South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State Panthers Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 23, 2025
Get ready for some Week 9 Sun Belt Conference action as the South Alabama Jaguars face off against the Georgia State Panthers in our Jaguars vs. Panthers prediction. Set to unfold at Center Parc Stadium on October 23rd at 7:30 PM ET, this game, airing on ESPN2, promises to be an intriguing matchup with two teams struggling throughout the year. South Alabama is 1-6 (0-3 Sun Belt) while Georgia State is also 1-6 (0-3). With these teams on losing streaks heading into this game, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights for this matchup. College gridiron clarity — NCAAF picks for South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State Panthers with key matchups.
Jaguars Looking to Snap Their Losing Streak
The South Alabama Jaguars are looking to figure out how to get on the winning side of things as they are on a six-game losing streak after coming off a 15-14 home loss against the Arkansas State Red Wolves last week. Their offense has been struggling as they are scoring 23.4 points per game this year, placing them 96th in the NCAA. Quarterback Bishop Davenport has been stepping up a bit this season as he has completed 114-of-172 passes (66.3%) for 1,181 yards with nine touchdown passes to four interceptions as well as 68 carries for 176 yards (2.6 yards per attempt) with three rushing touchdowns thus far. He was 18 for 23 against Arkansas State, but threw for just 118 yards with no TDs.
As a team, they are moving the ball at a relatively slow pace as they are ranked 83rd in the country in total yards, averaging 368.0 per game. South Alabama’s passing offense, which averages 169.4 yards per game, places them at 118th in the sport. The rushing game, contributing 198.6 yards per game (30th nationally), has been what has significantly gotten the offense going thus far.
The Jaguars' defense is currently tied for 103rd in the sport with 29.3 points allowed per game. They are limiting the amount of yardage as they are 67th in the country with 370.4 total yards per game. With the defense able to dominate against the pass, they are in a great position to improve in the second half of the season.
Injury Report for South Alabama
- Tight end Trent Thomas: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Nate Forystek: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Safety Kohl Bradley: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Brayden Ramey: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Asher Hale: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Kicker Davis Little: Undisclosed (Questionable)
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Panthers Needing to Figure Things Out
The Georgia State Panthers are looking to get back on track as they are on a four-game losing streak after a 41-24 road loss against the Georgia Southern Eagles last week. They haven't won a game since beating FCS Murray State 37-21 on Sept. 13. They are currently 123rd in the NCAA with 18.9 points per game scored. The Panthers’ offense is being led by quarterback Cameran Brown and he has been able to complete 86-of-128 (67.2%) passes for 882 yards with eight passing touchdowns without any interceptions, while adding 38 rushing attempts for 208 yards (5.5 yards per carry) with three rushing touchdowns to add. He threw for 280 yards with a TD and rushed for 120 yards and a score in the Panthers' last game against Georgia Southern. Wide receiver Ted Hurst is helping out in the passing game with his production as he has 42 catches for 579 yards (13.8 yards per reception) with three touchdown receptions on the year.
Their total offense stands at 352.4 yards per game (103rd in NCAA), with the rushing attack able to get 102.4 yards (128th). The passing game has been the significantly better part of the offense with an average of 250.0 yards per game (51st).
Defensively, Georgia State is giving up 41.1 points per game right now, which is 136th in college football. The team has been unable to get stops as they are allowing 450.4 total yards per game (128th), with their inability to stop the pass as they are allowing a 64.4 completion percentage (102nd). If they can improve defensively, they will be in a better spot overall.
Injury Report for Georgia State
- Tight end Wesley Campbell VI: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Ladainnian Martin: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Camden Overton-Howard: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back D’Jay Braswell: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive end Sir Mells: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback Isaiah Dunson: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Damaine Wilson: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Safety Derrick Maxey III: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive tackle Dorian Royal: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive tackle Jeremiah McCrimmon: Undisclosed (Questionable)
South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State Panthers Pick
Spread Pick for South Alabama vs. Georgia State
- South Alabama Jaguars -6.5 (5 units)
The South Alabama Jaguars are struggling, but they are clearly the better team overall. They have the advantage as they have not played since the 14th, while the Panthers played on the 18th, meaning the Panthers are going to be playing two games in six days. There has been a major difference in terms of the ability to run the football this season, as South Alabama is averaging 4.6 yards per rushing attempt with 12 rushing touchdowns, while Georgia State is running for 3.7 yards per carry with five rushing touchdowns thus far. The Panthers are the worst statistical defense in college football thus far, so it is going to be difficult to believe in them to keep this game close. Neither team has been able to cover the spread too well as the Panthers are just 1-6 ATS so far, so go with the South Alabama Jaguars to cover the spread on the road here.
Over/Under Pick for South Alabama vs. Georgia State
- Under 56.5 (4 units)
When diving in the last few games before this matchup, these offenses are struggling as South Alabama is averaging 20.0 points in their last four games, while Georgia State is scoring 17.0 points in their previous three games. Neither program has been able to do too well when diving into the turnover ratio, as the Jags have a neutral 0 ratio while the Panthers are sitting with a -5 turnover ratio, meaning these teams are going to struggle to keep possession. All in all, go with under 56.5 total points in this game as the better bet.
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