Virginia Tech Hokies vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction and Picks - November 29, 2025
Saturday evening, College football action, and we have a Virginia Tech vs Virginia prediction locked and loaded for you. The Hokies come in off a 34-17 loss to Miami at home to fall to 3-8 on the year. The Big news is that the Hokies have hired ex-Penn State Coach, James Franklin, to take over next year. The Cavaliers have had a fine season at 34-17 win at Duke, which pushed them to 9-2 on the year. Read on to see our Virginia Tech vs Virginia prediction.
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Hokies Have Had A Long Season
Virginia Tech’s most recent game was a 34-17 loss to Miami on November 22, a contest where the Hokies fell behind early and couldn’t recover. Quarterback Kyron Drones threw for just 124 yards, while Marcellous Hawkins ran for 72 yards on eight carries. The defense gave up 320 passing yards and four touchdowns to Carson Beck, and Miami controlled the game throughout.
The Hokies’ offense has struggled all season, averaging just 362.5 yards per game and scoring 22.7 points per contest (105th nationally). Drones has thrown for 1,841 yards with 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions, while also rushing for 609 yards and nine scores, making him their most dynamic weapon. Hawkins has been the lead back with 749 rushing yards, but the ground game has lacked consistency. Receivers Ayden Greene and Takye Heath have combined for over 700 yards and six touchdowns, yet the passing attack has been erratic.
Defensively, Virginia Tech has been vulnerable, allowing 30.5 points per game (112th nationally) and giving up 377.9 yards per contest. Opponents have had success both through the air (228.6 passing yards allowed) and on the ground (149.3 rushing yards allowed), and the Hokies have struggled to generate turnovers. Linebacker Kaleb Spencer leads the team with 60 tackles, but the unit has been unable to consistently get stops. Facing a Virginia offense that thrives on balance, Tech’s defense will need its best performance of the season to keep this rivalry competitive.
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Cavaliers Take Down Blue Devils On The Road
Virginia’s last game came on November 15, when they beat Duke 34-17 on the road, a statement win that pushed them to 9-2 overall and 6-1 in ACC play. Quarterback Chandler Morris threw for 316 yards and two touchdowns, while running back J'Mari Taylor added 133 rushing yards and a score. Wideout Trell Harris was the star, hauling in 161 yards receiving, and the defense held Duke to just 17 points despite a late rally.
The Cavaliers have been one of the ACC’s most balanced teams, averaging 438 yards per game with 250 through the air and 188 on the ground. Morris has thrown for 2,404 yards and 14 touchdowns, while Taylor has been the workhorse with 917 rushing yards and 13 scores. Harris has emerged as the go-to receiver with 766 yards and five touchdowns, and the supporting cast of Cam Ross and Jahmal Edrine has added depth. Virginia’s offense has been steady, scoring 33.7 points per game (28th nationally), and their ability to mix run and pass has kept defenses guessing.
Defensively, Virginia has been stout, allowing just 21.2 points per game (36th nationally) and holding opponents to 322 total yards per contest. Their run defense has been particularly strong, giving up only 107.3 yards per game, while the secondary has limited big plays. Linebacker Devin Neal leads the team with 66 tackles, and the Cavaliers have shown the ability to clamp down in the red zone. Against Virginia Tech’s struggling offense, this unit will look to control the line of scrimmage and force quarterback Kyron Drones into mistakes.
Virginia Tech vs Virginia Pick
Virginia Tech vs Virginia Spread Pick
Virginia -8.5 (4 Units)
Virginia -8.5 feels like the right side because the Cavaliers have been the more complete team all season, averaging 33.7 points per game while holding opponents to just 21.2. Chandler Morris has provided steady quarterback play with over 2,400 passing yards, and J'Mari Taylor has been a force on the ground with 917 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. That balance makes their offense difficult to defend, especially against a Virginia Tech unit that has struggled to contain both the run and the pass. With Trell Harris and Cam Ross leading a deep receiving corps, Virginia has the weapons to stretch the Hokies’ defense and create mismatches.
On the defensive side, the Cavaliers have been stout, allowing only 322 total yards per game and ranking among the ACC’s better run-stopping units at 107.3 rushing yards allowed. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, has averaged just 22.7 points per game and has leaned heavily on Kyron Drones’ dual-threat ability, but their passing attack has been inconsistent and prone to turnovers. The Hokies’ defense has also been leaky, giving up 30.5 points per game, which is a tough profile against a balanced Virginia offense. With the Cavaliers’ ability to control tempo and limit mistakes, laying the -8.5 looks justified in a rivalry where Virginia has the clear statistical edge.
Virginia Tech vs Virginia Over/Under Pick
Under 53.5 (4 Units)
The Under 53.5 looks like the right call because Virginia has leaned on a defense that allows just 21.2 points per game, while Virginia Tech’s offense has struggled all season, averaging only 22.7 points per contest. The Cavaliers play a balanced but methodical style, grinding out drives behind Jack Taylor’s rushing attack, while the Hokies rely heavily on Kyron Drones’ legs but lack consistency through the air. With Virginia Tech’s defense giving up points but still forcing opponents into longer possessions, and Virginia’s ability to control tempo, this rivalry matchup sets up more as a physical, lower-scoring battle than a shootout.
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