kansas State Wildcats on September 6. Quarterback Cale Hellums has been able to step up in different areas as he completed 8-of-15 passes for 45 yards with one touchdown pass while also running 49 times for 161 yards (3.3 yards per attempt) with three rushing touchdowns. As a team, they are ranked 131st nationally in passing yards, averaging 113.0 per game. Army’s total offense, which averages 371.5 yards per game (83rd), has been stepping up to keep the ball moving. The rushing game, contributing 258.5 yards per game (12th nationally), has them in a unique position to continue dominating throughout the beginning stages of the season in their option offense.
The Black Knights’ defense, allowing an average of 295.0 total yards per game (43rd), has been their strength this season. Their pass defense, in particular, has been impressive, conceding only 162.0 yards per game (32nd). Their rush defense, allowing 133.0 yards per game (70th), gives Army a good spot to continue stepping up and winning games.
Injury Report for Army
- Questionable Dewayne Coleman: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Quarterback Ethan Washington: Knee (OUT)
North Texas Mean Green at Army Black Knights Pick
Spread Pick for North Texas vs. Army
- North Texas Mean Green -120 (5 units)
North Texas has been able to step up offensively and should keep the pressure on Army. There is a reason why North Texas is undefeated, as they have allowed 10 total points in their two games ending in regulation. Army is notoriously a run-heavy offense, meaning the Mean Green can load the box and keep being prepared for running plays. North Texas is going to be able to throw the football as they have a strong receiving core so go with the North Texas Mean Green to win here.
Over/Under Pick for North Texas vs. Army
- Under 50.5 (4 units)
The North Texas defense has been stout this season and should be able to continue to do so. Army is a run-heavy offense that will take a lot of time to move the ball down the field to get into scoring position. Army has failed to reach more than 27 points in a game this season and play stellar defense that will limit the amount of time that North Texas will have. The Black Knights have a solid secondary to limit deep passes as well. All in all, go with under 50.5 total points to hit.
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