Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for July 11, 2026

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head to Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, on Saturday, July 11, 2026, to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV. Arizona enters the matchup with a 46-47 overall record and a 19-27 mark on the road, while Los Angeles brings a 61-33 record and a dominant 31-16 home mark into this contest. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Brandon Pfaadt is scheduled to start for Arizona, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take the ball for Los Angeles. Pfaadt enters with a 2-1 record, a 4.84 ERA, and a 1.34 WHIP through 48.1 innings. He has allowed 47 hits while striking out 39 batters, walking 18, and surrendering eight home runs. Yamamoto comes into Saturday with a 9-5 record, a 2.49 ERA, and an outstanding 0.88 WHIP across 104.2 innings. He has given up 71 hits while recording 100 strikeouts, issuing only 21 walks, and allowing 11 home runs. Based on the supplied statistics, Yamamoto holds a decisive advantage in record, ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, strikeouts, and hits allowed.

Arizona Faces a Difficult Road Challenge

The Diamondbacks are 46-47 overall and 19-27 away from home. Arizona has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Diamondbacks most recently defeated San Diego 3-1 after dropping consecutive games by scores of 10-4 and 4-1. Before that series, Arizona earned an 8-0 victory over the Padres before falling 3-2 to Milwaukee.

Arizona is batting .237 with 732 hits, 393 runs, and 84 home runs. The Diamondbacks own a .307 on-base percentage and a .383 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.26 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .251. Arizona has posted a 29-29 record in night games.

Arizona’s biggest challenge has been generating consistent offense. The Diamondbacks trail Los Angeles in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Their pitching staff also enters with the higher ERA and WHIP, making this a difficult matchup against one of the league’s stronger clubs.

Los Angeles Continues to Excel at Home

The Dodgers enter Saturday with a 61-33 overall record and a 31-16 record at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has gone 3-2 over its last five contests. The Dodgers recently defeated Colorado by scores of 4-3 and 8-7 in 11 innings while dropping a 4-3 decision. Before that series, Los Angeles split two games against San Diego with a 3-0 victory and a 5-2 loss.

The Dodgers are batting .264 with 836 hits, 498 runs, and 124 home runs. They own a .346 on-base percentage and a .437 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has compiled a 3.48 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .216 batting average. Los Angeles has posted a 47-24 record in night games.

The Dodgers hold advantages in every major team category provided. They have scored 105 more runs than Arizona while collecting 104 more hits and hitting 40 more home runs. Los Angeles also owns the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and the lowest opponent batting average in this matchup. Combined with a 31-16 home record, the Dodgers enter with a clear statistical edge.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

• Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is my preferred side based entirely on the supplied information. The Dodgers own the superior overall record, an outstanding 31-16 home record, and a commanding edge in the matchup predictor. They also lead Arizona in every major offensive category while entering with the stronger pitching staff and a significant advantage in the starting-pitching matchup. Those factors make Los Angeles the clear moneyline selection.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick

• Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Los Angeles enters with a 3.48 team ERA and a .216 opponent batting average, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto has posted a 2.49 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. Arizona has scored four total runs over its last three games, and the Diamondbacks average fewer runs than the Dodgers over the course of the season. The supplied pitching numbers make the under my preferred play.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.