2026 MLB Betting Trends: Team Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Records
2026 MLB Betting Trends: Team Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Records
The 2026 MLB season has produced clear separation in the betting market, and the team-by-team numbers tell the story. The Tampa Bay Rays have been the most profitable club to back on the run line, while the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have been steady money-losers no matter the side. Below are the full 30-team rankings for every major market, sorted by return on investment, to sharpen your MLB picks and predictions.
Records reflect flat 1-unit stakes at the closing line through August 5, 2026. A positive ROI means blindly backing that side all season would have shown a profit.
Best Season-Long Trends at a Glance
Four angles stand out across the full board this season: Tampa Bay on the run line (63-49, plus 16.6 percent), Washington on the first-5 run line (73-42, plus 18.9 percent), the Mets on team-total Unders (plus 15.3 percent), and St. Louis on full-game Unders (45-64, plus 11.4 percent). Each is anchored by a large sample, which is what separates a genuine market edge from a hot streak.
Run Line Trends (Against the Spread)
The run line applies a 1.5-run spread to every game. Tampa Bay leads the league at 63-49, with Milwaukee and Atlanta close behind. On the other end, Philadelphia has been baseball's worst run-line team by a wide margin.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 63-49 | +22.50u | +16.6% |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 60-53 | +14.60u | +11.2% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 58-54 | +10.30u | +8.0% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 66-47 | +9.55u | +6.1% |
| 5 | Chicago White Sox | 64-45 | +6.30u | +3.9% |
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | 56-52 | +5.30u | +3.8% |
| 7 | San Diego Padres | 60-52 | +2.10u | +1.4% |
| 8 | Baltimore Orioles | 58-54 | +1.40u | +0.9% |
| 9 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60-50 | +0.95u | +0.6% |
| 10 | New York Yankees | 54-59 | -0.95u | -0.7% |
| 11 | Houston Astros | 59-56 | -1.70u | -1.1% |
| 12 | Chicago Cubs | 54-59 | -1.85u | -1.4% |
| 13 | Cincinnati Reds | 61-50 | -2.40u | -1.5% |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56-56 | -2.65u | -1.8% |
| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 61-50 | -3.70u | -2.3% |
| 16 | Minnesota Twins | 61-53 | -4.30u | -2.7% |
| 17 | Colorado Rockies | 60-54 | -4.25u | -3.0% |
| 18 | Miami Marlins | 58-55 | -5.50u | -3.6% |
| 19 | Detroit Tigers | 52-56 | -6.15u | -4.3% |
| 20 | Cleveland Guardians | 54-59 | -8.55u | -5.8% |
| 21 | New York Mets | 51-61 | -9.45u | -6.8% |
| 22 | Toronto Blue Jays | 54-59 | -11.00u | -7.4% |
| 23 | San Francisco Giants | 55-57 | -15.05u | -9.5% |
| 24 | Texas Rangers | 50-61 | -19.20u | -12.8% |
| 25 | Los Angeles Angels | 54-58 | -19.85u | -12.9% |
| 26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 50-64 | -17.20u | -13.0% |
| 27 | Kansas City Royals | 52-58 | -22.40u | -14.1% |
| 28 | Athletics | 52-61 | -22.60u | -14.8% |
| 29 | Seattle Mariners | 43-71 | -20.25u | -16.3% |
| 30 | Philadelphia Phillies | 45-68 | -29.85u | -22.1% |
Moneyline Trends (Straight Up)
Moneyline ROI rewards teams the market has underrated, not just the ones that win most. The Chicago White Sox top the board at 59-53 because so many of those wins came at plus money, with Tampa Bay second and Atlanta third. The Mets have been the single biggest moneyline drain in the sport.
