Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pick and Prediction September 7th, 2025
Two AL Central teams will square off when the Royals host the Twins on Sunday night at 2:10 p.m. EST in Kauffman Stadium. Check out our Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals pick and prediction here!
Minnesota traded away most of their premier players and is giving up the remainder of the season for a future rebuild. As it stands, they have a 62-80 record, ahead of only the White Sox in the American League. They have lost six in a row heading into this contest. Meanwhile, the Royals can smell a wild card berth as they continue to climb the ladder. They are 73-69 and only one game behind Seattle for the final wild card spot. They have won three in a row and six of ten heading into this outing. Kansas City is favored at a -140 money line while the total is set at 8.5 runs. Can the Royals complete a sweep here with a win?
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Minnesota Mayhem
Minnesota had an embarrassing 11-2 loss in their most recent contest. While Byron Buxton and Luke Keaschall had one RBI each, nobody had more than one hit all game. Edouard Julien was the only one to reach base multiple times with a hit and a walk. Joe Ryan had an uncharacteristically bad performance, going only two innings and giving up five runs on four hits and four walks. The bullpen behind him let the floodgates open as Kansas City cruised to an easy victory.
The Twins went through a massive sell-off this trade deadline, and over 1/3 of their starting roster departed from the team. Chris Paddack was the first casualty, as he was sent to Detroit for Randy Dobnak and Enrique Jimenez. Later on, Jhoan Duran was traded to Philadelphia for Eduardo Tait and Mick Abel. The day of the trading deadline was the most hectic for the Twins, as they traded seven players. Will Castro went to the Cubs for Sam Armstrong and Ryan Gallagher. Griffin Jax went to Tampa for Taj Bradley. Carlos Correa was sent back to Houston for Matt Mikulski. Harrison Bader was shipped to Philadelphia for Geremy Villoria and Hendry Mendez. Louis Varland and Ty France were sent to Toronto for Alan Roden and Kendry Rojas. Brock Stewart was traded to the Dodgers for James Outman. Finally, Danny Coulombe was sent to the Rangers for Garrett Horn. The Twins were not really a contender, so I respect the Twins and their acceptance of that fact by trading as much as they could. How they rebuild will be a different story, though.
Bailey Ober will be the starter for the Twins in this one. So far on the year, Ober has a 4-7 record with 99 strikeouts through 124 innings pitched. In 23 starts, the righty has a 5.23 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. His numbers are unfortunately well above his career averages. He started off poorly in March before compiling a 2.10 ERA in April and a 2.76 ERA in May. However, he regressed back to a 9.00 ERA in June and a decent August. Ober has yet to get back to his elite level earlier in the year, and if he can't, there might not be a space for him in the rotation next year.
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Royals Ready for More
The Royals earned a critical 11-2 victory over the Minnesota Twins to keep their playoff hopes very much alive. Salvador Perez had a homer and three RBI while Vinnie Pasquantino, Nick Loftin, and Carter Jensen each had a pair of RBI in the effort. Loftin had a team-high three hits and the Royals started off hot with five runs in the first inning. Stephen Kolek went seven innings and gave up only two runs on six hits with four strikeouts and one walk.
Kansas City was not the headline destination for any key players at the deadline, but they did shake up the roster ever so slightly. Julio E. Rodriguez was acquired from Seattle (not the one you're thinking of) for cash. Randal Grichuk was then acquired from Arizona for Andrew Hoffman. Later on, Freddy Fermin was sent to San Diego for Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek. Pittsburgh traded Bailey Falter to Kansas City for Callan Moss and Evan Sisk as well. The Royals also got long-time Giant Mike Yastrzemski for Yunior Marte to close things up.
Michael Lorenzen will take the hill for the Royals who are looking to keep pressure on Seattle. The righty has a 5-9 record through 22 starts. However, his ERA is at a decent 4.54 and his WHIP is 1.33, both near his career average. Through 119 innings pitched, Lorenzen has amassed 105 strikeouts. The months of May and June were not kind to Lorenzen with an ERA over 5.00, but he settled down in July, albeit with only two starts during that month. Kansas City is hoping he can stay healthy and productive for their most critical time of the year.
Twins vs. Royals Pick
Spread Pick for Twins vs. Royals Pick
- Kansas City Royals Money Line (-140) (4 units)
In the previous game, the only reason I took the Twins was because of Joe Ryan's efficiency. I will not be making that mistake again. The Twins are playing awful baseball right now across the board and the Royals are hungry for a playoff spot. I cannot trust Bailey Ober to have a quality start unless we go back in time to April and May. Michael Lorenzen has had success against the Royals in his last few starts as well, giving up two runs or less in each of his last three starts. The Twins are also now 27-44 on the road to put the cherry on top.
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Over/Under Pick for Twins vs. Royals
- Under 8.5 (5 units)
Both pitchers have been productive against their opponent in their last three meetings and after the past two games have been high run-producing games, I expect one of these games to focus more on pitching and defense. The Royals are 81-60 on the under this year and these two teams are 7-3 on the under in their last ten. Considering neither team used their best arms in the bullpen for Saturday's contest, I expect them to be used here to limit the number of runs across the board.
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