Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors Preview, Pick & Prediction Wednesday, October 29, 2025
The Toronto Raptors will host the Houston Rockets at Scotiabank Arena as the Raptors seek their first home win of the season. Tipoff is slated for 6:30 PM Eastern. Read on for the Rockets vs the Raptors prediction and more free NBA picks.
Rockets Notch First Win
Houston trounced the Nets as they scored 137 points, including a 42-point first quarter in a 28-point win on Monday night. Houston took the lead midway through the first quarter and never looked back. All five starters finished with double figures as Tari Eason led the way, off the bench, with 22 points. Alperen Sengun led the starters with 21 points. The Rockets shot nearly 58% from the floor, and they won the battle both in the paint and on the glass.
Houston enters this contest averaging 124 points per contest, which lands them at 6th in the league. The Rockets have struggled down low this season as they are generating fewer than 50 points in the paint per game, which is firmly in the bottom half of the league. That being said, they are hovering around the top five in 3-point percentage, and they lead the league in made free throws per game. Houston has been very strong on the offensive glass, which has helped them create second-chance scoring opportunities. The Rockets have fallen to the bottom five in 2-point shooting, so extending possessions and getting trips to the line will be important here.
Key Stats:
- Kevin Durant: 26.3 points per game
- Steven Adams: 10.3 Rebounds per game
- Team Free Throw Percentage: 82.9%
On the defensive end of the court, Houston is allowing 116.3 points per game, which lands them at 12th in the league. The defense sits around the middle of the pack in terms of paint points allowed. They have been very sound in transition, though, sitting 5th in the NBA with just 12 transition points allowed per game. The perimeter defense has been stronger than that of down low, with the Rockets sitting 11th in opponent 3-point percentage and 21st in opponent 2-point percentage. Houston has done well to defend without fouling, and those pesky perimeter hands have bolstered Houston to 10 steals per game, which is good for 7th in the NBA.
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Raptors Drop 3rd Straight
Toronto was unable to grab its first win as it took a two-game road trip to Texas. Most recently, the Raptors fell to the undefeated Spurs in a 121-103 final. Toronto never led. Three starters finished with double figures as RJ Barrett led the way with 25 points. Collin Murray-Boyles added 19 off the bench. The Raptors allowed San Antonio to shoot over 58% from the floor, and they finished -24 on the glass. They won the battle down low and allowed just nine fast break points.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +952.00 |
| 2 |  Mike Lundin | +376.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +300.00 |
| 4 |  Bruce Marshall | +247.00 |
| 5 |  Ben Burns | +190.00 |
Toronto enters this contest averaging 121.5 points per game, which lands them at 10th in the league. The Raptors have climbed into the top 10 in terms of pace this season, and they have excelled in some elements of the game. Toronto sits 3rd in fast break points per game, with more than 20, and they lead the league in paint scoring. This has helped generate a top 10 effective field goal percentage. That being said, the Raptors have dropped to the bottom five in offensive rebound rate and are sitting in the bottom half of the league in turnovers per game. Getting to the line hasn't been a regular occurrence, but the Raptors sit bottom five in free-throw percentage as it stands, anyway.
Key Stats:
- RJ Barrett: 21.5 Points per game
- Scottie Barnes: 6.2 Rebounds per game
- Team Free Throw Percentage: 74.1%
- Center Jakob Poeltl is doubtful with a sore back.
On the defensive end of the court, Toronto is allowing 125 points per game, which lands them at 25th in the league. As touched on, the Raptors have been playing faster this season, but the defense has still struggled. Opponents are scoring more than 55 points in the paint per game, which is bottom 10, and they hold one of the weakest opponent effective field goal percentages in the NBA. The Raptors have shown off their aggressiveness at times, and they are sitting top 10 in steals per game, but they've struggled to close out possessions. Toronto has done well around the perimeter, but keeping opponents off the line and closing out possessions is what is needed to get in the win column.
Rockets vs Raptors Pick
Pick for Rockets vs Raptors
- Toronto +2.5 (4 Units)
The Raptors have been dominant in the paint this season, scoring upwards of 60 points down low per game. This has not been a strong suit of the Rockets' defense. Scottie Barnes and R.J. Barrett are strong perimeter defenders, but rookie Collin Murray-Broyles, who missed the first two games due to injury, made his debut after scoring 19 points on Sunday against the Mavericks. He's an x-factor in this contest. Additionally, the Rockets have both struggled with taking care of the basketball and closing out possessions. Look for the Raptors to capitalize on the open court and for their defense to hinder the Rockets' outside shooting.
Raptors +2.5
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 | Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Total for Rockets vs Raptors
- Under 230.5 (4 Units)
Toronto has been playing faster this season, but they've been playing a little slower at home. The Rockets are sitting in the bottom 10 in terms of pace of play, and we might expect the Raptors to slow it down a bit in front of their home crowd and try and secure the win. The Raptors have been great at defending the perimeter, and Houston is a defense that tends to defend well without fouling. Neither of these teams takes particularly great care of the basketball, so we should also see some dead possessions here. Take the under.
Under 230.5
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