2026 MLB Betting Trends: Team Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Records
Use Code SSWC The 2026 MLB season has produced clear separation in the betting market, and the team-by-team numbers tell the story. The Tampa Bay Rays have been the most profitable club to back on the run line, while the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have been steady money-losers no matter the side. Below are the full 30-team rankings for every major market, sorted by return on investment, to sharpen your MLB picks and predictions.
Records reflect flat 1-unit stakes at the closing line through July 16, 2026. A positive ROI means blindly backing that side all season would have shown a profit.
Best Season-Long Trends at a Glance
Four angles stand out across the full board this season: Tampa Bay on the run line (55-39, plus 21.1 percent), Washington on the first-5 run line (63-34, plus 21.7 percent, including 33-13 on the road), Minnesota on team-total Overs (59-38, plus 13.8 percent), and the Mets on team-total Unders (38-59, plus 15.9 percent). Each is anchored by a large sample, which is what separates a genuine market edge from a hot streak.
Run Line Trends (Against the Spread)
The run line applies a 1.5-run spread to every game. Tampa Bay leads the league at 55-39, with Milwaukee and Atlanta close behind. On the other end, Philadelphia has been baseball's worst run-line team by a wide margin.
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| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 55-39 | +24.05u | +21.1% |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 51-45 | +12.40u | +11.1% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 50-44 | +11.25u | +10.3% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 57-38 | +11.05u | +8.3% |
| 5 | St. Louis Cardinals | 55-38 | +5.45u | +4.0% |
| 6 | Miami Marlins | 52-44 | +4.20u | +3.3% |
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53-41 | +3.50u | +2.7% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49-46 | +1.85u | +1.5% |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox | 53-39 | +1.25u | +0.9% |
| 10 | San Diego Padres | 50-44 | -0.45u | -0.3% |
| 11 | New York Yankees | 45-50 | -1.00u | -0.9% |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 53-45 | -1.65u | -1.4% |
| 13 | Minnesota Twins | 53-44 | -2.30u | -1.7% |
| 14 | Boston Red Sox | 44-47 | -3.55u | -3.0% |
| 15 | Baltimore Orioles | 47-49 | -3.75u | -3.0% |
| 16 | Cleveland Guardians | 47-49 | -4.35u | -3.5% |
| 17 | Cincinnati Reds | 51-43 | -4.70u | -3.5% |
| 18 | Detroit Tigers | 44-47 | -5.05u | -4.1% |
| 19 | Toronto Blue Jays | 46-49 | -5.45u | -4.4% |
| 20 | Houston Astros | 48-50 | -9.60u | -7.2% |
| 21 | Chicago Cubs | 42-53 | -9.50u | -8.4% |
| 22 | Texas Rangers | 43-50 | -11.45u | -9.2% |
| 23 | Seattle Mariners | 39-58 | -10.70u | -10.1% |
| 24 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 44-53 | -12.45u | -10.9% |
| 25 | Los Angeles Angels | 47-49 | -15.30u | -11.6% |
| 26 | New York Mets | 40-55 | -13.85u | -12.0% |
| 27 | Athletics | 45-51 | -16.55u | -12.8% |
| 28 | San Francisco Giants | 44-51 | -19.30u | -14.6% |
| 29 | Kansas City Royals | 40-54 | -29.05u | -21.4% |
| 30 | Philadelphia Phillies | 37-59 | -28.05u | -24.5% |
Moneyline Trends (Straight Up)
Moneyline ROI rewards teams the market has underrated, not just the ones that win most. The Chicago White Sox top the board at 50-45 because so many of those wins came at plus money, with Tampa Bay and St. Louis behind them. The Mets have been the single biggest moneyline drain in the sport.