| Rank | Team | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 59-53 | +13.35u | +11.1% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 67-46 | +13.35u | +9.4% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 68-45 | +10.70u | +7.0% |
| 4 | Milwaukee Brewers | 70-43 | +9.75u | +5.9% |
| 5 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60-54 | +7.35u | +5.5% |
| 6 | Washington Nationals | 55-60 | +4.35u | +3.5% |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | 65-49 | +4.05u | +2.7% |
| 8 | Miami Marlins | 58-56 | +3.10u | +2.3% |
| 9 | St. Louis Cardinals | 56-58 | +2.35u | +1.9% |
| 10 | San Diego Padres | 59-55 | +0.85u | +0.6% |
| 11 | Boston Red Sox | 61-51 | +0.40u | +0.3% |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 59-56 | -0.65u | -0.5% |
| 13 | Minnesota Twins | 56-58 | -1.00u | -0.8% |
| 14 | Colorado Rockies | 45-69 | -2.40u | -2.1% |
| 15 | Cincinnati Reds | 54-58 | -3.55u | -2.8% |
| 16 | Cleveland Guardians | 57-57 | -4.20u | -3.1% |
| 17 | Philadelphia Phillies | 61-53 | -5.40u | -3.2% |
| 18 | New York Yankees | 64-50 | -7.00u | -4.2% |
| 19 | Baltimore Orioles | 55-58 | -7.40u | -5.6% |
| 20 | Texas Rangers | 56-58 | -7.45u | -5.6% |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 57-58 | -10.10u | -7.1% |
| 22 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69-45 | -17.55u | -8.0% |
| 23 | Detroit Tigers | 55-58 | -12.85u | -9.0% |
| 24 | Seattle Mariners | 55-59 | -19.85u | -12.8% |
| 25 | San Francisco Giants | 48-66 | -16.45u | -12.9% |
| 26 | Toronto Blue Jays | 53-61 | -19.20u | -13.4% |
| 27 | Kansas City Royals | 47-67 | -20.10u | -15.9% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | 43-70 | -21.20u | -17.6% |
| 29 | Athletics | 45-68 | -24.40u | -19.2% |
| 30 | New York Mets | 48-66 | -33.25u | -23.3% |
Full-Game Total Trends (Over / Under)
Totals splits cut both ways, so we rank the Over and the Under separately. The Chicago White Sox and Pittsburgh have been the league's premier Over teams, while St. Louis and Philadelphia anchor the Under side.
Best Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 63-47 | +9.5% |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64-48 | +9.0% |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 61-46 | +7.9% |
| 4 | Texas Rangers | 61-47 | +7.3% |
| 5 | Washington Nationals | 61-48 | +7.1% |
| 6 | Houston Astros | 61-48 | +5.7% |
| 7 | Cincinnati Reds | 59-51 | +2.3% |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | 60-53 | +1.8% |
| 9 | Seattle Mariners | 57-50 | +1.7% |
| 10 | Baltimore Orioles | 58-51 | +1.4% |
| 11 | San Francisco Giants | 53-51 | -2.7% |
| 12 | Miami Marlins | 56-55 | -3.8% |
| 13 | Toronto Blue Jays | 55-56 | -5.1% |
| 14 | Athletics | 54-55 | -5.1% |
| 15 | Atlanta Braves | 53-54 | -5.1% |
| 16 | Colorado Rockies | 54-57 | -7.4% |
| 17 | New York Mets | 49-56 | -10.6% |
| 18 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53-60 | -10.6% |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Rays | 50-58 | -10.8% |
| 20 | Kansas City Royals | 52-60 | -10.8% |
| 21 | Detroit Tigers | 50-58 | -10.9% |
| 22 | Cleveland Guardians | 53-61 | -10.9% |
| 23 | San Diego Padres | 52-60 | -11.2% |
| 24 | Los Angeles Angels | 50-61 | -13.4% |
| 25 | Boston Red Sox | 49-59 | -13.4% |
| 26 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48-60 | -14.2% |
| 27 | New York Yankees | 49-61 | -14.7% |
| 28 | Milwaukee Brewers | 49-62 | -15.2% |
| 29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 47-61 | -15.8% |
