Ole Miss vs. Georgia Prediction and Picks for Saturday, October 18th, 2025
Use Code SSWC There’s a stacked slate of college football this weekend, and that includes this whale of a top-10 showdown in the SEC between the #5 Ole Miss Rebels (6-0, 3-0 SEC) and the #9 Georgia Bulldogs (5-1, 3-1 SEC). We’ve got you covered with our Ole Miss vs. Georgia prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET from Sanford Stadium in Athens, GA. Looking to win big this football season? We have the best College Football Picks to help you out!
#5 Rebels Stay Perfect at 6-0
This is the sixth season that Coach Lane Kiffin has had control of the Ole Miss Rebels football program, and he’s still looking to get over the hump and make a trip to the College Football Playoff. Perhaps this is the year, as his Rebels are off to a 6-0 start and priced at -150 to make the CFP. So far, Ole Miss has collected notable wins against Kentucky (30-23), Arkansas (41-35), Tulane (45-10), and #4 LSU (24-19). Their 3-0 SEC record has them atop the conference standings.
In terms of personnel, it’s junior QB Trinidad Chambliss leading the offense this year. He has accumulated 1,286 passing yards on a 65.4% completion rate, adding seven touchdowns and one interception. This will be his first road test since he took over for injured starter Austin Simmons, who was injured against Kentucky in Week 2. Chambliss also has 281 rushing yards and three touchdowns, but it’s RB Kewan Lacy who leads the rushing attack with 587 yards and eight touchdowns on 126 totes (4.7 YPC). Out wide, WR Harrison Wallace III (361 yards, 2 TD) and TE Dae’Quan Wright (359 yards, 3 TD) have emerged as the top targets.
- Offensively, the Rebels are scoring 37.8 points per game (12th), while averaging 517.0 yards per week (third).
- Defensively, they are 24th in the country this year, conceding 19.2 points per game. They’re allowing 338.0 yards per contest, which is 34th.
#9 Bulldogs Sneak Past Tigers
Meanwhile, Coach Kirby Smart and his Georgia Bulldogs are out to a solid 5-1 start this season, with their lone loss coming at home against #21 Alabama (24-21) back on September 27th. They also barely escaped with a 44-41 overtime win against #15 Tennessee two weeks earlier. Georgia’s other conference wins are against Kentucky (35-14) and Auburn (20-10), more recently. Personally, this Bulldogs team just doesn’t look as dominant and refined as we’ve seen some of the Coach Smart-led squads in the past. Nonetheless, they’re 5-1 and now priced at -200 to make a return trip to the CFP.
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With QB Carson Beck making the transfer to Miami, it has paved the way for QB Gunner Stockton to take the wheel of the Georgia offense. He has thrown for 1,264 yards on a 68.0% completion rate, adding six touchdowns and one pick. He also has six rushing touchdowns, which is tied for fourth-most in the SEC. WRs Colbie Young (300 yards, 1 TD) and Zachariah Branch (291 yards, 2 TD) have been the top performers out wide. As for the rushing attack, RB Chauncey Bowens leads the way with 315 yards and four touchdowns on 60 carries (5.3 YPC).
- Georgia’s offense has been excellent this season, ranking 29th in scoring (33.0 PPG), while putting up 414.2 yards per game (42nd).
- On the defensive side, the Bulldogs are 25th this season, allowing 19.2 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re 29th, conceding 329.8 yards per contest.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Pick
Spread Pick for Ole Miss vs. Georgia
- Ole Miss Rebels +7.5 (-110) (5 units)
As I mentioned above in the Georgia Bulldogs section, this Kirby Smart-led group doesn’t seem as polished as teams that we’ve seen in previous years. They're just not as dominant, which is exemplified by a home loss to Alabama (24-21), and barely escaping with road wins over Tennessee (44-41) and Auburn (20-10).
Meanwhile, Ole Miss has passed every test thus far, and they appear to be the real deal in my opinion. This isn’t a typical run-and-gun, barnburning Lane Kiffin squad. These guys actually play defense, and I think that their defense will find enough success to keep this game inside the number. Honestly, I won’t be surprised if Ole Miss pulls off the outright upset. This feels like a spread that should be more in the UGA -3.5 or -4.0 range, so with that being said, I’ll gladly take more than a touchdown’s worth of points with QB Trinidad Chambliss & Co.
Over/Under Pick for Ole Miss vs. Georgia
- Under 54.5 (-110) (5 units)
As I mentioned, this Ole Miss defense is legit. Actually, both defenses have been excellent this year, each allowing only 19.2 points per game against FBS-level opposition. Both defenses are inside the top 30 in red-zone defense as well.
I still have my concerns about each of these starting quarterbacks. Specifically, Gunner Stockton hasn’t really impressed so far. This will be another big step up in competition, and I’m willing to bet against him in this spot. Ole Miss has been an “under machine,” going 13-5 to the under in their last 18 games. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between the schools.
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