| Rank | Team | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 50-45 | +11.80u | +11.6% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 56-38 | +11.65u | +9.9% |
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | 50-45 | +9.25u | +9.1% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 48-49 | +8.85u | +8.7% |
| 5 | Miami Marlins | 52-45 | +7.65u | +6.7% |
| 6 | Milwaukee Brewers | 59-37 | +9.05u | +6.6% |
| 7 | Cleveland Guardians | 51-46 | +3.70u | +3.2% |
| 8 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 49-47 | +3.45u | +3.1% |
| 9 | Atlanta Braves | 55-40 | +3.45u | +2.7% |
| 10 | Minnesota Twins | 48-49 | +0.85u | +0.8% |
| 11 | Chicago Cubs | 54-42 | +1.00u | +0.8% |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 39-59 | +0.40u | +0.4% |
| 13 | Philadelphia Phillies | 54-43 | +0.00u | +0.0% |
| 14 | San Diego Padres | 48-48 | -2.50u | -2.2% |
| 15 | Texas Rangers | 49-47 | -2.55u | -2.3% |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50-47 | -5.60u | -4.6% |
| 17 | New York Yankees | 54-42 | -6.85u | -4.7% |
| 18 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 61-36 | -11.05u | -5.7% |
| 19 | Houston Astros | 47-51 | -6.80u | -6.1% |
| 20 | Cincinnati Reds | 43-52 | -8.75u | -8.3% |
| 21 | Baltimore Orioles | 46-51 | -9.85u | -8.5% |
| 22 | Boston Red Sox | 46-48 | -12.00u | -10.4% |
| 23 | Seattle Mariners | 48-49 | -14.75u | -11.2% |
| 24 | San Francisco Giants | 41-55 | -13.20u | -12.3% |
| 25 | Detroit Tigers | 44-52 | -14.80u | -12.8% |
| 26 | Toronto Blue Jays | 45-51 | -16.00u | -13.2% |
| 27 | Athletics | 41-55 | -16.10u | -14.6% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | 38-59 | -15.70u | -15.2% |
| 29 | Kansas City Royals | 38-59 | -23.05u | -21.2% |
| 30 | New York Mets | 40-57 | -32.35u | -26.0% |
Full-Game Total Trends (Over / Under)
Totals splits cut both ways, so we rank the Over and the Under separately. Washington and Pittsburgh have been the league's premier Over teams, while Arizona and Philadelphia anchor the Under side.
Best Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 55-37 | +13.9% |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56-38 | +13.4% |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 54-37 | +12.2% |
| 4 | Chicago White Sox | 54-39 | +10.9% |
| 5 | Cincinnati Reds | 53-41 | +7.5% |
| 6 | Houston Astros | 52-40 | +6.4% |
| 7 | Baltimore Orioles | 52-42 | +5.3% |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | 51-44 | +3.1% |
| 9 | Miami Marlins | 51-43 | +3.0% |
| 10 | Texas Rangers | 48-42 | +1.7% |
| 11 | Toronto Blue Jays | 49-44 | +0.8% |
| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 47-46 | -3.2% |
| 13 | New York Mets | 45-44 | -3.8% |
| 14 | San Francisco Giants | 44-44 | -4.4% |
| 15 | Atlanta Braves | 44-45 | -5.0% |
| 16 | Athletics | 46-47 | -5.2% |
| 17 | Kansas City Royals | 47-49 | -6.2% |
| 18 | Los Angeles Angels | 46-49 | -7.1% |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Rays | 42-47 | -9.2% |
| 20 | Colorado Rockies | 45-50 | -9.7% |
| 21 | Boston Red Sox | 42-48 | -11.0% |
| 22 | Cleveland Guardians | 45-52 | -11.1% |
| 23 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 45-52 | -11.6% |
| 24 | Milwaukee Brewers | 43-51 | -12.3% |
| 25 | New York Yankees | 42-50 | -12.7% |
| 26 | Detroit Tigers | 41-51 | -14.2% |
| 27 | San Diego Padres | 42-52 | -14.2% |
| 28 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40-51 | -14.9% |
| 29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 41-52 | -15.0% |
