Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame Prediction and Picks - Saturday, September 13, 2025
The No. 8 Fighting Irish play in front of their fans for the first time this year in Week 3 as No. 16 Texas A&M comes to town. You can get the inside track with our Texas A&M Aggies vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction and picks. This game kicks off Saturday at 7:30pm ET at Notre Dame Stadium. The Aggies will be out to set the record straight after going down 23-13 to Notre Dame in 2024 in College Station.
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Aggies face huge test
No. 16-ranked Texas A&M (2-0) has shown plenty of dazzle early on with the ball but there is still plenty left to be desired on defense. The Aggies opened the year by beating UTSA 42-24 and followed that up with a 44-22 win over Utah State, giving up three touchdowns in both of those games - admittedly, Utah State's last score was against a backfield largely comprised of second and third-stringers with the game already in the bag. The Aggies at least showed an improvement against the running game after a horror show in Week 1 where they gave up 203 rushing yards and two TDs to running back Robert Henry Jr., coming back to hold Utah State to 77 yards while picking up nine tackles for loss.
On the offensive side Marcel Reed is already humming. The redshirt sophomore has already connected for seven passing TDs in his first two games, completing 44-62 attempts for a total of 502 yards through the air. The Fighting Irish will of course, present a whole different challenge for the 21-year-old as he faces one of the best pass defense units in all of college football. The Aggies looked more fluid on the ground against Utah State too, after a slow start to the season, picking up a respectable 235 rushing yards - while Le'Veon Moss, who was eased back into the team after last year's injury, ran 68 yards on 10 carries and scored his first TD of 2025.
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Notre Dame hurting after loss
No. 8-ranked Notre Dame (0-1) came unstuck in tough conditions to begin its 2025 schedule, going down on a wet, sweltering Monday night to Miami in a thrilling game on August 31. The Fighting Irish came back from 14 points down going into the fourth quarter to tie at 24-24, only to see the Hurricanes have the last word with a late field goal that sealed the game. It was a less-than-ideal start for a team looking to replicate last year's journey all the way to the College Football Playoff National Championship, where Notre Dame was overpowered by Ohio State; now, the Fighting Irish have almost zero margin for error, looking forward to the rest of the season, making Saturday's game a must-win.
Despite the loss, there was plenty to like from C.J Carr in what amounted to a baptism of fire for the young QB. The redshirt freshman, starting his first-ever college game, completed 19-30 attempts for 221 yards, two TDs and one INT. He is still raw and finding his feet, though, and will be exposed if the running game fails to show up, as we saw against Miami, as Notre Dame averaged just 3.3 yards per carry and 93 total rushing yards. Defensively, Notre Dame looked as solid as ever, restricting Miami to 324 total yards and 5-14 third-down conversions.
Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame pick
Spread Pick for Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame
- Notre Dame -6.5 (5 units)
The Fighting Irish took this matchup comfortably in College Station last year and I can't see Texas A&M getting any closer when it travels to Indiana. The Aggies' questionable rush defense should take some of the pressure off Carr as Notre Dame return to usual business in much more amenable conditions: last year the team averaged 200.9 yards per game on the ground, with Jeremiyah Love leading the way by picking up 1125 yards and 17 rushing TDs. Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games. The Aggies are 0-13 in their last 13 games on the road against ranked opponents and are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against non-conference opposition. It also helps that the Irish are coming off an early bye week and Texas A&M played last week.
Take the Fighting Irish.
Over/Under Pick for Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame
- Under 49.5 (5 units)
While the points were flowing in Notre Dame's season opener, I don't see that happening again in South Bend. Last year the Fighting Irish allowed 20 points or more in just four of their 16 games, and only twice against an opponent ranked outside of the AP's top six. The program ranked fourth in college football in 2024 by allowing an average of 169.4 passing yards per game, while its mark of 15.5 points allowed per game was the third best in the country. The Aggies went 2-3 on the over last year against non-conference opponents.
Take the under.
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