Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates square off on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before making your selections.
Starting Pitchers Take Center Stage
Atlanta is expected to send Hurston Waldrep to the mound, while Pittsburgh is scheduled to start Paul Skenes. Waldrep enters the contest with a 0-0 record, a 3.68 ERA, a 1.64 WHIP, and 7.1 innings pitched. He has allowed seven hits, struck out seven batters, walked five, and given up one home run. Skenes comes into Tuesday’s game with a 6-8 record, a 3.62 ERA, a 1.01 WHIP, and 97.0 innings pitched. He has surrendered 76 hits while striking out 119 batters, issuing 22 walks, and allowing 11 home runs. Both starters carry similar ERAs into the matchup, but Skenes owns the lower WHIP and significantly more innings of work.
Atlanta Looks to Continue a Solid Season
The Braves enter this matchup with a 52-36 overall record and a 25-19 record on the road. Atlanta has won three of its last five games, recently defeating New York twice and St. Louis once while recently losing to New York and St. Louis. The Braves have remained consistent throughout the season and continue to bring one of the better records into this series despite alternating results over the past week.
Atlanta is batting .248 with 431 runs, 739 hits, and 114 home runs. The Braves own a .313 on-base percentage and a .412 slugging percentage while carrying a 3.53 team ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Their pitching staff has issued 289 walks, recorded 747 strikeouts, and limited opponents to a .228 batting average. Atlanta is 13-13 in day games.
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The Braves’ greatest strength entering this contest is their pitching. Their ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average are all better than Pittsburgh’s, and they have allowed opposing hitters to produce less consistently throughout the season. Combined with their power at the plate, Atlanta enters with a balanced statistical profile.
Pittsburgh Brings Confidence Back Home
The Pirates come into Tuesday’s game with a 46-45 overall record and a 23-22 mark at home. Pittsburgh has won three of its last five games after recently defeating Washington twice and Philadelphia once. The Pirates also recently dropped games to Washington and Philadelphia, but they return home after putting together another winning stretch.
Pittsburgh has been productive offensively, batting .262 with 475 runs, 831 hits, and 114 home runs. The Pirates also own a .340 on-base percentage and a .422 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have compiled a 4.27 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP while issuing 331 walks, striking out 829 batters, and allowing opponents to hit .238. Pittsburgh is 24-16 in day games.
The biggest strength for Pittsburgh has been its offense. The Pirates lead this matchup in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and strikeouts by the pitching staff. Those numbers have helped keep them above .500 despite pitching statistics that trail Atlanta in several categories.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
The matchup predictor gives Pittsburgh a 61.0% chance to win, and the Pirates have been one of the stronger offensive clubs in this matchup. They own advantages in batting average, runs, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage while also entering after winning three of their last five games. Atlanta has enjoyed a better overall season, but I’ll back Pittsburgh at home based on the numbers provided.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
I would take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Pittsburgh has scored 475 runs this season, while Atlanta has hit 114 home runs and scored 431 runs. Both offenses have shown they can produce consistently, and each club has won three of its last five games while putting together several strong offensive performances. I like enough scoring in this matchup to push the game over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates 5 – Atlanta Braves 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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