San Jose State vs. Utah State Picks and Prediction, Friday, October 17, 2025
Use Code SSWC In a Mountain West Conference clash between two teams that are 1-1 in conference play, Utah State (3-3) plays host to Utah State (2-4). Utah State has lost two games in a row, while SJSU is coming off a loss after their first MWC win of the season. Right here in this San Jose State vs. Utah State prediction, you can check out the full score info and other free NCAAF picks.
The Aggies are a 3-point home favorite with the total sitting at 65 points.
San Jose State Can’t Corral the Cowboys
In their last game, San Jose State was on the road in a 35-28 loss to the Wyoming Cowboys, where they were outscored 21-0 in the fourth quarter. They lost despite forcing three turnovers and committing two, and in the loss, they were outgained 413 yards to 383 yards and they only rushed for 43 yards. Walker Eget passed for 295 yards with four TD and no picks and Danny Scudero had a big game with 180 receiving yards and four TD. The Spartans failed to cover as a 1.5-point favorite after covering the spread in their previous two games.
- While ranking ninth in the nation in passing yards per game, they only rank 99th in points per game and tied for 104th in points allowed per game.
- Eget (,1816 yards 13 TD 3 INT) has 10 TD and no INT in the last two games but SJSU has lost two of them.
- Scudero (845 yards 8 TD) leads the FBS in receiving yards in the last three games, has at least 135 yards and has totaled seven TD.
- San Jose State will face a Utah State defense that only ranked 126th against the pass and 114th against the run.
No Love in the Islands for Utah State
In their last game, Utah State was on the road in a 44-26 loss to Hawaii. They gave up two turnovers and were outgained 546 yards to 435 yards and gave up over 410 passing yards. Bryson Barnes passed for 175 yards with a TD and an INT in the loss, Miles Davis rushed for 102 yards with a TD, and Braden Pegan led the way with 84 receiving yards. Utah State had won eight straight games, facing Hawaii by an average of 26.4 ppg. The Aggies failed to cover as a 4-point underdog and they have not covered in their last two games after doing so in three in a row.
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- Utah State has a balanced offense that ranks tied for 38th in the nation in scoring, but only ranks 125th in points against per game.
- Barnes (1,318 yards 12 TD 2 INT) had six TD and only one pick before a TD and an INT in the last game.
- Miles Davis (416 yards 3 TD) has rushed for over 100 yards in two of the last three games.
- The Aggies will be up against a SanJose State defense that ranks 133rd in the nation against the pass and 34th against the run.
San Jose State vs. Utah State Pick
Spread Pick for San Jose State vs. Utah State
- San Jose State +3 (+4 Units)
San Jose State has lost two of their last three games and Utah State has lost two in a row. These teams did not face each other last season and each is 1-1 in MWC play. While the Spartans have the better offense, they have been gutted on D, as have the Aggies, who gave up nearly 550 yards in their last game. Utah State has the more balanced offense, while SJSU is led by their aerial attack. In terms of the San Jose State vs. Utah State prediction, the Spartans will get it done through the air, and they may not win in what will be a close game; they will cover.
Over/Under Pick for UL San Jose State vs. Utah State
- Over 44 (4 units)
Both of these teams have legit offense but have struggled mightily on the defense side o the ball. Neither team can stop the pass and that falls into the hands of the Spartans, who have one of the better passing offenses in the nation. Both teams will move up and down the field with ease in a game that will be a barnburner. So, this MWC affair will definitely be a high-scoring game, so the Over is the pick.
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