Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Monday August 24, 2026

The Boston Red Sox travel to loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, to open a three-game series against the Miami Marlins on Monday, August 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with MLB.TV carrying the game. Boston enters the matchup at 70-59 overall and 37-27 on the road, while Miami sits at 66-64 overall with an impressive 40-25 record at home. Both clubs come in after winning their last two games, making this an intriguing opener between teams playing solid baseball. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more daily analysis can also check out our free MLB picks before making their wagers.

Starting Pitchers

Boston is expected to send Ranger Suarez to the mound for Monday's series opener. Suarez enters at 5-3 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP across 113.1 innings. He has allowed 101 hits while striking out 113 and walking 33, giving Boston a dependable starting option who has generally limited traffic and avoided excessive free passes. Miami had not announced its starter at the time of this preview, which creates some uncertainty when evaluating the pitching matchup. Until the Marlins settle on a starter, Boston has the clearer known advantage on the mound.

Boston Brings Strong Road Form Into Miami

Boston has positioned itself firmly in the American League playoff conversation at 70-59, and its 37-27 road record shows the club has been comfortable away from home. The Red Sox have also played well recently, winning four of their last five games. Their only loss during that stretch came in a 7-6 extra-inning defeat, while their victories included offensive performances of nine and 11 runs.

The overall numbers give Boston a balanced statistical profile. The Red Sox are batting .251 with a .324 on-base percentage and a .406 slugging percentage. They have scored 584 runs while collecting 1,083 hits and 132 home runs. On the pitching side, Boston owns a strong 3.51 team ERA and 1.22 WHIP while holding opponents to a .239 batting average.

That pitching profile is one of the biggest reasons Boston is attractive in this matchup. Miami has been excellent at home, but Boston has the better overall pitching numbers and brings a starter with a strong ERA and WHIP into the opener. The Red Sox also have enough offensive production to avoid putting excessive pressure on their pitching staff.

Miami Hopes Home Field Continues to Make a Difference

Miami enters Monday at 66-64 and has been far better at loanDepot park than away from it. The Marlins are 40-25 at home, which is one of the strongest arguments in their favor in this matchup. Miami has also won two straight games, beating Washington 3-2 and 4-2 after dropping three consecutive contests in Philadelphia.

The Marlins are batting .249 as a team with a .326 on-base percentage and a .402 slugging percentage. They have scored 567 runs with 1,075 hits and 133 home runs. Their offense is statistically close to Boston's in several categories, and Miami actually owns a slightly better on-base percentage.

Pitching has been a little less consistent. Miami carries a 3.92 team ERA and 1.25 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .232. Those are respectable numbers, but Boston owns the lower ERA and WHIP. The uncertainty surrounding Miami's starter also makes it harder to give the Marlins a clear pitching edge despite their excellent home record.

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction

Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline

Boston gets the nod in the opener because of the combination of its road record, recent form and known starting pitching advantage. The Red Sox are 37-27 away from home and have won four of their last five games, while their 3.51 team ERA is significantly stronger than Miami's 3.92 mark.

Miami's 40-25 home record deserves plenty of respect, and this is not a matchup where Boston should be considered an overwhelming favorite. Still, the Red Sox enter with more certainty on the mound and have produced slightly more runs this season. With Miami's starter still undecided, Boston is the more appealing side.

Pick: Under 8.5

Without an official total available, 8.5 is the number I would use as the betting threshold for this matchup. Boston owns a 3.51 team ERA and a 1.22 WHIP, while Miami has allowed opponents to hit only .232. The Marlins' last two games finished with six and five combined runs, and Boston is coming off a 3-2 victory.

The concern for an Under comes from the uncertainty surrounding Miami's starter, but the overall pitching profiles suggest this game has a reasonable chance to stay controlled. Boston's starter has a 3.41 ERA and has shown the ability to work deep enough into games without giving away too many free baserunners. If the market posts 8.5, the Under offers the better value.

This game preview was completed prior to game play on Monday.