Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles meet on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before making your selections.
Starting Pitchers Bring a Close Matchup to Camden Yards
Chicago is scheduled to start Matthew Boyd, while Baltimore is expected to counter with Shane Baz. Boyd enters with a 3-1 record, a 5.08 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, 33.2 innings pitched, 37 hits allowed, 37 strikeouts, 10 walks, and 4 home runs allowed. Baz comes in at 4-8 with a 4.19 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 101.0 innings pitched, 99 hits allowed, 87 strikeouts, 39 walks, and 9 home runs allowed. The provided pitching numbers show Baltimore with the lower ERA and WHIP from its listed starter, while Chicago’s starter has a winning record and has struck out more than one batter per inning.
Chicago Looks to Carry Its Offense on the Road
The Cubs enter this matchup with a 50-40 overall record and a 23-21 record away from home. Chicago has won three of its last five games, recently winning over St. Louis and San Diego twice, while recently losing to St. Louis twice during that same stretch. The Cubs have had a mix of close results and larger scoring swings, but their overall record puts them in a stronger position entering this matchup.
Chicago is batting .244 with 455 runs, 749 hits, 112 home runs, a .338 on-base percentage, and a .409 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Cubs have a 4.36 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, 279 walks, 705 strikeouts, and a .244 opponent batting average. Chicago is also 30-22 in night games.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
The key strength for Chicago is run production. The Cubs have scored 455 runs, which is higher than Baltimore’s total, and they also carry the better on-base percentage and slugging percentage into this game. Even though the pitching numbers are close overall, Chicago’s offense gives it a useful edge.
Baltimore Tries to Defend Its Home Field
The Orioles come in with a 42-49 overall record and a 24-23 mark at home. Baltimore has won three of its last five games, recently winning over Cincinnati twice and Chicago once, while recently losing to Cincinnati and Chicago during that span. The Orioles have been competitive lately, and their home record is slightly above even entering this matchup.
Baltimore is batting .238 with 416 runs, 721 hits, 104 home runs, a .319 on-base percentage, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 321 walks, 723 strikeouts, and a .253 opponent batting average. Baltimore is also 24-27 in night games.
Baltimore’s best statistical edge comes in strikeouts, where the Orioles have 723 compared with Chicago’s 705. However, the concern is that Baltimore trails Chicago in runs, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and WHIP. That creates a narrow path in a game the matchup predictor views as nearly even.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick
- Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Chicago is my pick because the Cubs have the better overall record, a winning road record, and stronger offensive numbers across runs, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The matchup predictor is almost even at 50.1% for Chicago and 49.9% for Baltimore, but the Cubs’ better season profile and stronger run production give them the slight edge. In a matchup this close, I’ll side with the team carrying the better overall numbers.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
I would take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Both teams have ERAs above 4.30, and Chicago has already scored 455 runs while Baltimore has scored 416. The Cubs also bring 112 home runs into the matchup, while the Orioles have 104. With both clubs showing enough power and neither team carrying a dominant staff profile in the provided numbers, I lean toward this game getting over the number.
Final Score Prediction: Chicago Cubs 6 – Baltimore Orioles 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
