UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 18, 2025
Use Code SSWC Get ready for some Week 8 American Athletic Conference action as the UTSA Roadrunners face off against the North Texas Mean Green in our Roadrunners vs. Mean Green prediction. Set to unfold at DATCU Stadium on October 18th at 3:30 PM ET, this game, airing on ESPN+, promises an intriguing matchup with two teams performing well this season. UTSA is 3-3 (1-1 CUSA) while North Texas is 5-1 (1-1). With these teams looking strong heading into this game, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights for this matchup. Before kickoff: NCAAF predictions for UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green in one clean snapshot.
Roadrunners Looking to Move the Ball
The UTSA Roadrunners are looking to continue playing well as they are coming off a dominant 61-13 home win over the Rice Owls on Saturday. They are currently 39th in the NCAA with 34.5 points per game scored. UTSA’s offense is being led by quarterback Owen McCown as he has been able to complete 126-of-196 (64.3%) passes for 1,226 yards with 12 passing touchdowns and four interceptions, while adding 20 rushes for 33 yards (1.6 yards per carry) without any rushing touchdowns to add. Running back Robert Henry Jr is helping to open up the playbook with his production as he has 92 carries for 730 yards (6.0 yards per attempt) with eight rushing touchdowns while also having 14 catches for 105 yards (7.5 yards per catch) and a pair of receiving touchdowns. Their total offense stands at 394.2 yards per game (68th in NCAA), with the rushing attack able to get 180.8 yards (48th). The passing game has to be able to get going with an average of 213.3 yards per game (87th).
Defensively, the Roadrunners are giving up 26.8 points per game right now, which is 89th in the country. The team has been awful as they are allowing 365.8 total yards per game (68th), with their inability to stop the pass as they are giving up 7.7 yards per pass attempt (105th). Their defense needs to do a bit better to be able to compete for the conference title this year.
Injury Report for UTSA
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- Wide receiver Willie McCoy III: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Jaylen Garth: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Venly Tatafu: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Camron Cooper: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback RJ Lester Jr: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Cornerback Zach Morris: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Linebacker Camron Cooper: Undisclosed (OUT)
Mean Green Crushing This Season
The North Texas Mean Green are looking to expand on their hot start, but are coming off a 63-36 home loss against the USF Bulls on Friday. Their offense has been incredibly strong as they are scoring 43.3 points per game this year, placing them sixth in the NCAA. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker is playing well as he has completed 136-of-204 passes (66.7%) for 1,573 yards with 13 passing touchdowns to three interceptions. As a team, they are moving the ball at a great rate as they are ranked 37th nationally in total yards, averaging 434.7 per game. The Mean Green’s passing offense, which averages 268.2 yards per game, places them at 34th in the sport. The rushing game, contributing 166.5 yards per game (56th nationally), has forced the defense to have to be ready for the run against them as well.
The North Texas defense is currently 93rd in the sport with 27.2 points allowed per game. They are limiting the amount of offense against them as they are 66th with 360.2 total yards per game. Their pass defense has been excellent as they allowed the opposing quarterback to post a 58.4 completion percentage, which is the 58th-best in college football this year.
Injury Report for North Texas
- Wide receiver Cameron Dorner: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Wide receiver Wyatt Young: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Connor Vaughn: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Jayden Becks: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Zhaiylen Scott: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive lineman Fatafehi Vailea II: Undisclosed (OUT)
- Offensive lineman Dylan Shaw: Undisclosed (OUT)
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green Pick
Spread Pick for UTSA vs. North Texas
- North Texas Mean Green -175 (5 units)
Do not be too swayed by last week’s game against the USF Bulls as they were completely outmatched, but North Texas is clearly the better team as they are clicking in conference play. On third downs, there is a large difference between these teams as the Roadrunners are 30-for-81 (37.04%) up to this point, while the Mean Green are on a significant level ahead of them as they are 37-of-76 (48.68%) on the money down thus far. All in all, go with the North Texas Mean Green to win at home as the better bet here.
Over/Under Pick for UTSA vs. North Texas
- Over 67.5 (4 units)
Owen McCown and Drew Mestemaker have a combined 24:7 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season, meaning they will find the end zone on a consistent enough basis to put up points with regularity. These teams also do not have to solely rely on the passing attack to get big yardage, as UTSA is averaging an amazing 5.5 yards per carry, while North Texas is at 4.8 yards per rushing attempt. Neither team is sending their punt unit to the field that often over the course of the season, so take over 67.5 total points.
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