| 30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 45-64 | -20.5% |
Best Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 45-64 | +11.4% |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 47-61 | +7.8% |
| 3 | Milwaukee Brewers | 49-62 | +6.8% |
| 4 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48-60 | +6.2% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 49-61 | +5.8% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Angels | 50-61 | +5.4% |
| 7 | Boston Red Sox | 49-59 | +4.2% |
| 8 | Detroit Tigers | 50-58 | +2.7% |
| 9 | Kansas City Royals | 52-60 | +2.7% |
| 10 | San Diego Padres | 52-60 | +2.5% |
| 11 | Tampa Bay Rays | 50-58 | +2.1% |
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians | 53-61 | +1.6% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53-60 | +1.5% |
| 14 | New York Mets | 49-56 | +1.4% |
| 15 | Colorado Rockies | 54-57 | -1.4% |
| 16 | Atlanta Braves | 53-54 | -2.7% |
| 17 | Athletics | 54-55 | -3.2% |
| 18 | Toronto Blue Jays | 55-56 | -3.3% |
| 19 | Miami Marlins | 56-55 | -5.0% |
| 20 | San Francisco Giants | 53-51 | -5.6% |
| 21 | Chicago Cubs | 60-53 | -9.9% |
| 22 | Baltimore Orioles | 58-51 | -10.0% |
| 23 | Seattle Mariners | 57-50 | -10.0% |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds | 59-51 | -10.8% |
| 25 | Washington Nationals | 61-48 | -14.9% |
| 26 | Houston Astros | 61-48 | -15.1% |
| 27 | Texas Rangers | 61-47 | -15.4% |
| 28 | Minnesota Twins | 61-46 | -17.0% |
| 29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64-48 | -17.4% |
| 30 | Chicago White Sox | 63-47 | -18.3% |
Team Total Trends (Over / Under)
Team totals isolate one club's run production rather than the combined score. Minnesota and the Chicago Cubs have cleared their team numbers more than any other lineups, while the Mets and Angels have been the most dependable team-total Under sides.
Best Team-Total Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Twins | 65-49 | +6.7% |
| 2 | Chicago Cubs | 65-49 | +6.7% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 64-49 | +6.4% |
| 4 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 63-51 | +4.1% |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 63-52 | +2.6% |
| 6 | Milwaukee Brewers | 61-52 | +2.5% |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | 60-52 | +0.6% |
| 8 | Washington Nationals | 61-54 | -0.1% |
| 9 | Colorado Rockies | 61-53 | -0.7% |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Rays | 60-53 | -1.0% |
| 11 | Detroit Tigers | 59-54 | -1.2% |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 58-57 | -3.1% |
| 13 | Baltimore Orioles | 58-55 | -3.6% |
| 14 | Boston Red Sox | 57-55 | -4.4% |
| 15 | St. Louis Cardinals | 57-57 | -5.3% |
| 16 | Cleveland Guardians | 56-58 | -8.4% |
| 17 | San Diego Padres | 55-59 | -8.6% |
| 18 | Texas Rangers | 55-59 | -9.9% |
| 19 | Miami Marlins | 53-61 | -11.0% |
| 20 | Philadelphia Phillies | 53-61 | -12.2% |
| 21 | New York Yankees | 50-64 | -16.8% |
| 22 | Cincinnati Reds | 50-62 | -17.2% |
| 23 | San Francisco Giants | 50-64 | -18.3% |
| 24 | Kansas City Royals | 49-65 | -19.6% |
| 25 | Seattle Mariners | 49-65 | -19.8% |
| 26 | Toronto Blue Jays | 48-66 | -20.9% |
| 27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47-67 | -22.6% |
| 28 | Athletics | 47-66 | -22.7% |
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | 46-67 | -23.3% |
| 30 | New York Mets | 45-69 | -28.1% |
Best Team-Total Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Mets | 45-69 | +15.3% |
| 2 | Los Angeles Angels | 46-67 | +11.2% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47-67 | +10.2% |
