LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors, Preview, Pick & Prediction, Tuesday, October 28, 2025
The Golden State Warriors will host the Los Angeles Clippers at Chase Center as the Clippers are seeking their first road win of the season. Tipoff is slated for 11:00 PM Eastern. Read on for the Clippers vs the Warriors prediction and more free NBA picks. This article was written before Monday's action.
Clippers Seek 3rd Straight
Los Angeles held on at home on Sunday as they topped Portland in a 114-107 final. The Clippers led most of the way and never trailed by more than 12. Three starters finished with double figures as Kawhi Leonard led the way with 30 points and 10 boards. James Harden added 20 points and 13 assists. The Clippers shot 55% while holding the Blazers to under 40%. Los Angeles also won the battle on the glass and in the painted area.
Los Angeles enters this contest averaging 117 points per game, which places them 16th in the league. They continue to be one of the slowest-paced teams in the league, but they have managed to hang around the top 10 in paint scoring and are leading the league in effective field goal percentage. They do not get to the line often, which is a bit of a concern, given the already limited possessions with the pace the Clippers enforce.
Key Stats:
- Kawhi Leonard: 22.5 points per game
- Ivica Zubac: 12.6 rebounds per game
- Team free throw percentage: 85.5%
On the defensive end, the Clippers allow 112.7 points per game, which lands them at 5th in the league. While the pace of play has affected this total, Los Angeles still hangs around the top 10 in paint points allowed, and they are inside the top 10 in opponent effective field goal percentage. The Clippers have done well to defend without fouling, and they sit 8th in the league in steals per game. This has created transition opportunities, but it also helps make up for what has been one of the weakest defensive rebounding teams in basketball.
Key Injuries: Bradley Beal (GTD), Jordan Miller (GTD)
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Warriors Slip On The Road
Golden State suffered its first loss of the season as it fell 139-119 to Portland on Friday. The Warriors started to wane late in the 2nd quarter and were never able to contest the Blazers again, trailing by as much as 25 at one point. Stephen Curry led the way with 35 points, including seven 3-pointers, and Jonathan Kuminga added 16 points and eight rebounds. Golden State allowed the Blazers to shoot nearly 54% from the floor, and while they won the battle on the glass, they finished -36 in paint scoring.
Golden State enters this contest averaging 125 points per game, which lands them at 6th in the NBA. The Warriors haven't been particularly effective in the painted area this season, but they sit top five in assists and assist/field goal ratio. This has helped propel them to a top 10 offense in terms of effective field goal percentage, free-throw attempts, and three-point percentage. The fast pace of play has resulted in more unforced errors, and this has become evident as the Warriors are sitting around the bottom five in turnovers per game. This, coupled with the bottom 10 offensive rebounding rating, Golden State can't afford not to play team ball.
Key Stats:
- Steph Curry: 33.3 points per game
- Jonathan Kuminga: 7.3 rebounds per game
- Team Free Throw Percentage: 83.9%
On the defensive end of the court, Golden State is allowing 126.3 points per game, which lands them at 26th in the league. The Warriors have struggled when it comes to getting stops down low, as opponents are generating over 60 paint points per game this season. On the plus side, the Warriors have done a solid job of defending without fouling. However, Golden State sits last in the league both in opponent shooting percentage and 2-point percentage. The defense has climbed into the top five in terms of steals, and they sit top three in opponent offensive rebounding rate. We should expect to see the defense clamp down more as the season progresses.
Key Injuries: Alex Toohey (out), Al Horford (Out), De'Anthony Melton (Out)
Clippers vs Warriors Pick
Spread Pick for Clippers vs Warriors
- Warriors -1.5 (4 Units)
Not only has Golden State continued to be one of the best-performing home teams in the league, but it has also been able to operate at a highly efficient mark to start the season. Los Angeles has been efficient, but they aren't built to run up and down with the Warriors though both teams have a lot of players in their mid-30's and older The Warriors have done a solid job holding opponents to single-shot trips up the court, and with the offense's ability to share the ball, look for the Warriors to get the job done at home.
Golden State -1.5
Total Pick for Clippers vs Warriors
- Over 227.5 (4 Units)
This game is certainly a clash in style as the Warriors like to push the tempo, and the Clippers are one of the slowest teams in the league. Both of these offenses have been able to get to the line at a high rate, and they both sit top five in free-throw percentage. Los Angeles has been effective in the paint this season, which has been a key weakness in the Warriors' defense. Likewise, Los Angeles is allowing nearly 45 3-point attempts per game. Look for both offenses to find a way to score often here.
Over 227.5
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