Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 10, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/10/2026, 01:25 AM ET

The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. Arizona enters the matchup with a 45-47 overall record and an 18-27 road record, while Los Angeles owns a 61-33 overall record and a 31-16 mark at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics heavily favors the Dodgers with a 75.0% chance to win, while the Diamondbacks are given a 25.0% chance. Be sure to check out our ⁠free MLB Picks.

Starting Pitchers

Arizona is expected to start Eduardo Rodriguez, who has compiled a 7-3 record with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 108.0 innings. He has allowed 87 hits, struck out 74 batters, walked 38, and surrendered 10 home runs. Los Angeles is projected to counter with Shohei Ohtani, who enters Friday’s game at 8-2 with a remarkable 1.79 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP across 85.2 innings. He has given up just 55 hits while recording 95 strikeouts, issuing 26 walks, and allowing only four home runs. Both starters have enjoyed outstanding seasons, but Ohtani carries the edge in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and limiting hits and home runs.

Arizona Faces a Tough Road Challenge

The Diamondbacks enter Friday’s contest with a 45-47 overall record and an 18-27 record away from home. Arizona has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Diamondbacks recently lost to San Diego twice, picked up a victory over the Padres, recently lost to Milwaukee, and recently defeated the Brewers. They will be looking to improve their road performance against one of the league’s strongest home teams.

Arizona is batting .237 with 390 runs, 724 hits, and 83 home runs. The Diamondbacks own a .307 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.30 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .252. Arizona has also recorded 625 strikeouts against 264 walks and owns a 28-29 record in night games.

The Diamondbacks’ greatest strength entering this matchup is their starting pitching. Rodriguez has put together an outstanding season and gives Arizona an opportunity to compete every time he takes the mound. However, the team trails Los Angeles in nearly every major offensive category, making this a difficult assignment.

Los Angeles Continues to Set the Pace

The Dodgers come into Friday’s game with a league-best 61-33 overall record and an impressive 31-16 mark at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has won three of its last five games, recently defeating Colorado twice while splitting two contests with San Diego and another against the Rockies. The Dodgers continue to perform at a high level as they begin another home series.

Los Angeles is batting .264 with 498 runs, 836 hits, and 124 home runs. The Dodgers own a .346 on-base percentage and a .437 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have produced a 3.48 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .216 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 837 strikeouts while issuing 279 walks, and the Dodgers own an outstanding 47-24 record in night games.

The Dodgers have been the more complete team throughout the season. They hold advantages over Arizona in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, team ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. Combined with their dominant home record, those numbers explain why Los Angeles is heavily favored by the matchup predictor.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is the clear selection based solely on the supplied information. The Dodgers have the better overall record, one of the strongest home records provided, the higher ESPN Matchup Predictor percentage, and statistical advantages across nearly every offensive and pitching category. They also have the edge in the projected starting pitching matchup, making the Dodgers the preferred side.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8.0

I’m taking the under if the total is set at 8.0. Both projected starters have been excellent this season, combining for ERAs of 2.25 and 1.79. Los Angeles also owns a team ERA of 3.48 and has held opponents to a .216 batting average. Those pitching numbers point toward a game where runs are difficult to come by.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.

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