Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Monday August 31 2026
The Baltimore Orioles travel to Coors Field to face the Colorado Rockies on Monday night in Denver, Colorado. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 PM ET on August 31, with MLB.TV providing the coverage. Baltimore enters the series opener at 67-69 overall and 33-35 on the road, while Colorado is 52-84 overall and 27-38 at home. The Orioles have won two straight and four of their last five games, while the Rockies have dropped three consecutive games. This will be the first meeting of the season between Baltimore and Colorado. ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives the Orioles a 59.1% chance of winning compared with 40.9% for the Rockies. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before making your Monday baseball wagers, check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions and betting analysis.
Starting Pitchers
Baltimore is scheduled to start Kyle Bradish, who enters at 7-12 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 143 innings. Bradish has allowed 140 hits while recording 133 strikeouts against 62 walks and has surrendered 16 home runs. Colorado counters with Tanner Gordon, who is 1-4 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.43 WHIP through 83.2 innings. Gordon has allowed 105 hits while striking out 69 against 15 walks and has surrendered 17 home runs. Baltimore has the advantage in the starting pitching matchup based on the season numbers, with its starter carrying a significantly lower ERA while also allowing one fewer home run despite pitching nearly 60 additional innings.
Orioles Carry Strong Recent Form Into Denver
Baltimore enters Monday at 67-69 and sits fourth in the American League East, 14.5 games behind Tampa Bay. The Orioles remain below .500 but have been trending in the right direction recently. Baltimore has won four of its last five games, including consecutive road victories over the Athletics by scores of 4-3 in 10 innings and 5-3. The Orioles have scored 35 runs over their last five games while going 4-1.
The Orioles are batting .236 with 618 runs, 1,069 hits and 165 home runs this season. Baltimore owns a .318 on-base percentage and .397 slugging percentage. Those offensive numbers are not overwhelming, but the Orioles have demonstrated considerably more scoring punch recently, reaching at least five runs in three of their last five games and scoring eight or more twice during that stretch.
Baltimore has also been the considerably better pitching team in this matchup. The Orioles own a 4.19 team ERA and 1.34 WHIP while opponents are batting .254 against them. Baltimore has issued 450 walks and recorded 1,082 strikeouts. Those numbers create a substantial advantage over a Colorado pitching staff that has struggled throughout the season.
The Orioles are only 33-35 on the road, so this has not been a dominant team away from home. Still, Baltimore arrives in Denver with momentum, the stronger overall record and a clear advantage in pitching. The Orioles have also won three consecutive road games entering this series.
Rockies Look to End Three-Game Losing Streak
Colorado returns home at 52-84 after a difficult road stretch. The Rockies have dropped three consecutive games, losing 7-1 at Washington before suffering 6-4 and 2-1 defeats at Atlanta. Colorado has gone 2-3 over its last five games, with its two victories coming by scores of 3-1 and 13-1.
The Rockies are batting .253 with 642 runs, 1,167 hits and 151 home runs. Colorado owns a .324 on-base percentage and .415 slugging percentage. Those numbers give the Rockies advantages over Baltimore in batting average, runs, hits, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Colorado has scored 24 more runs than Baltimore despite having the considerably worse overall record.
Pitching explains much of that difference. Colorado enters Monday with a 5.52 team ERA and 1.52 WHIP while opponents are batting .289. The Rockies have issued 446 walks while recording only 919 strikeouts. Baltimore's 4.19 ERA is 1.33 runs lower, and its 1.34 WHIP is substantially better than Colorado's 1.52 mark.
The Rockies have also struggled to establish a meaningful home-field advantage, going just 27-38 at Coors Field. Their offense gives them a chance to compete, but consistently overcoming a pitching staff allowing opponents to bat .289 has been difficult. That weakness becomes especially important against a Baltimore club that has scored 35 runs over its last five games.
Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction
Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Baltimore is the stronger side in the series opener. The Orioles have won four of their last five games and enter with advantages in overall record, recent form, starting pitching and season-long pitching statistics. Colorado owns the better batting average and has scored slightly more runs, but its 5.52 team ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .289 opponent batting average are difficult numbers to overcome consistently. Baltimore also has the stronger scheduled starter based on the supplied statistics, while Colorado has lost three straight and sits 32 games below .500. Take the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline once the market becomes available.
Pick: Over 10.5
This is a matchup where the offensive numbers and Colorado's pitching struggles create a path toward a high-scoring game. The Rockies have a .253 batting average, .324 on-base percentage and .415 slugging percentage, while Baltimore has scored 35 runs across its last five games. Colorado's 5.52 ERA and .289 opponent batting average are the biggest reasons to look toward the Over, and its scheduled starter enters with a 5.38 ERA while having allowed 17 home runs in 83.2 innings. Baltimore has also allowed at least seven runs twice over its last five games, giving Colorado opportunities to contribute to the scoring. Take the Over if the total is set at 10.5 or lower.
Final Picks: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline and Over 10.5
This preview was completed before play on Sunday. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.