| 30 | St. Louis Cardinals | 40-51 | -15.4% |
Best Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40-51 | +7.1% |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 41-52 | +6.9% |
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | 40-51 | +6.5% |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 41-51 | +6.0% |
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 42-52 | +5.8% |
| 6 | New York Yankees | 42-50 | +3.7% |
| 7 | Milwaukee Brewers | 43-51 | +3.6% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 45-52 | +2.5% |
| 9 | Cleveland Guardians | 45-52 | +1.9% |
| 10 | Boston Red Sox | 42-48 | +1.6% |
| 11 | Colorado Rockies | 45-50 | +0.8% |
| 12 | Tampa Bay Rays | 42-47 | +0.5% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Angels | 46-49 | -0.8% |
| 14 | Kansas City Royals | 47-49 | -2.2% |
| 15 | Atlanta Braves | 44-45 | -2.7% |
| 16 | Athletics | 46-47 | -3.0% |
| 17 | San Francisco Giants | 44-44 | -4.1% |
| 18 | Seattle Mariners | 47-46 | -5.1% |
| 19 | New York Mets | 45-44 | -5.5% |
| 20 | Toronto Blue Jays | 49-44 | -8.9% |
| 21 | Texas Rangers | 48-42 | -9.5% |
| 22 | Chicago Cubs | 51-44 | -10.8% |
| 23 | Miami Marlins | 51-43 | -12.0% |
| 24 | Baltimore Orioles | 52-42 | -14.1% |
| 25 | Houston Astros | 52-40 | -15.7% |
| 26 | Cincinnati Reds | 53-41 | -16.1% |
| 27 | Chicago White Sox | 54-39 | -19.8% |
| 28 | Minnesota Twins | 54-37 | -21.1% |
| 29 | Washington Nationals | 55-37 | -21.8% |
| 30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56-38 | -21.9% |
Team Total Trends (Over / Under)
Team totals isolate one club's run production rather than the combined score. Minnesota has cleared its team number more than any other lineup, while the Mets and Giants have been the most dependable team-total Under sides.
Best Team-Total Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Twins | 59-38 | +13.8% |
| 2 | Atlanta Braves | 56-39 | +10.0% |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55-42 | +6.5% |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Rays | 53-41 | +5.1% |
| 5 | Milwaukee Brewers | 53-43 | +4.9% |
| 6 | Washington Nationals | 54-43 | +4.8% |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | 53-43 | +4.3% |
| 8 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53-43 | +4.1% |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox | 52-43 | +2.8% |
| 10 | St. Louis Cardinals | 51-44 | +0.9% |
| 11 | Baltimore Orioles | 51-46 | -2.1% |
| 12 | Detroit Tigers | 49-47 | -3.1% |
| 13 | Colorado Rockies | 51-47 | -3.9% |
| 14 | Miami Marlins | 47-50 | -7.3% |
| 15 | Houston Astros | 47-51 | -7.6% |
| 16 | Cleveland Guardians | 48-49 | -7.9% |
| 17 | Boston Red Sox | 45-49 | -10.0% |
| 18 | Texas Rangers | 46-50 | -10.4% |
| 19 | New York Yankees | 45-51 | -10.5% |
| 20 | Philadelphia Phillies | 44-53 | -14.1% |
| 21 | Toronto Blue Jays | 44-52 | -14.2% |
| 22 | San Diego Padres | 43-53 | -15.6% |
| 23 | Los Angeles Angels | 42-55 | -18.6% |
| 24 | Kansas City Royals | 42-55 | -19.2% |
| 25 | Athletics | 41-55 | -20.8% |
| 26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 41-56 | -21.0% |
| 27 | Seattle Mariners | 41-56 | -21.2% |
| 28 | Cincinnati Reds | 40-55 | -21.6% |
| 29 | San Francisco Giants | 39-57 | -24.0% |
| 30 | New York Mets | 38-59 | -28.7% |
Best Team-Total Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Mets | 38-59 | +15.9% |
| 2 | San Francisco Giants | 39-57 | +13.1% |
| 3 | Cincinnati Reds | 40-55 | +9.3% |
