Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction and Picks – Saturday, October 25, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Wisconsin Badgers will visit the Oregon Ducks in Week 9, and we'll preview the lines and odds in our Wisconsin vs. Oregon prediction. Oregon enters the week at 6-1, looking up at only No. 1 Ohio State and No. 2 Indiana in the Big Ten standings. Wisconsin is looking up at the entire conference at 2-5 overall and 0-4 in conference play. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 25.
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Wisconsin looking to avoid third straight shutout in Week 9
It's hard to overstate how bad the Wisconsin Badgers have looked thus far in 2025. They're 2-5 overall but 0-4 against Big Ten opponents, against whom they've been outscored 20-122. Their 34-0 loss to No. 1 Ohio State last week was bad, but within a range of reasonably expected outcomes–they only missed covering the spread by ten points. The same can't be said of their 37-0 loss to Iowa the week before.
Wisconsin gained 144 yards of offense against Ohio State, with only nine first downs and two successful third-down conversions. The Buckeyes, by comparison, racked up 491 yards and 26 first downs, converting five of 11 third-down attempts and both of two fourth-down tries. Buckeyes quarterback Julian Sayin was allowed to complete 36 of 42 passes for 393 yards and four touchdowns–good for an 85.7 completion percentage and 9.4 yards per attempt. Badgers quarterbacks Hunter Simmons and Danny O'Neil combined to complete seven passes for 49 yards, averaging only 3.3 yards per attempt. Neither quarterback entered the season as the team's intended starter, but O'Neil hadn't attempted a pass since the team's loss to Maryland in September. Billy Edwards Jr. was injured in the team's season opener and has only attempted 16 passes this season, but his timetable for return is an ongoing enigma.
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The Badgers rank 123rd among FBS teams in passing yards per game (161.6), 118th in rushing yards (109.7), and 134th in points (13.3) per game among FBS teams. Whoever starts at quarterback, it isn't likely they'll suddenly elevate the team to something that can compete with Oregon this Saturday.
Oregon 6-1, third in top-heavy Big Ten
The Oregon Ducks are 6-1 overall and 3-1 in Big Ten play heading into Week 9, with only a 30-20 loss to Indiana blemishing their record. Indiana was ranked seventh in the AP Top 25 at the time and now sits at No. 2, behind only fellow Big Ten heavyweight Ohio State. Oregon is up two spots to No. 6 after last week's 56-10 road win over Rutgers.
The Ducks' win over the Scarlet Knights might've been even more lopsided than it looked, if anything. The offense committed three turnovers but gained an absurd 750 total yards, converting 29 first downs and eight of 11 third-down attempts. Every Ducks drive ended in a touchdown, a turnover, the end of the game, or a missed 44-yard field goal in the fourth quarter after the backups had taken the field. Quarterback Dante Moore completed 15 of 20 passes for 290 yards and four touchdowns, while backs Noah Wittington, Jordon Davison, and Dierre Hille Jr. combined for 287 yards and four touchdowns on 20 carries. The Scarlet Knights barely got off the line–quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis completed only eight passes for 79 yards and two interceptions. The spread in this game was 18.5 points; the Ducks covered by 27.5, coming within six points of the 62.0 total line themselves in the process.
Oregon ranks T-41st in passing yards (263.3), ninth in rushing yards (241.9), second in points (44.4), and eighth in points allowed (14.4) among 136 FBS teams. There isn't much margin for those numbers to get better, but they won't get worse if they play the rest of their opponents as viciously as they played Rutgers.
Wisconsin vs. Oregon Pick
Spread Pick for Wisconsin vs. Oregon
- Oregon -31.5 (-110) (5 Units)
It isn't hard to look at how Oregon dismembered Rutgers and read between the lines–this is a team that wanted to respond to their Indiana loss with something that would impress the playoff committee. That isn't an agenda that will stop after one week, and the Ducks have no easier prey left on their schedule than the moribund Badgers. Wisconsin has a 10-game losing streak against Power 4 conference programs and a coach on the hot seat in Luke Fickell. Wisconsin is 2-5 against the spread despite setting expectations extremely low for the oddsmakers; I have no reservations about taking Oregon to bully them for three to four hours.
Over/Under Pick for Wisconsin vs. Oregon
- Over 44.5 (-105) (5 Units)
So far, the lowest point total in a Ducks game this year is the 48 points scored in their 41-7 win over Oregon State. The Team Total Under is 3-0-1 in the Badgers' last four games, and they haven't scored in their last two, but I don't anticipate they'll need to for this game to hit the over. Ohio State only beat Wisconsin 34-0, but they went on the road and had no external motive to run the score up on a hapless opponent. The Ducks do–and they're getting the Badgers at home, in a game they'll be traveling two time zones west to play.
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