Texas vs Oklahoma Picks and Prediction for Saturday October 10, 2026
One of college football's biggest rivalries will take center stage Saturday afternoon when the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners meet at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas. Kickoff for the annual Red River Rivalry is scheduled for 3:30 PM with national television coverage on ABC. Texas enters the weekend ranked No. 1 in the country and will look to remain at the top of the national rankings with another important SEC victory. The Longhorns have a chance to continue their strong season against one of their biggest rivals. Oklahoma will attempt to pull off the upset and make a statement in conference play. The Sooners will need a complete performance to get past the nation's top-ranked team. Texas is listed as a 7.5-point favorite, with the total set at 39.5 points. The Longhorns are -310 on the money line, while Oklahoma comes in at +250. Stay in the action with our College Football Picks.
Texas looks to stay atop the polls
Arch Manning leads the Texas offense this season with 862 passing yards and seven touchdowns on 73 completions, along with 82 rushing yards on 32 carries. Hollywood Smothers leads the Longhorns rushing attack with 198 yards and two touchdowns on 41 carries. Raleek Brown has added 196 yards and four touchdowns on 48 carries, while Derrek Cooper has chipped in 57 yards and one score on 20 carries. Ryan Wingo leads all Texas receivers with 239 yards and two touchdowns on 19 catches. Cam Coleman has added 208 yards and four touchdowns on 12 receptions, while Emmett Mosley V has contributed 173 yards on 12 catches.
Offensively, Texas did just enough a week ago, scoring 20 points after 10 in each half on 262 total yards. Defensively, Texas did just enough, allowing 17 points on 221 total yards. Arch Manning led the way for the Texas offense a week ago, completing 14 passes for 201 yards. Raleek Brown carried the Texas offense with 67 yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries. Ryan Wingo was the top receiver on the roster with 74 yards on 6 receptions.
Oklahoma goes for the rivalry upset
John Mateer leads the Oklahoma offense this season with 883 passing yards and eight touchdowns on 72 completions, along with 76 rushing yards on 41 carries. Lloyd Avant leads the Sooners rushing attack with 164 yards and one touchdown on 42 carries. Xavier Robinson has added 50 yards on 13 carries, while Jonathan Hatton Jr. has chipped in 43 yards on 14 carries. Isaiah Sategna III leads all Oklahoma receivers with 267 yards and two touchdowns on 20 catches.
The Oklahoma Sooners were severely outmatched a week ago, giving up 41 points as Georgia compiled 306 total yards. Offensively, Oklahoma did move the ball well, scoring 13 points on 296 total yards, but turned the ball over 4 times in the game. John Mateer led the way for the Oklahoma offense a week ago, completing 25 passes for 231 yards and two scores in the game. Lloyd Avant led the way on the ground for Oklahoma with 23 yards on 10 carries. Rocky Beers led the team with 84 yards and one touchdown on 8 receptions.
Texas vs Oklahoma Picks and Prediction
Pick: Texas Longhorns -7.5 (-105)
Texas has been one of the most impressive teams in college football this season and will have an opportunity to continue that success against Oklahoma. The Sooners will be motivated to knock off their biggest rival, but the Longhorns have enough talent to control the game on both sides of the football. Texas will need to establish its offense early and avoid allowing Oklahoma to create momentum through turnovers or big plays. The Sooners should be competitive defensively and could make things difficult for stretches of the game. However, Texas has the overall balance and defensive talent to limit Oklahoma's offensive production. The Longhorns should be able to make the necessary plays and come away with another important victory.
Pick: Under 39.5 (-115)
Defense could play a major role Saturday afternoon when Texas and Oklahoma renew their rivalry in Dallas. Both teams understand the importance of this matchup, and neither side will want to make costly mistakes that lead to easy scoring opportunities. Texas should rely on its defense to keep Oklahoma from consistently moving the football, while the Sooners will need to find ways to slow down the Longhorns' offense. Field position and turnovers could have a significant impact on the outcome, especially if neither team establishes an early offensive rhythm. Expect both defenses to create problems and force several punts throughout the game. Look for a physical rivalry matchup with the scoring staying below the total.