| 4 | Seattle Mariners | 41-56 | +9.1% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 41-56 | +8.4% |
| 6 | Athletics | 41-55 | +7.0% |
| 7 | Kansas City Royals | 42-55 | +6.5% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Angels | 42-55 | +6.2% |
| 9 | San Diego Padres | 43-53 | +3.6% |
| 10 | Toronto Blue Jays | 44-52 | +3.3% |
| 11 | Philadelphia Phillies | 44-53 | +3.0% |
| 12 | Texas Rangers | 46-50 | -0.8% |
| 13 | New York Yankees | 45-51 | -1.0% |
| 14 | Miami Marlins | 47-50 | -1.6% |
| 15 | Boston Red Sox | 45-49 | -2.1% |
| 16 | Houston Astros | 47-51 | -3.9% |
| 17 | Cleveland Guardians | 48-49 | -4.2% |
| 18 | Detroit Tigers | 49-47 | -8.1% |
| 19 | Colorado Rockies | 51-47 | -9.1% |
| 20 | Baltimore Orioles | 51-46 | -10.2% |
| 21 | St. Louis Cardinals | 51-44 | -13.0% |
| 22 | Chicago White Sox | 52-43 | -14.1% |
| 23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53-43 | -15.1% |
| 24 | Milwaukee Brewers | 53-43 | -15.9% |
| 25 | Chicago Cubs | 53-43 | -16.9% |
| 26 | Washington Nationals | 54-43 | -16.9% |
| 27 | Tampa Bay Rays | 53-41 | -18.8% |
| 28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55-42 | -20.1% |
| 29 | Atlanta Braves | 56-39 | -22.5% |
| 30 | Minnesota Twins | 59-38 | -25.8% |
First 5 Innings Run Line Trends
First-5 markets settle after five innings, isolating the starting pitchers and removing bullpen and late-inning noise. Washington has been the standout at 63-34, driven by a 33-13 road mark, with Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh close behind.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 63-34 | +24.80u | +21.7% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 56-38 | +13.45u | +12.0% |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55-42 | +6.85u | +6.0% |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 55-40 | +6.90u | +5.9% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Angels | 55-42 | +6.35u | +5.5% |
| 6 | Cleveland Guardians | 53-44 | +5.75u | +5.1% |
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | 51-44 | +3.60u | +3.3% |
| 8 | Cincinnati Reds | 53-42 | +3.75u | +3.3% |
| 9 | Detroit Tigers | 52-43 | +3.45u | +3.0% |
| 10 | Minnesota Twins | 52-45 | +0.70u | +0.6% |
| 11 | Chicago White Sox | 51-44 | -0.20u | -0.2% |
| 12 | Milwaukee Brewers | 49-46 | -1.55u | -1.4% |
| 13 | San Diego Padres | 50-46 | -3.35u | -2.9% |
| 14 | Colorado Rockies | 49-48 | -4.70u | -4.2% |
| 15 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 50-47 | -5.45u | -4.6% |
| 16 | Miami Marlins | 48-49 | -9.35u | -8.2% |
| 17 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 44-51 | -15.20u | -13.3% |
| 18 | New York Yankees | 44-52 | -15.25u | -13.6% |
| 19 | Kansas City Royals | 45-52 | -16.35u | -13.8% |
| 20 | Baltimore Orioles | 44-53 | -15.75u | -13.9% |
| 21 | Texas Rangers | 43-53 | -16.60u | -14.7% |
| 22 | Boston Red Sox | 42-52 | -16.45u | -14.8% |
| 23 | Philadelphia Phillies | 43-54 | -17.10u | -15.1% |
| 24 | Athletics | 43-53 | -17.40u | -15.5% |
| 25 | San Francisco Giants | 44-52 | -19.05u | -16.1% |
| 26 | Chicago Cubs | 42-54 | -18.95u | -16.9% |
| 27 | Seattle Mariners | 42-55 | -18.65u | -16.9% |
| 28 | Toronto Blue Jays | 42-54 | -21.00u | -18.5% |
| 29 | New York Mets | 41-56 | -22.35u | -19.6% |
| 30 | Houston Astros | 41-57 | -25.40u | -21.3% |
First 5 Innings Total Trends (Over / Under)
The first-5 total tracks only the runs scored through five innings. The Angels and Astros lead the Over side, while San Diego and Toronto flip to strong Under numbers.
