Wyoming vs. Air Force Prediction and Picks for Saturday, October 18th, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Mountain West football season is in full swing, and while neither the Wyoming Cowboys (3-3, 1-1 MW) nor the Air Force Falcons (1-5, 0-4 MW) are competing for a conference title, this should still be a fun matchup on Saturday afternoon. We’ve got you covered with our Wyoming vs. Air Force prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET from Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO. Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our College Football Picks!
Cowboys Bounce Back, Beat Spartans
This is the second season of the Jay Sawvel era in Laramie, and his Wyoming Cowboys are still trying to figure things out. The program went 3-9 (2-5 MW) last season and they’re just 3-3 (1-1 MW) in 2025. Wyoming opened the season with wins over Akron (10-0) and Northern Iowa (31-7), but then endured a three-game slide, suffering losses to #20 Utah (31-6), Colorado (37-20), and UNLV (31-17). They finally snapped the skid against San Jose State (35-28) last weekend. At 1-1, the Cowboys are sixth in the Mountain West standings.
QB Kaden Anderson is the man under center for Wyoming, and he’s in his second season with the school. Anderson has thrown for 1,269 yards on a 55.7% completion rate, adding eight touchdowns and five picks. His favorite target is WR Chris Durr Jr., who has 318 yards and three touchdowns on 28 receptions. RBs Samuel Harris (315 yards, 1 TD) and Sam Scott (274 yards, 1 TD) lead the way on the ground.
- Offensively, the Cowboys are scoring 17.6 points per game (116th), while averaging 354.4 yards per week (83rd).
- Defensively, they are 62nd in the country this year, conceding 25.4 points per game. They’re allowing 381.4 yards per contest, which is 68th.
Falcons Slide to 1-5
Longtime head coach Troy Calhoun is back in the saddle for his 19th season with the Air Force Falcons, and he has posted a 136-94 (80-62 MW) record through the years. That includes this season’s underwhelming mark of 1-5, where the Falcons reside in the cellar of the Mountain West at 0-4. Their lone win came in Week 1 against FCS Bucknell (49-13). They’ve since lost five straight games, with those defeats coming at the hands of Utah State (49-30), Boise State (49-37), Hawaii (44-35), Navy (34-31), and UNLV (51-48), most recently.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
QB Liam Szarka has taken over the offense this season, and he has logged 1,025 passing yards on a 62.4% completion rate, adding eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Szarka also tops the stat sheet in rushing yards, gaining 584 yards and eight touchdowns on 103 carries (5.7 YPC). RB Owen Allen (267 yards, 3 TD) is the lead back. Circling back to passing attack, WR Cade Harris is the biggest threat with 492 yards and two touchdowns on 23 receptions.
- Air Force’s offense has been fantastic this season, ranking 16th in scoring (36.2 PPG), while putting up 502.6 yards per game (fifth).
- On the defensive side, the Falcons are dead last this season, allowing 45.4 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re also last (136th), conceding 542.8 yards per contest.
Wyoming vs. Air Force Pick
Spread Pick for Wyoming vs. Air Force
- Air Force -4.0 (-108) (5 units)
I’m actually not surprised to see Air Force, who is 1-5 SU, as a favorite in this spot. First off, despite the overall SU success, the Falcons are a solid 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. They also have a home-field edge in this game.
But mostly, my theory is that Air Force’s offense will simply outpace Wyoming’s abysmal offense. This is a stoppable force (Wyoming’s offense) vs. a movable object (Air Force’s defense). However, the big metric that stands out is that Wyoming quarterback Kaden Anderson only has a completion rate of 55.7% and a TD/INT ratio of 8/5. This offense is not built to be trailing, and I think they will be playing from behind from the get-go. I like Air Force to win and stretch out a touchdown-plus lead against Wyoming’s incompetent offense.
Over/Under Pick for Wyoming vs. Air Force
- Under 58.0 (-110) (5 units)
A total this high is warranted considering Air Force literally has the worst defense in the country (45.4 PAPG). However, we have to draw the line somewhere, and I’m willing to say that this number is a bit high. I already mentioned my reservations about Wyoming’s offense above. I think they’re atrocious, which is proven by the fact that they’re scoring only 17.6 points per game against FBS-level competition this season.
Where Wyoming does excel is their defense. They’re holding opponents to 25.4 points per game, which is a mid-tier 62nd in college football. They’re a competent group, and if they can stack the box against this Air Force offense that’s rushing the ball more than 70% of the time, they may be able to find the necessary stops to keep this total under the number. The under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings between the schools.
Your first expert pick is completely free — no catch, no gimmicks. Use code FREE at checkout to claim your first premium play today. [GET MY FREE BEST BET]
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
