Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 08/12/2026, 12:50 AM ET

The Boston Red Sox will face the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday night at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET, with MLB.TV providing coverage. Boston enters the matchup at 64-54 overall and an impressive 35-23 on the road, while Toronto is 57-63 overall and 29-31 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more baseball analysis can also check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Boston is expected to start Ranger Suarez, who enters at 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 103 innings. Suarez has allowed 91 hits and only six home runs while recording 108 strikeouts against 30 walks. Toronto is expected to counter with Jose Soriano, who comes in at 9-6 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through 127.2 innings. Soriano has allowed 101 hits and 12 home runs while striking out 130 and walking 60.

Red Sox Look to End Their Losing Streak

Boston enters Wednesday at 64-54 overall but has dropped three consecutive games. The Red Sox lost the series opener in Toronto 2-1 after back-to-back losses at home, although they had won their previous two games while scoring 25 combined runs. Boston is 2-3 across its last five completed games and continues to own an excellent 35-23 road record.

The Red Sox are batting .248 with 524 runs, 978 hits and 118 home runs this season. Boston owns a .320 on-base percentage and .401 slugging percentage. The offensive profile gives the Red Sox advantages over Toronto in batting average, runs, home runs, OBP and slugging percentage.

Boston has also been stronger on the mound over the full season. The Red Sox carry a 3.49 ERA and 1.22 WHIP while opponents are batting .239. That combination of pitching and offensive efficiency has helped Boston remain well above .500 despite its current three-game skid.

Blue Jays Try to Build on Home Victory

Toronto enters the matchup at 57-63 and has gone 3-2 across its last five completed games. The Blue Jays opened the series with a 2-1 victory over Boston and also picked up consecutive wins on the road before dropping an extra-inning game. Toronto has been close to even at Rogers Centre with a 29-31 home record.

The Blue Jays are batting .241 with 471 runs, 976 hits and 115 home runs while producing a .303 on-base percentage and .376 slugging percentage. Their overall offensive numbers trail Boston in most of the major categories provided.

Toronto enters with a 3.99 team ERA and 1.32 WHIP while opponents are batting .240. Those numbers are respectable, but Boston owns the stronger season-long pitching profile. The Blue Jays will need another efficient performance after holding the Red Sox to only one run in the series opener.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction

Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline

Toronto took the first game of the series, but Boston still has the stronger overall statistical profile. The Red Sox own the better record, a 35-23 road mark and advantages in both offensive production and season-long pitching numbers. The starting matchup is competitive, which makes Boston's stronger team-level numbers more important. Take the Red Sox on the moneyline.

Pick: Under 8.0

Both expected starters enter with ERAs in the low 3.00s, while Boston carries a 3.49 team ERA and Toronto sits at 3.99. The first completed game of the series produced only three runs, and neither starting matchup suggests an obvious reason for a major offensive explosion. Take the under if the total is set at 8.0.

This game was completed prior to play on Tuesday.

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