Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs Picks and Prediction, Monday, September 1, 2025
Use Code SSWC In the opener of an NL series at Wrigley Field, the Cubs play host to the Braves. The Braves avoided a sweep with a win in their last game while the Cubs could not close out the sweep in their last series with a loss. Right here in this Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs prediction you can get all of the full score info, pitching matchup, and other free MLB picks.
The Cubs come into this series opener as a slight favorite posted at -115 with the Braves at +105 and a total of 8 runs.
Baldwin Plays Hero for Braves
After losing the first three games of an NL East series facing the Philadelphia Phillies on the road Drake Baldwin helped the Braves avoid the sweep with a tiebreaking two-run HR in the ninth inning. They only had six hits in the game and Matt Olson also had an RBI. Atlanta is 4-6 in their last 10 games and out of the playoff race 17 games out of first place in the NL East and 11 games out of the Wild Card.
- On the season, the Braves rank 15th in the Majors in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA.
- Olson (.269 21 HR 77 RBI) is the team leader in batting average, HR, and RBI and has five RBI in the last five games.
- Star Ronald Acuna Jr. (.289 15 HR 31 RBI) has had an injury-marred season, missed the first half of last month with a calf injury, and only has one RBI in the last nine games and none in the last five.
- On the season, Atlanta is 29-42 on the road.
Spencer Strider (5-12 4.95 ERA 1.38 WHIP) gets the nod for the series opener and had a good last start only giving up one run on three hits in seven innings but got little help in a 2-1 loss to the Miami Marlins. The Braves have lost his last four starts and in the three before the last one were lit up for 20 runs in only 11 2/3 innings.
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Cubs Can’t Seal the Deal
After winning the first two games of an NL series in the Mile High City the Cubs lost to the Colorado Rockies 6-5 in the finale. In the loss, Ian Happ had a three-run HR and Seiya Suzuki had two RBI. Chicago is 5-5 in their last 10 games, in second place in the NL Central 6.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers, and are in the lead in the NL Wild Card.
- On the season, the Cubbies rank sixth in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
- Suzuki (.247 27 HR 89 RBI) leads the club in RBI and did not have any in four games and only six in August before two in the last game.
- The Cubs recently signed veteran first baseman Carlos Santana, who batted .225 with 11 HR and 52 RBI for the Cleveland Guardians before being released.
- This is the Cubs first game of the season facing the Braves.
- On the season Chicago is 41-25 at home.
Colin Rea (4-6 4.23 ERA 1.32 WHIP) takes the hill for Game 1 and was tagged for seven runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 innings in his last start in a 12-3 loss to the San Francisco Giants. The Cubs have lost two of his last three starts but he had not given up more than two runs in four starts before the last one.
My Pick Cubs at -115 (4 Units)
The Braves had lost three in a row before a win in their last game while the Cubs had won two in a row before a loss in their last game. The pitching matchup is an interesting one, as Strider was strong in his last start while getting lit up in the previous three. Rea was lit up for seven runs in his last start after four in row where he did not give up more than two runs. Regarding the Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs prediction both starters will be decent but the Cubbies have the better lineup and bullpen, which is why they will get the win.
Total and analysis: Under 8 runs (4 Units)
I am leaning towards the Under in this game, which is the first between these teams this season. Strider had three bad outings before a solid one in his last start and he will have a pretty good outing here. Rea had a terrible last start giving up seven runs. However, he will bounce back and in his last two home starts he has only given up a total of three runs. Chicago has a solid lineup but their top two RBI guys have been struggling as of late. This mid-afternoon affair will be far from a barnburner and in a lower-scoring affair the Under is the pick.
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