San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code SSWC Get ready for some Week 7 Mountain West Conference gameplay as the San Diego State Aztecs prepare to battle against the Nevada Wolf Pack in our Aztecs vs. Wolf Pack prediction. These teams will meet up at Mackay Stadium on October 11th at 10:30 PM ET, This game, airing on CBSSN has two teams playing at completely different levels as San Diego State is 4-1 (1-0 MWC) while Nevada is 1-4 (0-1). With these teams on opposite streaks entering this game, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights to preview what's in store. Rivalries, tempo, trenches — NCAAF picks for San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack.
Aztecs Ready to Battle
The San Diego State Aztecs are looking to sustain their winning streak as they are coming off a 45-24 home win over the Colorado State Rams last Friday. They are currently 59th in the NCAA with 30.8 points per game scored. San Diego State’s offense is being led by quarterback Jayden Denegal, who has been able to complete 69-of-109 (63.3%) passes for 892 yards with five passing touchdowns and two interceptions as he continues to impress. Running back Lucky Sutton has been able to run the football at an amazing level to complement the passing game as he has 88 rushing attempts for 450 yards (5.1 yards per carry) and five rushing touchdowns.
Their total offense stands at 361.2 yards per game (89th in NCAA), with the rushing attack able to get 175.4 yards (52nd). The passing game has been unable to get much going though with an average of 185.8 yards per game (106th).
Defensively, the Aztecs are giving up 12.6 points per game right now, which is 10th in the country. The team has stepped up as they are allowing 260.8 total yards per game (13th), with their ability to force incompletions as a massive step in the right direction with a 51.9 completion percentage against (fifth).
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Injury Report for San Diego State
- Wide receiver De’Yhare Overstreet-Glover: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Mason Baker: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Kodi Cornelius: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Dallas Fincher: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback Xavier Hamlett: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Etene Pritchard: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback Jelani Whitmore: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Michael Leville Watkins: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Wide receiver Ben Scolari: Knee (OUT)
Wolf Pack Looking to Escape the Loss Column
The Nevada Wolf Pack are looking to get going as they are on a three-game losing streak after coming off a 20-17 road loss against the Fresno State Bulldogs last week. Their offense has been unable to get much of anything going as they are scoring only 17.8 points per game this year, placing them 128th in the NCAA.
Quarterback Carter Jones appears to be the starting quarterback after replacing a struggling Chubba Purdy, as he has completed 11-of-16 passes for 121 yards with two touchdown passes to one interception in two games. He came in during the second half against Fresno State, and nearly led the Wolf Pack to victory af they were down 20-3 at the half.
As a team, they are struggling a bit to move the ball as they are ranked 120th nationally in total yards, averaging 320.6 per game. The Wolf Pack’s passing offense, which averages 143.4 yards per game, places them tied for 128th in college football. The rushing game, contributing 177.2 yards per game (50th nationally), has been able to keep drives alive.
The Nevada defense is currently 83rd in the sport with 25.6 points allowed per game. They are also allowing way too much offense against them as they are 73rd with 373.0 total yards per game. Their pass defense has been unable to limit big passing plays as the Wolf Pack are 51st in the NCAA, as they are giving up 10.8 yards per completion.
Injury Report for Nevada
- Wide receiver Jordan Brown: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Wide receiver Marquis Ashley: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Nahji Logan: Undisclosed (Questionable)
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Pick
Spread Pick for San Diego State vs. Nevada
- San Diego State Aztecs -7.5 (5 units)
There is no reason to have much faith in the Nevada Wolf Pack right now as if they decide to send Chubba Purdy in and not replace him this week with Jones. He has a 1:8 touchdown-to-interception ratio and has not won a game as a starting quarterback in his career. Jones is talented but just a freshman. San Diego State has looked like a solid offensive team throughout the first handful of weeks this season, so they should be in the driver’s seat as they look to continue blowing teams out. Nevada has to show some consistency before the automatic fade is gone, so go with the San Diego State Aztecs to cover the spread on the road.
Over/Under Pick for San Diego State vs. Nevada
- Under 42.5 (4 units)
The Nevada Wolf Pack have failed to score too many points over the course of the season, as they have failed to score more than 20 points in a game this season. The offense for Nevada seems to be way too ineffective to believe in them. For San Diego State, they have been a mediocre offense moving the football, and both teams get to the quarterback relatively well to force negative plays. This total is not crazy, so I would suggest waiting closer to kickoff and hoping this gets closer to 44, but all in all, go with under 42.5 total points to be hit here.
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
