Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction, Monday September 8, 2025
The regular season is drawing to a close and in the second-to-last game for both teams the Atlanta Dream play host to the Connecticut Sun. The Dream have already qualified for the playoffs and are gunning for the second-best record while the Sun have been eliminated from post-season play. Here in this in-depth Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream prediction you can get the full score info and other free WNBA picks.
The Dream are a big 13-point favorite in this Eastern Conference clash with the total sitting at 159.5.
Sun Snap Skid
In their last game, the Sun were at home in an 87-84 win over the Phoenix Mercury, snapping their three-game losing streak, where one of the losses was a bad one against the Dream. The Sun shot 44.4% from the floor and 31.3% from 3-pt land and played solid D holding the Mercury to 40.8% shooting and 34.4% shooting from deep. Marina Mabrey led the way in the win with 23 points and Tina Charles had a double-double with 22 points and 10 rebounds. Connecticut covered as a 10.5-point favorite after failing to cover the spread in their previous three games.
- The Sun are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have the third fewest wins in the WNBA.
- Charles (16.6 ppg) is the leading scorer and has shot at least 50% from the field in the last three games, where she has averaged 21 ppg.
- Mabrey (14.4 ppg) had only totaled 26 points in three games before going for 23 points in the last one.
- Third leading scorer Leila Lacan has been ruled out for this game due to personal reasons.
- On the season, the Sun are tied with two other teams for the fewest road wins (4) in the league.
- The Sun have lost two of three games this season, facing the Dream this season and face them Wednesday in the regular season finale.
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The Dream are Streaking
The Dream are playing well to end the season winners of four in a row and six of their last seven games. In their last game, they were at home in a 104-85 win over the L.A. Sparks where they shot 49.4% and a more than solid 48.7% from behind the 3-pt arc holding the Sparks to 46% shooting and 27.3% 3-pt shooting. Rhyne Howard had a big game with 37 points and Maya Caldwell came off the bench for 19 points. Atlanta covered as a 5.5-point favorite and have covered the spread in the six wins in their last seven games.
- The Dream are tied with the Las Vegas Aces for the second-best record in the league but the Aces hold the tiebreaker winning all three games facing Atlanta this season.
- Leading scorer Allisha Gray (18.6 ppg) has missed the last two games with a knee injury and will be a game-time decision for this game.
- Howard (17.5 ppg) has surpassed her season scoring average in each of the last five games.
- Third leading scorer Brionna Jones (12.9 ppg) had two straight double-doubles in a row before the last game where she was a rebound shy with 12 points and nine boards.
- On the season, the Dream are 15-6 at home.
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Pick
Spread Pick for Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream
- Dream -13 (+4 Units)
The Dream have won four in a row and the Sun are coming off a win, which snapped their four-game skid. Atlanta has won their last two games without their leading scorer, who is questionable for this game. Atlanta has taken two of three games against the Sun this season and beat them by 16 points three games back. Not only have the Dream covered in their last two games, they were double-digit favorites in two of them, including the one against the Sun. Regarding the Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun the Dream are still playing for the #2 seed in the playoffs and even though they may be without their leading scorer they will win big over the Sun just like three games ago.
Over 159.5 (+4 Units)
Over/Under Pick for Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream
When these teams met three games back the total went Over and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. The total has gone Over in three of the last four games for the Dream and in two of the last three games facing the Sun. Atlanta lit it up for 1-4 points in their last game, without their leading scorer, and they torched the Sun for 93 points three games back. Connecticut had three lower-scoring games before 87 points in the last game. Like the recent game between these teams the Dream will score big again and the total will go Over.
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