Tulsa vs New Mexico State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 6, 2025
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-0) are looking to build a winning streak to start the season as they are coming off a 35-7 home win over the Abilene Christian Wildcats on Saturday. Sophomore quarterback Kirk Francis had a solid game as he completed 20-of-31 of his passes for 218 yards with two passing touchdowns.
The New Mexico State Aggies (1-0) are looking to build off their opening week victory at home against the Bryant Bulldogs, 19-,3 on Saturday. Senior quarterback Logan Fife struggled as he completed 17-of-31 passes for 227 yards with a passing touchdown and an interception.
Your Saturday scout: NCAAF predictions for Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs New Mexico State Aggies you can trust.
Golden Hurricane Ready to Attack
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane wound up winning the opening game of the season 35-7 at home against the Abilene Christian Wildcats last week. The offense was able to move the football as they were 8-for-19 on third downs and recorded 25 first downs as a team. They were also able to run the ball at an incredible rate, averaging 6.9 yards per rushing attempt.
The defense stepped up as they gave up seven points on 260 total yards (140 passing, 120 rushing) in the game. The defense was able to force a turnover in the game and considerably controlled things on third down, limiting the Wildcats to 5-for-19 on third down attempts.
Tulsa’s offense has stepped up as they are tied for 48th in college football with 35.0 points per game. Their defense is stepping up early on as their 7.0 points per game allowed ranks tied for 20th in the nation.
Injury Report for Tulsa
- Wide receiver Jeremiah Ballard: Knee (Questionable)
- Linebacker Chris Thompson Jr: Ankle (Questionable)
- Running back Sevion Morrison: Undisclosed (OUT)
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Aggies Ready to Continue Playing Well
The New Mexico State Aggies are looking to continue their excellence from their last game as they won at home against the Bryant Bulldogs 19-3. The offense could not manage to get much going as the team was 4-for-16 on third downs and averaged 2.4 yards per carry.
The defense looked incredible as they held Bryant to three points on 255 total yards of offense (187 passing, 68 rushing). The team was able to get stops on the money downs as the Bulldogs were 6-for-18 on third down and 0-for-2 on fourth. They also completely made things difficult as Bryant ran for 1.9 yards per try.
The New Mexico State Aggies have been unable to score points consistently as they are tied for 92nd in the nation with 19.0 points per game. Their defense has been phenomenal as they are giving up only 3.0 points per game, which is tied for 11th in college football.
Injury Report for New Mexico State
- Running back Tyler Martinez: Hand (OUT)
Tulsa vs. New Mexico State Pick
Spread Pick for Tulsa vs. New Mexico State
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4.5 (4 units)
This game is expected to be close, but the Tulsa Golden Hurricane should have the advantage.This is the 20th all-time matchup and Tulsa is 15-4, so history is on our side as well. Kirk Francis was the more effective quarterback in Week 1 and should be able to dominate. Expect the Tulsa Golden Hurricane to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Tulsa vs. New Mexico State
- UNDER 52.5 (5 units)
These defenses were excellent in Week 1 and while expecting them to perform at these levels, the under feels like the better bet. Kirk Francis and Logan Fife have not shown enough to be confident enough to score as well as we would need here. These offenses combined to go 12-for-35 on third downs, so they are unable to consistently extend drives. All in all, go with UNDER 52.5 POINTS in this game as the better bet.
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