| 4 | Toronto Blue Jays | 48-66 | +10.1% |
| 5 | Seattle Mariners | 49-65 | +8.4% |
| 6 | Athletics | 47-66 | +8.4% |
| 7 | Kansas City Royals | 49-65 | +7.3% |
| 8 | San Francisco Giants | 50-64 | +7.3% |
| 9 | Cincinnati Reds | 50-62 | +5.1% |
| 10 | New York Yankees | 50-64 | +4.7% |
| 11 | Miami Marlins | 53-61 | +1.9% |
| 12 | Philadelphia Phillies | 53-61 | +0.6% |
| 13 | Texas Rangers | 55-59 | -1.8% |
| 14 | San Diego Padres | 55-59 | -3.4% |
| 15 | Cleveland Guardians | 56-58 | -4.1% |
| 16 | St. Louis Cardinals | 57-57 | -6.2% |
| 17 | Boston Red Sox | 57-55 | -7.6% |
| 18 | Houston Astros | 58-57 | -7.9% |
| 19 | Baltimore Orioles | 58-55 | -8.2% |
| 20 | Detroit Tigers | 59-54 | -10.2% |
| 21 | Washington Nationals | 61-54 | -12.0% |
| 22 | Tampa Bay Rays | 60-53 | -12.2% |
| 23 | Chicago White Sox | 60-52 | -12.2% |
| 24 | Colorado Rockies | 61-53 | -12.2% |
| 25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 61-52 | -13.7% |
| 26 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 63-51 | -15.5% |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 63-52 | -16.3% |
| 28 | Atlanta Braves | 64-49 | -18.4% |
| 29 | Minnesota Twins | 65-49 | -18.8% |
| 30 | Chicago Cubs | 65-49 | -20.1% |
First 5 Innings Run Line Trends
First-5 markets settle after five innings, isolating the starting pitchers and removing bullpen and late-inning noise. Washington has been the standout at 73-42, with Tampa Bay and Atlanta close behind.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 73-42 | +25.80u | +18.9% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 65-48 | +10.60u | +7.9% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 63-50 | +8.50u | +6.4% |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 63-49 | +7.85u | +5.8% |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64-51 | +6.50u | +4.9% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Angels | 63-50 | +5.80u | +4.3% |
| 7 | St. Louis Cardinals | 64-50 | +3.95u | +2.8% |
| 8 | Cincinnati Reds | 61-51 | +1.30u | +1.0% |
| 9 | Cleveland Guardians | 59-55 | -1.60u | -1.2% |
| 10 | Chicago White Sox | 59-53 | -2.25u | -1.7% |
| 11 | Colorado Rockies | 58-55 | -3.20u | -2.4% |
| 12 | San Diego Padres | 60-54 | -4.05u | -3.0% |
| 13 | Miami Marlins | 59-55 | -5.20u | -3.8% |
| 14 | Milwaukee Brewers | 56-56 | -5.30u | -4.0% |
| 15 | Minnesota Twins | 57-57 | -8.35u | -6.1% |
| 16 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 57-57 | -9.85u | -7.2% |
| 17 | New York Yankees | 55-59 | -12.25u | -9.1% |
| 18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 53-61 | -15.10u | -11.3% |
| 19 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53-60 | -15.60u | -11.6% |
| 20 | Boston Red Sox | 52-60 | -15.65u | -11.9% |
| 21 | Chicago Cubs | 52-62 | -17.75u | -13.3% |
| 22 | Athletics | 52-61 | -17.60u | -13.3% |
| 23 | Kansas City Royals | 53-61 | -18.75u | -13.5% |
| 24 | San Francisco Giants | 54-60 | -19.10u | -13.6% |
| 25 | Baltimore Orioles | 51-62 | -18.90u | -14.3% |
| 26 | Texas Rangers | 51-63 | -21.15u | -15.6% |
| 27 | Houston Astros | 51-64 | -22.70u | -16.4% |
| 28 | Seattle Mariners | 48-66 | -25.55u | -19.6% |
| 29 | New York Mets | 48-66 | -26.85u | -20.0% |
| 30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 49-65 | -27.55u | -20.2% |
First 5 Innings Total Trends (Over / Under)
The first-5 total tracks only the runs scored through five innings. Texas, Houston, and the Angels lead the Over side, while Toronto and Cleveland flip to strong Under numbers.
