Boston Red Sox vs Athletics Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 9, 2025
In our Red Sox vs. Athletics prediction, the Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 79-65 record so far. They are having right-hander Dustin May get the start as he is coming off a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians, where he pitched three innings out of the bullpen and allowed one run on three hits with two walks and one strikeout.
The Athletics are looking to improve as they are sitting in fifth place in the AL West with a 66-78 record entering this game. Left-hander Jeffrey Springs will be taking the ball here and is coming off a losing effort against the St. Louis Cardinals as he allowed two runs on five hits with one walk and four strikeouts in six innings of work.
First pitch focus — our MLB picks for Boston Red Sox vs Sacramento Athletics break down the matchup.WRITTEN BEFORE MONDAY’S GAME
Red Sox Looking to Gain Ground in AL East
The Boston Red Sox are looking to continue swinging the bats at a great rate as the team is tied with the Chicago Cubs for eighth in the sport with a .748 team OPS while averaging 4.93 runs per game. Boston has also been aggressive on the bases with their young talent as they rank seventh in MLB with 121 stolen bases while being caught 35 times. Left fielder Jarren Duran has done well as he has a .776 OPS with 14 home runs, 77 RBI, 77 runs scored, and 22 stolen bases while being caught four times.
Dustin May has been struggling this year, according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 12th percentile in xERA, 13th percentile in whiff percentage, 17th percentile in average exit velocity, and 18th percentile in chase percentage. He has a five-pitch arsenal (sweeper, sinker, fastball, cutter, changeup) and his cutter has been getting hit too much as hitters have a .385 batting average and a .590 slugging percentage with one home run and four strikeouts. May has not pitched against the Athletics since 2021 so this will be a good test.
Injury Report for Boston
- Pitcher Jordan Hicks: Shoulder (OUT)
- Right fielder Roman Anthony: Oblique (OUT)
- Third baseman Marcelo Mayer: Wrist (OUT)
- Pitcher Richard Fitts: Biceps (OUT)
- Right fielder Wilyer Abreu: Calf (OUT)
- Pitcher Luis Guerrero: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Tanner Houck: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Hunter Dobbins: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Liam Hendriks: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Josh Winckowski: Elbow (OUT)
- First baseman Triston Casas: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Kutter Crawford: Knee (OUT)
- Pitcher Patrick Sandoval: Elbow (OUT)
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Athletics Looking to Hit Their Way to Wins
The Athletics are doing an amazing job at the plate as they are sixth in the bigs with a .757 team OPS while scoring 4.64 runs per game. The team has been hitting for an incredible amount of power as they are fourth with 199 total home runs hit. Catcher Shea Langeliers has been leading the way at the plate as he has a .264/.313/.533 slash line with 29 homers, 67 RBI, 63 runs scored, and six steals on seven tries.
Jeffrey Springs is struggling this season when diving into his Baseball Savant page, as he is in the 27th percentile in strikeout percentage, 36th percentile in xERA, 37th percentile in xBA, and 52nd percentile in chase percentage. He has five different pitches (fastball, changeup, slider, cutter, sweeper) and his sweeper has been doing well as hitters have a .120 batting average and .160 slugging percentage with zero home runs and six strikeouts. Springs last faced the Red Sox as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays in 2023 without factoring into the decison as he pitched three innings and allowed one run on one hit with zero walks and five strikeouts.
Injury Report for Athletics
- Pitcher Ben Bowden: Lat (OUT)
- Pitcher Joey Estes: Back (OUT)
- Pitcher Jacob Lopez: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Jack Perkins: Shoulder (OUT)
- Catcher Austin Wynns: Abdomen (OUT)
- Pitcher Jose Leclerc: Shoulder (OUT)
- Center fielder Denzel Clarke: Abductor (OUT)
- Third baseman Max Muncy: Hand (OUT)
- Pitcher Grant Holman: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Gunnar Hoglund: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Luis Medina: Elbow (OUT)
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics Pick
Spread Pick for Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
- Boston Red Sox ML (5 units)
Since the All-Star break, these teams are pitching well but there is a slight divide. Boston is fourth in baseball with a 3.76 team ERA in 46 games while the Athletics are seventh with a 3.92 team ERA in 46 games. The team batting average of balls in play show a gap as well with the Red Sox being best in baseball with a .306 team BABIP, while the Athletics are eighth with a .299 team BABIP right now. Boston is 5-1 in their six games last season against the Athletics so take the Boston Red Sox to win this game.
Over/Under Pick for Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
- OVER (5 units)
Both pitchers as of late, are not doing too well at limiting runs, as Dustin May is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP in 28.1 innings (six games, five starts) since joining the Red Sox while Jeffrey Springs is 1-3 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 37.0 innings over his previous seven starts. Both lineups have been hitting relatively well with runners in scoring position this year as Boston is 13th with a .762 team OPS with runners in scoring position, while the Athletics are 11th with a .769 team OPS in those opportunities. All in all, go with the OVER as the better bet here.
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