Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Sunday September 13 2026

The Baltimore Orioles visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, on Sunday, September 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 PM ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Baltimore enters at 72-76 overall and 36-37 on the road, while Toronto is 73-75 overall and 37-36 at home. The Orioles won the series opener 7-4 and enter Sunday on a two-game winning streak, while the Blue Jays have dropped two straight. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions throughout the season.

Starting Pitchers

Baltimore is scheduled to start Trevor Rogers, who enters at 10-9 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 151.2 innings. He has allowed 147 hits and 16 home runs while recording 138 strikeouts against 37 walks. Toronto counters with Dylan Cease, who is 10-5 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 161.1 innings. He has surrendered 101 hits and 11 home runs while striking out 227 and walking 67. Toronto owns the clear starting-pitching advantage, particularly in ERA, WHIP, strikeout production and opponent contact.

Baltimore Brings the Better Recent Form

Baltimore enters Sunday at 72-76 overall and 36-37 away from home. The Orioles have won three of their last five games, including consecutive victories by scores of 7-4 and 9-5. Their other recent win came by a 6-4 score, while the two losses were 9-5 and 3-1. Baltimore has therefore scored at least five runs in four of its last five games and carries the better recent offensive form into this matchup.

The Orioles are batting .235 with 668 runs, 1,157 hits and 178 home runs. Baltimore owns a .316 on-base percentage and .395 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.34 WHIP while opponents are batting .253. The Orioles have recorded 1,191 strikeouts against 488 walks and are 28-31 in day games.

Baltimore's strongest advantage is power and run production. The Orioles have scored 75 more runs than Toronto and hold a 36-home-run edge based on the supplied season statistics. The weakness is their overall pitching profile, which trails Toronto in ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. Baltimore's recent offense gives it a chance, but Sunday's starting matchup is much tougher than the team numbers alone suggest.

Toronto Has the Stronger Pitching Setup

Toronto enters Sunday at 73-75 overall and 37-36 at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are 1-4 over their last five games and have lost two straight, including the 7-4 series-opening defeat against Baltimore. Their lone win during that stretch was a 4-2 decision, while the other losses came by scores of 2-0, 6-5 and 6-1. Toronto has struggled to generate consistent offense recently, scoring four runs or fewer in four of those five contests.

The Blue Jays are batting .248 with 593 runs, 1,239 hits and 142 home runs. Toronto owns a .309 on-base percentage and .383 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff carries a 3.93 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while opponents are batting .236. The Blue Jays have recorded 1,280 strikeouts against 537 walks and are 31-33 in day games.

Toronto's advantage comes from pitching and contact ability. The Blue Jays have the better batting average, more hits, lower team ERA, lower WHIP and better opponent batting average. The biggest separator is the scheduled starter, whose numbers are significantly stronger than Baltimore's. Toronto's recent form is a concern, but the overall pitching setup gives the home side the better chance to control Sunday's game.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline

The Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline is the preferred side. Baltimore has the better recent form and the stronger power numbers, but Toronto owns the superior starting-pitching matchup and better overall team pitching profile. The Blue Jays' scheduled starter enters with a 2.40 ERA and 1.04 WHIP while recording 227 strikeouts, giving Toronto a major edge on the mound. With the teams separated by only one game in the standings, that pitching advantage becomes the deciding factor.

Pick: Under 8.5

Take the Under if the total is set at 8.5 or higher. Toronto's scheduled starter has been one of the strongest statistical arms in this matchup, while Baltimore's starter also brings a respectable 4.15 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The Blue Jays have scored four runs or fewer in four of their last five games, and Toronto's team pitching numbers remain solid. Baltimore has been hitting well, but at 8.5 or higher the pitching matchup provides enough support to lean Under.

Final Picks: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline and Under 8.5

This preview was completed on Saturday. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.