Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 11 2026

The Baltimore Orioles visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Baltimore enters at 57-61 overall and 25-31 on the road, while Minnesota is 58-61 overall and 30-27 at home. The Orioles lead the season series 2-1 after taking two of three from Minnesota in Baltimore earlier this year. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Check out our free MLB picks for more predictions from Tuesday's MLB schedule.

Starting Pitchers

Brandon Young is scheduled to start for Baltimore with an 8-3 record, 3.43 ERA and 1.31 WHIP through 107.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 103 hits and 38 walks while striking out 89 and surrendering 12 home runs. Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, who is 7-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.22 WHIP across 93.0 innings. Ober has allowed 89 hits, 24 walks and 14 home runs while recording 63 strikeouts. Young owns the clear advantage in ERA, while Ober has the better WHIP and has issued fewer walks.

Orioles Look to Build on a Big Road Win

Baltimore enters Tuesday at 57-61 overall and 25-31 on the road. The Orioles have gone 2-3 over their last five games but closed their weekend series in Texas with an encouraging 10-5 victory. Baltimore had scored just three total runs over its previous three games, making Sunday's offensive outburst a welcome change after consecutive losses to the Rangers and Angels.

The Orioles are batting .235 with a .320 on-base percentage and .394 slugging percentage this season. Baltimore has scored 528 runs while collecting 919 hits and hitting 138 home runs. The pitching staff owns a 4.19 ERA and 1.33 WHIP while opponents are batting .251.

Baltimore's best advantage in this matchup comes on the mound. Young's 3.43 ERA is more than a full run lower than Ober's 4.45 mark, and he has surrendered only 12 home runs through 107.2 innings. The Orioles also have the better season ERA and WHIP, giving Baltimore a legitimate opportunity to overcome its losing road record.

Twins Try to Reverse a Two-Game Slide

Minnesota enters at 58-61 overall and has been better at Target Field with a 30-27 home record. The Twins have lost two straight and three of their last five games, although each of those three defeats came by a single run. Minnesota lost 4-3 in consecutive games against Milwaukee over the weekend after winning 8-6 on Friday.

The Twins are batting .243 with a .317 on-base percentage and .405 slugging percentage. Minnesota has scored 553 runs while collecting 973 hits and hitting 141 home runs. Those numbers give the Twins modest offensive advantages over Baltimore, but their pitching has struggled with a 4.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP while opponents are batting .251.

Minnesota's advantage comes from its slightly stronger offense and winning home record, but the pitching numbers create concerns. Ober has allowed 14 home runs in only 93 innings, and the Twins' 4.59 team ERA is considerably higher than Baltimore's 4.19 mark. Minnesota has been competitive recently, but failing to close out three one-run games over its last five leaves little margin for error.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction

Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline

Baltimore is the preferred side in what appears to be a very evenly matched game. Minnesota has the better home/road split and modest offensive advantages, but Young provides Baltimore with the stronger starting-pitching profile behind his 8-3 record and 3.43 ERA. The Orioles also own the better team ERA at 4.19 compared with Minnesota's 4.59 and the better WHIP at 1.33 versus 1.38. Baltimore has already won two of three against Minnesota this season and comes into the matchup following a 10-run performance in Texas. Take the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline.

Total Pick: Over 8.5

The Over 8.5 is the preferred total despite Young's solid season because both pitching staffs have shown enough vulnerability to create scoring opportunities once the starters depart. Minnesota owns a 4.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP, while Baltimore sits at a 4.19 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Twins have scored at least three runs in four straight games, and Baltimore just erupted for 10 against Texas. Ober's 4.45 ERA and 14 home runs allowed through 93 innings also provide Baltimore with an opportunity to contribute early. Take the Over 8.5 if that number is available.

This game preview was completed prior to play on Monday.