Robert Morris vs Buffalo Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 26 2026

The Robert Morris Colonials travel to Broadview Stadium in Buffalo, New York, to face the Buffalo Bulls on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET with coverage on ESPN+, and Buffalo will be celebrating Homecoming and Family Weekend. Robert Morris enters at 2-1 following an open week, while Buffalo is 1-2 after consecutive road losses to FIU and Penn State. These programs have met only once previously, with Buffalo winning 38-10 in 2019. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college football picks for more NCAAF predictions throughout the season.

Robert Morris Gets Another Chance Against the FBS

Robert Morris opened its season impressively with a 28-7 victory at Wagner and followed that with a 29-9 home win over West Virginia State. The Colonials then received a much more difficult test at Akron and lost 45-10. They enter this matchup at 2-1 after having a week without a game, giving them additional preparation time for their second MAC opponent of the season.

The Akron result provides the most relevant comparison because it demonstrated the difficulty Robert Morris can experience when moving up against FBS competition. After allowing only 16 combined points in its opening two victories, Robert Morris surrendered 45 against Akron. Buffalo therefore has a blueprint for attacking the Colonials with superior depth and physicality.

The counterargument is preparation time. Robert Morris has had two weeks to correct the issues exposed by Akron, while Buffalo has been dealing with consecutive road games, including a demanding trip to Penn State. The Colonials should be fresher, and that becomes meaningful if the point spread grows into the high teens.

Buffalo Returns Home After a Difficult Road Stretch

Buffalo started its season with a 21-17 home victory over Albany before dropping consecutive road games. The Bulls lost 33-20 at FIU and then stepped up significantly in competition against No. 14 Penn State, losing 55-13. Buffalo therefore enters Homecoming at 1-2 with an excellent opportunity to reset against an FCS opponent.

The schedule context favors Buffalo considerably. The Bulls have already experienced the speed and physicality of Penn State, and now they return home against a Robert Morris team that lost by 35 points to Akron. Buffalo also has historical evidence from the only previous meeting, when the Bulls defeated Robert Morris 38-10 in 2019.

The question for bettors is how much of that advantage will already be incorporated into the spread. Buffalo has not yet demonstrated the offensive consistency required to comfortably lay an enormous number. The Bulls scored 21 against Albany, 20 against FIU and 13 against Penn State. Buffalo should control this game, but asking it to win by three touchdowns would require a level of offensive separation it has not consistently shown.

Robert Morris vs Buffalo Picks and Prediction

Pick: Robert Morris +18.5 or Better

Buffalo is the more likely straight-up winner, but Robert Morris becomes attractive if the number approaches three touchdowns. The Colonials have had an extra week to prepare and opened the season with two convincing victories before running into Akron. Buffalo has scored 54 total points through three games, so laying a massive number requires considerable faith in an offensive breakout. Take Robert Morris if +18.5 or better becomes available.

Pick: Under 51.5 or Higher

Buffalo’s most logical approach is to use its FBS size advantage, control possession and avoid giving Robert Morris opportunities through turnovers. The Bulls have scored 21, 20 and 13 points in their three games, while Robert Morris managed only 10 in its first matchup against an FBS opponent. That combination makes the under appealing if the market posts 51.5 or higher.

Final Picks: Robert Morris +18.5 or Better and Under 51.5 or Higher