Best First-5 Over Teams
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Angels | 56-37 | +12.5% |
| 2 | Houston Astros | 55-36 | +11.4% |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 55-38 | +10.5% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 54-37 | +10.1% |
| 5 | Texas Rangers | 53-39 | +7.7% |
| 6 | Atlanta Braves | 51-39 | +5.9% |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | 52-43 | +2.7% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52-44 | +1.1% |
| 9 | Miami Marlins | 49-44 | -1.2% |
| 10 | Chicago White Sox | 49-44 | -1.4% |
| 11 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48-44 | -2.9% |
| 12 | Philadelphia Phillies | 49-46 | -3.2% |
| 13 | New York Mets | 49-47 | -4.1% |
| 14 | Colorado Rockies | 49-47 | -4.5% |
| 15 | Milwaukee Brewers | 47-45 | -4.8% |
| 16 | Baltimore Orioles | 45-44 | -5.1% |
| 17 | Athletics | 46-46 | -5.2% |
| 18 | Kansas City Royals | 47-48 | -6.5% |
| 19 | Cincinnati Reds | 45-46 | -6.7% |
| 20 | Detroit Tigers | 46-47 | -6.7% |
| 21 | New York Yankees | 46-48 | -8.2% |
| 22 | San Francisco Giants | 44-47 | -9.4% |
| 23 | Tampa Bay Rays | 43-47 | -9.9% |
| 24 | Boston Red Sox | 42-47 | -11.2% |
| 25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 43-52 | -15.3% |
| 26 | Seattle Mariners | 39-51 | -17.8% |
| 27 | St. Louis Cardinals | 40-52 | -18.8% |
| 28 | Cleveland Guardians | 37-51 | -19.5% |
| 29 | Toronto Blue Jays | 37-55 | -24.4% |
| 30 | San Diego Padres | 36-55 | -25.8% |
Best First-5 Under Teams
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Padres | 36-55 | +12.5% |
| 2 | Toronto Blue Jays | 37-55 | +11.8% |
| 3 | Cleveland Guardians | 37-51 | +8.6% |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 40-52 | +6.3% |
| 5 | Seattle Mariners | 39-51 | +6.2% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 43-52 | +2.9% |
| 7 | Boston Red Sox | 42-47 | -1.5% |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Rays | 43-47 | -2.0% |
| 9 | San Francisco Giants | 44-47 | -2.0% |
| 10 | Kansas City Royals | 47-48 | -4.5% |
| 11 | New York Yankees | 46-48 | -4.9% |
| 12 | Cincinnati Reds | 45-46 | -5.3% |
| 13 | Detroit Tigers | 46-47 | -5.4% |
| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 45-44 | -6.0% |
| 15 | Athletics | 46-46 | -6.1% |
| 16 | Milwaukee Brewers | 47-45 | -7.5% |
| 17 | Colorado Rockies | 49-47 | -7.6% |
| 18 | New York Mets | 49-47 | -8.7% |
| 19 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48-44 | -9.6% |
| 20 | Chicago White Sox | 49-44 | -9.8% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Phillies | 49-46 | -10.1% |
| 22 | Miami Marlins | 49-44 | -11.3% |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52-44 | -14.8% |
| 24 | Chicago Cubs | 52-43 | -15.6% |
| 25 | Atlanta Braves | 51-39 | -17.7% |
| 26 | Texas Rangers | 53-39 | -20.6% |
| 27 | Minnesota Twins | 55-38 | -21.8% |
| 28 | Washington Nationals | 54-37 | -22.6% |
| 29 | Houston Astros | 55-36 | -23.1% |
| 30 | Los Angeles Angels | 56-37 | -23.4% |
Trends to Fade
Four teams have lost money across the board and belong on the other side of your plays: the Philadelphia Phillies (run line minus 24.5 percent), the New York Mets (moneyline minus 26.0 percent), the Kansas City Royals (run line minus 21.4 percent, moneyline minus 21.2 percent), and the San Francisco Giants (run line minus 14.6 percent). Note that Philadelphia is a run-line fade but one of the better full-game Under sides, so those two angles pair rather than conflict.