Best First-5 Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Rangers | 66-44 | +12.1% |
| 2 | Houston Astros | 64-43 | +10.5% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Angels | 63-46 | +8.4% |
| 4 | Minnesota Twins | 63-46 | +7.7% |
| 5 | Washington Nationals | 62-47 | +5.9% |
| 6 | Atlanta Braves | 60-48 | +3.6% |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | 61-52 | +1.3% |
| 8 | Chicago White Sox | 57-51 | -1.4% |
| 9 | Milwaukee Brewers | 56-51 | -2.3% |
| 10 | Baltimore Orioles | 54-50 | -3.0% |
| 11 | Colorado Rockies | 57-53 | -3.2% |
| 12 | Detroit Tigers | 56-53 | -3.2% |
| 13 | New York Mets | 58-55 | -3.8% |
| 14 | Philadelphia Phillies | 57-54 | -3.8% |
| 15 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58-55 | -3.9% |
| 16 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55-52 | -4.3% |
| 17 | Miami Marlins | 56-54 | -4.3% |
| 18 | Boston Red Sox | 54-53 | -5.4% |
| 19 | Athletics | 54-55 | -6.4% |
| 20 | San Francisco Giants | 54-55 | -7.3% |
| 21 | Cincinnati Reds | 52-56 | -9.2% |
| 22 | Tampa Bay Rays | 52-57 | -10.2% |
| 23 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53-59 | -11.6% |
| 24 | Seattle Mariners | 49-57 | -13.0% |
| 25 | Kansas City Royals | 51-61 | -13.8% |
| 26 | New York Yankees | 51-60 | -13.9% |
| 27 | St. Louis Cardinals | 46-63 | -20.7% |
| 28 | Cleveland Guardians | 43-61 | -20.8% |
| 29 | San Diego Padres | 45-64 | -22.8% |
| 30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 43-67 | -26.5% |
Best First-5 Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Blue Jays | 43-67 | +14.2% |
| 2 | Cleveland Guardians | 43-61 | +9.7% |
| 3 | San Diego Padres | 45-64 | +9.7% |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 46-63 | +8.1% |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 51-61 | +2.6% |
| 6 | Seattle Mariners | 49-57 | +1.6% |
| 7 | New York Yankees | 51-60 | +0.5% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53-59 | -1.0% |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Rays | 52-57 | -1.9% |
| 10 | Cincinnati Reds | 52-56 | -2.8% |
| 11 | San Francisco Giants | 54-55 | -4.0% |
| 12 | Athletics | 54-55 | -5.1% |
| 13 | Boston Red Sox | 54-53 | -7.7% |
| 14 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55-52 | -8.0% |
| 15 | Miami Marlins | 56-54 | -8.0% |
| 16 | Baltimore Orioles | 54-50 | -8.2% |
| 17 | Colorado Rockies | 57-53 | -8.8% |
| 18 | New York Mets | 58-55 | -8.8% |
| 19 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58-55 | -9.1% |
| 20 | Detroit Tigers | 56-53 | -9.1% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Phillies | 57-54 | -9.5% |
| 22 | Milwaukee Brewers | 56-51 | -9.7% |
| 23 | Chicago White Sox | 57-51 | -9.9% |
| 24 | Chicago Cubs | 61-52 | -14.4% |
| 25 | Atlanta Braves | 60-48 | -15.8% |
| 26 | Washington Nationals | 62-47 | -18.2% |
| 27 | Los Angeles Angels | 63-46 | -19.4% |
| 28 | Minnesota Twins | 63-46 | -19.5% |
| 29 | Houston Astros | 64-43 | -22.1% |
| 30 | Texas Rangers | 66-44 | -24.5% |
Trends to Fade
Four teams have lost money across the board and belong on the other side of your plays: the Philadelphia Phillies (run line minus 22.1 percent), the New York Mets (moneyline minus 23.3 percent, first-5 run line minus 20.0 percent), the Athletics (moneyline minus 19.2 percent, run line minus 14.8 percent), and the Los Angeles Angels (moneyline minus 17.6 percent). Note that Philadelphia is a run-line fade but a top-three full-game Under, so those two angles pair rather than conflict.
