Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 25, 2026
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia, on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV. Arizona enters the matchup at 54-49 overall and 23-27 on the road, while Washington is 52-51 overall and 20-31 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Diamondbacks a 34.2% chance of winning and the Nationals a 65.8% probability. The game-time temperature is listed at 84 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before Saturday’s action begins.
Starting Pitchers for Arizona and Washington
Mitch Bratt is scheduled to start for Arizona with a 0-0 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.78 WHIP through 10.2 innings. The left-hander has allowed 13 hits and three home runs while recording seven strikeouts and six walks. Washington is expected to counter with Foster Griffin, who owns an 11-2 record with a 2.68 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across 117.1 innings. The Nationals’ left-hander has surrendered 94 hits and 17 home runs while collecting 111 strikeouts against 27 walks.
Arizona Brings Winning Momentum onto the Road
Arizona enters Saturday with a 54-49 overall record and a 23-27 mark away from home. The Diamondbacks recently defeated St. Louis 10-6 and earned three victories in four games against the Athletics, winning 15-5 and 6-5 while losing 5-2. They also recently claimed an 8-7 victory over St. Louis. Arizona is consequently 4-1 over its last five games, with two victories requiring 10 innings.
The Diamondbacks have recorded a .242 batting average with 831 hits, 466 runs and 101 home runs. Their offense carries a .313 on-base percentage and a .396 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff owns a 4.23 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .253. The staff has issued 297 walks and registered 697 strikeouts. Arizona is also 22-18 during day games.
Arizona’s primary strength is its recent offensive production. The Diamondbacks have scored 41 runs across their last five games, reaching double figures twice and scoring at least six runs in four of those contests. That production has helped Arizona win four of five despite allowing at least five runs in each game. The concern is the road record, as the Diamondbacks have lost more games than they have won away from home.
Washington Relies on Its Productive Lineup at Nationals Park
Washington comes into the game at 52-51 overall and 20-31 at home. The Nationals recently defeated Colorado 8-0 and 7-3 while suffering an 8-7 loss in the same road series. They also recently beat the Athletics 5-2 after losing 15-1 in another matchup with that opponent. Washington has gone 3-2 across its last five games and has won three of its last four.
The Nationals are batting .253 with 898 hits, 567 runs and 150 home runs. Their offense has produced a .328 on-base percentage and a .443 slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has posted a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP while permitting a .261 opponent batting average. The staff has accumulated 814 strikeouts and issued 361 walks. Washington owns a 23-24 record in day games.
Washington’s clearest advantage is its overall offensive profile. The Nationals hold the better batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage in this matchup. They have also scored 101 more runs and hit 49 more home runs than Arizona. However, Washington’s 20-31 home record and 4.79 team ERA create concerns, particularly against an Arizona club that has produced 41 runs during its five most recent contests.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Pick
- Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline
Washington is the selection despite Arizona possessing the better overall record and stronger recent form. The Nationals receive a 65.8% chance of winning from ESPN Analytics, compared with Arizona’s 34.2%. Washington also owns the more productive season-long offensive numbers, including advantages in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
The scheduled pitching matchup provides the most substantial reason to support Washington. The Nationals’ starter enters with an 11-2 record, 2.68 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across 117.1 innings. Arizona’s scheduled starter has worked only 10.2 innings while posting a 5.06 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Washington’s poor home record must be considered, but its combination of starting-pitching numbers and offensive production makes it the preferred side.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Total Pick
- Pick: Over 9.5
Take the over if the total is set at 9.5. I am backing a higher-scoring game because the two offenses have combined for 1,033 runs and 251 home runs this season. Washington has the stronger overall offensive profile, while Arizona enters after scoring at least six runs in four of its last five games.
Both teams also have elevated staff ERAs, with Arizona at 4.23 and Washington at 4.79. Arizona has allowed at least five runs in each of its last five contests, while Washington has scored at least seven runs in three of its last five. Although the Washington starter presents strong individual numbers, the supplied team and recent-game statistics support a prediction that reaches double figures.
Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.