Methodology
Every market treats each qualifying game as a flat 1-unit wager settled at the closing line. A win is a cover, a straight-up win, or an Over or Under, depending on the market. Units is the cumulative profit or loss; ROI is units divided by total bets, shown as a percentage. Home and away splits apply the same method to that subset of games. Flat staking keeps all 30 teams on equal footing so a handful of heavy favorites or longshots cannot distort the rankings.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Which MLB team has the best run line trend in 2026?
The Tampa Bay Rays lead the league against the run line at 55-39, returning 21.1 percent on flat 1-unit stakes. The Milwaukee Brewers are second at 51-45 (plus 11.1 percent), with Atlanta close behind, making all three reliable cover teams this season.
Which teams should bettors fade right now?
The Philadelphia Phillies are the worst run-line team in baseball at 37-59 (minus 24.5 percent), and the New York Mets have been the biggest moneyline drain at 40-57 (minus 26.0 percent). The Kansas City Royals are negative in both markets, so there is no split that rescues them.
What is the difference between the run line and the moneyline?
The moneyline is a straight-up bet on who wins. The run line applies a 1.5-run spread — the favorite must win by two or more, or the underdog must lose by one or win outright. Because so many MLB games are decided by a single run, run-line results often diverge sharply from moneyline records.
Which teams are the strongest Over plays?
The Washington Nationals top the full-game Over board at 55-37 (plus 13.9 percent), with the Pittsburgh Pirates at 56-38 (plus 13.4 percent) and the Minnesota Twins right behind. The Twins also lead team totals on the Over, so their bats have cleared the number from both angles.
Which teams are the best Under plays?
The New York Mets lead team-total Unders at 38-59 (plus 15.9 percent) and the San Francisco Giants follow at 39-57 (plus 13.1 percent). On full-game totals, Arizona and Philadelphia have been the most reliable Under sides.
Do first-5-innings trends differ from full-game trends?
Yes. The first-5 markets isolate the starting pitchers and remove bullpen and late-inning scoring. Washington leads the F5 run line at 63-34, while the Angels top the F5 Over and San Diego and Toronto flip to strong F5 Under sides even though their full-game numbers look different.
How often are these trends updated?
These tables reflect the 2026 season through July 16 and are refreshed as new results come in. Records and ROI move daily during the season, so check back before locking in your picks and predictions.
How is ROI calculated?
Every wager is treated as a flat 1-unit stake at the closing line. Units is the running profit or loss across all of a team's games; ROI is that unit total divided by the number of bets, expressed as a percentage. A positive ROI means backing that side blindly all season would have turned a profit.
How We Use These Trends
Season-long ROI tables are a starting point, not a finished play. A team covering the run line at a strong clip tells you the market has been slow to adjust to how it wins games — but the matchup, the starting pitcher, and the closing number still decide each night. We treat these rankings as a filter: they surface which sides the market has mispriced across a full season, and the daily picks and predictions come down to the specific game in front of us.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Odds and records reflect the 2026 MLB season through July 16, 2026 and are subject to change.
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