Methodology
Every market treats each qualifying game as a flat 1-unit wager settled at the closing line. A win is a cover, a straight-up win, or an Over or Under, depending on the market. Units is the cumulative profit or loss; ROI is units divided by total bets, shown as a percentage. Home and away splits apply the same method to that subset of games. Flat staking keeps all 30 teams on equal footing so a handful of heavy favorites or longshots cannot distort the rankings.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Which MLB team has the best run line trend in 2026?
The Tampa Bay Rays lead the league against the run line at 63-49, returning 16.6 percent on flat 1-unit stakes. The Milwaukee Brewers are second at 60-53 (plus 11.2 percent), with Atlanta third, making all three reliable cover teams this season.
Which teams should bettors fade right now?
The Philadelphia Phillies are the worst run-line team in baseball at 45-68 (minus 22.1 percent), and the New York Mets have been the biggest moneyline drain at 48-66 (minus 23.3 percent). The Athletics are negative across the run line and moneyline, so there is no split that rescues them.
What is the difference between the run line and the moneyline?
The moneyline is a straight-up bet on who wins. The run line applies a 1.5-run spread — the favorite must win by two or more, or the underdog must lose by one or win outright. Because so many MLB games are decided by a single run, run-line results often diverge sharply from moneyline records.
Which teams are the strongest Over plays?
The Chicago White Sox top the full-game Over board at 63-47 (plus 9.5 percent), with the Pittsburgh Pirates and Minnesota Twins close behind. Minnesota and the Chicago Cubs lead the team-total Overs, so those lineups have cleared the number from a different angle.
Which teams are the best Under plays?
The St. Louis Cardinals lead full-game Unders at 45-64 (plus 11.4 percent), with Philadelphia and Milwaukee close behind. On team totals, the New York Mets are the strongest Under side at plus 15.3 percent, followed by the Los Angeles Angels.
Do first-5-innings trends differ from full-game trends?
Yes. The first-5 markets isolate the starting pitchers and remove bullpen and late-inning scoring. Washington leads the F5 run line at 73-42, while Toronto and Cleveland flip to strong F5 Under sides even though their full-game numbers look different.
How often are these trends updated?
These tables reflect the 2026 season through August 5 and are refreshed as new results come in. Records and ROI move daily during the season, so check back before locking in picks and predictions.
How is ROI calculated?
Every wager is treated as a flat 1-unit stake at the closing line. Units is the running profit or loss across all of a team's games; ROI is that unit total divided by the number of bets, expressed as a percentage. A positive ROI means backing that side blindly all season would have turned a profit.
How We Use These Trends
Season-long ROI tables are a starting point, not a finished play. A team covering the run line at a strong clip tells you the market has been slow to adjust to how it wins games — but the matchup, the starting pitcher, and the closing number still decide each night. We treat these rankings as a filter: they surface which sides the market has mispriced across a full season, and from there the daily picks and predictions come down to the specific game in front of us.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Odds and records reflect the 2026 MLB season through August 5, 2026 and are subject to change.