Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/05/2026, 01:15 AM ET
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The Boston Red Sox travel to Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, for a Sunday night matchup against the Los Angeles Angels on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET with coverage on Peacock/NBCSN. Boston enters the contest with a 38-48 overall record and a 21-21 road record, while Los Angeles is 36-53 overall and 21-23 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Red Sox a 61.3 percent chance to win compared to 38.7 percent for the Angels. Be sure to check out our free MLB picksโ .

Starting Pitchers

The Red Sox are expected to start Ranger Suarez, who is 4-3 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP across 88.2 innings. He has allowed 74 hits, struck out 92 batters, walked 26, and surrendered five home runs. The Angels are scheduled to counter with Ryan Johnson, who is 1-3 with a 7.40 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 24.1 innings. Johnson has allowed 28 hits, recorded 18 strikeouts, walked nine batters, and given up six home runs. Suarez enters this matchup with the lower ERA, lower WHIP, more innings pitched, more strikeouts, and fewer home runs allowed.

Boston Looks to Keep Building Momentum

The Red Sox enter Sundayโ€™s game with a 38-48 overall record and a balanced 21-21 record on the road. Boston has won three of its last five games, including a 5-2 victory over the Angels in the series opener. Before that win, the Red Sox dropped consecutive games against Washington but had defeated both Washington and the Yankees earlier in the five-game stretch.

Boston is batting .244 with 342 runs, 701 hits, and 74 home runs. The Red Sox own a .311 on-base percentage and a .385 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has compiled a 3.79 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP, 256 walks, 730 strikeouts, and a .243 opponent batting average.

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Bostonโ€™s biggest strength is its pitching. The Red Sox hold the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and have allowed opponents to hit just .243. Those numbers, combined with the advantage on the mound in the scheduled starting matchup, give Boston a solid foundation entering this game.

Los Angeles Tries to End a Difficult Stretch

The Angels come into the matchup with a 36-53 overall record and a 21-23 mark at Angel Stadium. Los Angeles has lost four of its last five games, including the 5-2 defeat to Boston. Prior to that, the Angels suffered three straight losses to Seattle after earning a victory over the Athletics.

Los Angeles has posted a .238 team batting average with 393 runs, 713 hits, and 102 home runs. The Angels own a .315 on-base percentage and a .392 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they have recorded a 4.60 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP, 395 walks, 788 strikeouts, and a .237 opponent batting average.

The Angelsโ€™ biggest statistical advantage is their offense. Los Angeles has scored more runs, collected more hits, and hit significantly more home runs than Boston. If the Angels can take advantage of those offensive numbers, they have an opportunity to put pressure on the Red Sox despite the recent losing stretch.

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Pick

  • Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline

Boston is my selection based strictly on the information provided. The Red Sox own the higher matchup predictor percentage, have the stronger starting pitching matchup, and have already won the first game of the series. Boston also holds the advantage in team ERA and WHIP, giving the visitors the more balanced overall profile entering Sunday.

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8.5

I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Ranger Suarez enters with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP, while Bostonโ€™s pitching staff owns a 3.79 ERA. The series opener finished with only seven total runs, and I expect Bostonโ€™s pitching to once again play a major role in keeping the scoring under control.

Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox 5 โ€“ Los Angeles Angels 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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