Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/24/2026, 01:25 AM ET
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The Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres continue their series on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, at Petco Park in San Diego, California. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 PM ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Headline the Matchup

Atlanta is expected to start Martin Perez in this contest. Perez enters with a 6-3 record, a 2.78 ERA, and a 1.07 WHIP across 68.0 innings. He has allowed 50 hits, struck out 56 batters, walked 23, and surrendered six home runs. San Diego is scheduled to counter with Randy Vasquez, who comes into the game with a 6-5 record, a 4.17 ERA, and a 1.40 WHIP over 77.2 innings. He has allowed 84 hits, recorded 59 strikeouts, issued 25 walks, and given up 11 home runs.

Atlanta Looks to Regain Momentum

The Braves enter this matchup with a 48-29 overall record and a 24-15 road record. Atlanta has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Braves recently defeated Milwaukee twice while suffering losses to San Diego, Milwaukee, and San Francisco.

Atlanta is batting .252 as a team with 377 runs scored, 659 hits, and 101 home runs. The Braves own a .316 on-base percentage and a .418 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they have posted a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP while recording 665 strikeouts. Opponents are batting just .224 against Atlanta. The Braves are also 13-11 in day games.

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The biggest strength for Atlanta is its combination of power and pitching. The Braves have surpassed the 100-home-run mark while also owning the better ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average in this matchup. Those balanced numbers have helped Atlanta build one of the best records among the teams playing on Wednesday.

San Diego Trying to Keep the Series Edge

The Padres come into this game with a 40-37 overall record and a 20-19 home record. San Diego has gone 3-2 over its last five games. The Padres recently defeated Atlanta, Saint Louis and Texas while suffering losses to Texas twice.

San Diego is batting .219 with 297 runs scored, 551 hits, and 79 home runs. The Padres have produced a .293 on-base percentage and a .363 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.85 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP while recording 637 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .242 against San Diego. The Padres are also 19-13 in day games.

The strength of San Diego has been its pitching staff. Despite offensive struggles relative to Atlanta, the Padres have kept games competitive with a respectable ERA and WHIP. Their recent 1-0 victory over the Braves demonstrated their ability to win lower-scoring contests.

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

Atlanta enters this game with advantages across most major categories. The Braves have the better overall record, stronger road record, higher batting average, more runs scored, more hits, more home runs, and superior pitching metrics. The projected starting pitching matchup also favors Atlanta, and the matchup predictor gives the Braves a solid edge. Those factors make Atlanta the preferred side.

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 8.

I would lean toward the under if the number is set at 8. Atlanta owns a 3.38 team ERA and allows opponents to hit just .224, while San Diego carries a respectable 3.85 ERA. The most recent meeting between these teams ended 1-0, showing how effective both pitching staffs can be. With both projected starters entering with solid numbers, this looks like a game that could stay below the total.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 4 โ€“ San Diego Padres 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.

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