Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, September 24, 2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre, and we have you ready to go with the Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction.
Opening Pitch is slated for 7:07 PM Eastern as Boston looks to make a final playoff push. Read on for the Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction and more free MLB picks.
This article was written before Tuesday's action
Boston Eyes Postseason
Boston was unable to sweep the Rays as they dropped game three in a 3-7 final. The Red Sox finished with 10 his as three players logged multiple hits at the plate. However, Boston struck out 14 times in the contest. Romy Gonzalez added two hits, and he's now hitting just under .310 on the season. Connelly Early got the start, and over four innings, he struck out four and allowed two runs.
LHP Garrett Crochet is scheduled to start the upcoming game for the Red Sox. Through 31 starts, he holds a 17-5 record with a 2.69 ERA across 197.1 innings pitched. The lefty has struck out 249 batters while issuing only 46 walks. He's been red-hot of late, throwing nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four starts.
On the road this season, Crochet holds the following splits:
- ERA: 2.42
- Opponent Batting Average (OBA): .221
- BB/K Ratio: 0.20
Boston enters this contest averaging 5.15 runs per game, placing them 6th in the league. The Red Sox maintain a team batting average of .258, ranking 8th overall. At home, they have shown improved performance, with a batting average of .275. However, their offense has been less effective during daytime games, with a batting average of .255. The Red Sox average 1.2 home runs per game, which has been a great tailwind in their efforts to drive runners home. They have been effective with runners in scoring positions, contributing to their run production.
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Blue Jays Clinch Postseason Spot
Toronto avoided the sweep as they put up eight runs on 12 hits. Scoring all eight runs over three innings. The Blue Jays struck out just five times as five players logged multiple hits at the plate. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. finished with two hits and two RBIs. Trey Yesavage got the start, and over four innings, he struck out two and allowed four runs.
RHP Max Scherzer remains a veteran force in the Blue Jays' rotation this season. Despite turning 41 in July, Scherzer has delivered competitive outings, particularly when he's heaving at home. Through 16 starts, he has compiled a 5-4 record with a 5.06 ERA across 80 innings pitched, striking out 77 batters while walking 23. While his velocity has slightly dipped, Scherzer continues to generate swings and misses. That said, he's surrendered seven home runs across his last five starts.
At home in 2025:
- ERA: 4.40
- Opponent Batting Average (OBA): .250
- BB/K Ratio: 0.23
Toronto enters this contest averaging 3.77 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. The Blue Jays maintain a team batting average of .257, ranking 7th overall. On the road, they have shown consistent performance, with a batting average of .260. However, their offense has been less effective during night games, with a batting average of .255. The Blue Jays average 1.2 home runs per game. They have been effective with runners in scoring position, contributing to their run production. Toronto will aim to improve offensive consistency and capitalize on home performance, and try to clinch the AL East.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Pick
Money Line Prediction for Red Sox vs Blue Jays
- Boston ML (4 Units)
This contest features a Red Sox team looking to get hot after an uninspiring stretch of pitching performances. Boston's starting rotation has been one of the most consistent in baseball over the past few weeks, limiting hard contact and working deep into games. Crochet has also emerged as a strength, ranking near the top of the league in ERA and opponent batting average in high-leverage situations. Toronto has struggled at times to string together runs, and even with Scherzer throwing his best at home, he is still highly susceptible to the long ball. His drop in ball command remains a concern.
Boston ML
Total Prediction for Red Sox vs Blue Jays
- Under 9 (4 Units)
Crochet has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last seven starts and in all three of his previous road starts. Toronto has seen its offensive production dip of late, scoring just three runs over its last three games, before a strong showing on Sunday. The Blue Jays have also struggled to generate sustained rallies against left-handed pitching, which plays directly into the strength of Crochet. The Red Sox bats have been a little more tepid on the road this season, and with Toronto struggling to put runs on the board of late, the play is the under.
Under 9
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