Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 4, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Baltimore Orioles visit the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Baltimore is 40-48 and is fourth in the AL East, while Cincinnati is 40-46 and is fifth in the NL Central. The Orioles snapped a four-game losing streak with a 6-1 victory over the White Sox in their last outing, while the Reds ended a four-game skid with a 7-2 win over Milwaukee. Both teams are trying to build momentum as they open this interleague series. Cash a winning ticket with our free MLB picks.
Baltimore Orioles Looking to Find Consistency
Baltimore has struggled to produce consistently at the plate, batting .239 as a team while ranking 21st in MLB in batting average. The Orioles have scored 403 runs while collecting 700 hits, 102 home runs, a .319 on-base percentage, and a .397 slugging percentage through 88 games. Pete Alonso leads the offense with 19 home runs and 59 RBI, while Taylor Ward owns a team-high .250 batting average with 82 hits and a .378 on-base percentage. Samuel Basallo has added 12 home runs, Gunnar Henderson has contributed 16 home runs, and Adley Rutschman has driven in 43 runs.
The Orioles have also had inconsistent results on the mound this season. Baltimore ranks 22nd in MLB with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .256. The pitching staff has recorded 699 strikeouts while issuing 307 walks and allowing 98 home runs. Baltimore will need a stronger overall performance after allowing 27 runs during its previous five games.
Injuries: Ryan Helsley (Day-to-Day), Ryan Mountcastle (60-Day IL), Keegan Akin (15-Day IL), Yaramil Hiraldo (60-Day IL), Chris Bassitt (15-Day IL).
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Cincinnati Reds Looking to Build on Milwaukee Win
Cincinnati has found offense difficult to generate for much of the first half of the season, ranking 29th in MLB with a .228 team batting average. The Reds have scored 364 runs while totaling 659 hits, 106 home runs, a .309 on-base percentage, and a .391 slugging percentage. Sal Stewart has been the club's top run producer with 17 home runs and 60 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz is batting .272 with 13 home runs, 40 RBI, and 10 stolen bases. JJ Bleday has contributed 13 home runs, Spencer Steer has added 13 long balls, and Nathaniel Lowe has chipped in with nine home runs.
The Reds have struggled on the mound throughout the season. Cincinnati ranks 23rd in MLB with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .251. Reds pitchers have recorded 681 strikeouts but have also issued 377 walks and surrendered 118 home runs. Limiting free baserunners has been one of the biggest challenges for Cincinnati all season.
Injuries: Hunter Greene (60-Day IL), Ke'Bryan Hayes (10-Day IL), Blake Dunn (10-Day IL), Dane Myers (10-Day IL), Graham Ashcraft (60-Day IL).
Pitching Matchup
Baltimore Orioles – Brandon Young
Young is 6-2 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP across 72.1 innings. He has allowed 67 hits while striking out 57 batters and walking 27.
Cincinnati Reds – Hunter Greene
The Reds had not officially announced a starting pitcher for Saturday’s game.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles Game Pick
- Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore has the edge entering this matchup with the more productive offense and the more reliable starting pitching situation. The Orioles feature more proven power throughout the lineup with Alonso, Henderson, Basallo, and Rutschman. Young has also delivered a strong season with a 3.11 ERA and has consistently kept Baltimore in games. Cincinnati has struggled to hit for average throughout the year, and the Reds' pitching staff has allowed too many walks and home runs. Baltimore has the stronger overall matchup and is the play.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Orioles Over/Under Pick
- Under
Baltimore has relied on its offense at times, but Young has pitched well enough to slow down a Cincinnati lineup that ranks near the bottom of MLB in batting average. The Orioles have also been inconsistent offensively despite their power numbers, while the Reds continue to have difficulty putting together sustained rallies. If Young delivers another quality outing, scoring could remain limited for much of the afternoon, making the under the play.
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