Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 18, 2025
Use Code SSWC Get ready for some Week 8 Sun Belt Conference action as the Texas State Bobcats face off against the Marshall Thundering Herd in our Bobcats vs. Thundering Herd prediction. Set to unfold at Joan C. Edwards Stadium on October 18th at 3:30 PM ET, this game, airing on ESPN+, promises an intriguing matchup with two teams posting similar records this season. Texas State is 3-3 (0-2 Sun Belt) while Marshall is 3-3 (1-1). With these teams fighting in the standings heading into this game, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights for this matchup. Rivalries, tempo, trenches — NCAAF picks for Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd.
Bobcats Looking to Get Going
The Texas State Bobcats are looking to turn the corner as they are coming off a 48-41 overtime home loss against the Troy Trojans on Saturday. They are currently 36th in college football with 36.0 points per game scored. Their offense is being led by quarterback Brad Jackson, has been able to complete 105-of-150 (70.0%) of his passes for 1,342 yards with seven passing touchdowns and one interception, while adding 71 rushes for 336 yards (4.7 yards per carry) with seven rushing touchdowns to add. Running back Lincoln Pare is helping to open up the playbook with his production as he has 104 carries for 581 yards (5.6 yards per attempt) with eight rushing touchdowns, while also having 12 grabs for 121 yards (10.1 yards per catch) without any receiving touchdowns. Their total offense stands at 476.2 yards per game (14th in NCAA), with the rushing attack able to get 250.2 yards (seventh). The passing game has been able to get going with an average of 226.0 yards per game (73rd).
Defensively, the Bobcats are giving up 29.8 points per game right now, which is 114th in the country. The team has been awful as they are allowing 394.7 total yards per game (102nd), with their inability to stop the run as they are giving up 4.4 yards per rushing attempt (92nd).
Injury Report for Texas State
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- Tight end Blake Smith: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Torrance Burgess Jr: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback Trez Moore: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Safety Will Mitchell II: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Ian Langford: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Charlie Leota: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Tellek Lockette: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive end Jo’Laison Landry: Undisclosed (OUT)
Thundering Herd Rolling
The Marshall Thundering Herd are looking to expand on their hot stretch after coming off a 48-24 home win over ODU on Saturday. Their offense has been stepping up as they are scoring 34.3 points per game this year, placing them 40th in FBS. Quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson is playing at an amazing level as he has completed 68-of-89 passes (76.4%) for 856 yards with 11 touchdown passes without any interceptions, as well as 67 rushes for 259 yards (3.9 yards per run) with four rushing touchdowns. As a team, they are moving the ball at a good rate as they are ranked 77th nationally in total yards, averaging 375.7 per game. The Thundering Herd’s passing offense, which averages 177.8 yards per game, places them at 114th in the sport. The rushing game, contributing 197.8 yards per game (32nd nationally), has forced the defense to significantly focus on this part of the game.
The Marshall defense is currently 115th in the sport with 29i points allowed per game. They are also allowing too much offense against them as they are 96th with 389.6 total yards per game. Their pass defense has been brutal as they allowed the opposing quarterback to average a massive 15.4 yards per completion, which is 134th.
Injury Report for Marshall
- Running back Jo’Shon Barbie: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive guard Morgan Scott: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Jalen Marshall: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Rashawn Carr: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Jalen Marshall: Undisclosed (Questionable)
Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Pick
Spread Pick for Texas State vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
- Texas State Bobcats -150 (4 units)
The Marshall Thundering Herd look like the better offense when looking at the individual player statistics, but Texas State has been able to play at a better level overall. The Bobcats can add more of a running game to their offense as Lincoln Pare has been able to punch the ball into the end zone and make the offense more dynamic. Marshall has an excellent quarterback who has been superb, but the lack of a balanced attack, specifically in the red zone, makes them a bit one-dimensional. The defenses have been too similar this season as well, so go with the Bobcats to win on the road.
Over/Under Pick for Texas State vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
- Under 67.5 (5 units)
This is just way too many points to expect out of Texas State and Marshall in this game. Marshall has been unable to extend drives on third downs, which is 29-of-87 (33.3%), and that is a killer here. Just a couple of drives that do not result in touchdowns can kill our chances for 68+ points to be scored and that alone is the reason why under 67.5 total points is the better and more logical play here.
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