Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction, Sunday, September 14, 2025
An AL East matchup goes down on Sunday, September 14, as the Baltimore Orioles take on the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday, September 14 at 1:37 p.m. ET, so continue reading for our Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction. This is written before Saturday's game has ended.
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Orioles Continue Road Trip
Baltimore ends its three-game series against Toronto on Sunday before continuing on the road to play the White Sox. Entering play on Saturday, the Orioles are 69-78 and are last in the AL East. Baltimore is hitting .240, which ranks 22nd, while in September, they are hitting .209. Against Bieber, Henderson hits .250 in eight at-bats, Mateo hits .250 in four at-bats, Mountcastle hits .125 in eight at-bats with a homer, Carlson is 0-for-3, and Rivera is 0-for-2.
The Orioles are expected to have a bullpen game on Sunday, but Albert Suarez is expected to start and get the bulk of the innings. Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in four games as he's pitched 8.2 innings. Suarez went one scoreless inning against the Pirates last time out, while he's 1-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his career against Toronto. Baltimore has a team ERA of 4.58, which ranks 24th.
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Blue Jays Starting Bieber
Toronto enters play on Saturday with a record of 85-62 and is first in the AL East after winning the opening game of the series against the Orioles. The Blue Jays are set to start right-hander Shane Bieber, who's 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA in four starts this season. Last time out, he went 5.2 innings, allowing three runs against the Astros, while in his career against the Orioles, he's 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA. Toronto has a team ERA of 4.17, which ranks 19th.
The Blue Jays' offense has been clicking as Toronto is hitting .269, which is the best batting average in the majors. Toronto is hitting .271 at home, while in September, the team is hitting .278.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Pick
- Blue Jays ML
With Baltimore going with a bullpen game, this is a great spot for the Blue Jays to get the win. Bieber has been pitching well since coming back from Tommy John surgery, and he should be able to have success against this struggling Orioles' offense. Toronto's bats, meanwhile, are clicking as the Blue Jays will be able to get after the bullpen and cruise to a big win here.
Take Blue Jays ML.
Over/Under Pick for Orioles vs Blue Jays
- Under
The under is also a good spot here as Bieber should be able to limit the damage and go 6+ innings, only allowing a run or two to help the under hit. This seems like a 5-2 type of win here for the Blue Jays, which will go under. This season, the Orioles are 82-60-5 in hitting the under, and although Toronto has the best over record in the majors, Bieber will be solid and limit the runs. Baltimore's bats are struggling right now, which will be the key reason for the under cashing.
Take the under.
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