Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 25 2026
Use Code SSWC The Chicago Cubs travel to face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Thursday, June 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers in Focus at Citi Field
Chicago is expected to start Matthew Boyd, who enters this matchup with a 2-1 record, a 6.00 ERA, and a 1.29 WHIP across 24.0 innings. He has allowed 25 hits while striking out 31 batters, walking six, and giving up two home runs. New York is scheduled to counter with Freddy Peralta, who owns a 5-6 record, a 4.83 ERA, and a 1.39 WHIP over 85.2 innings. He has allowed 85 hits while recording 83 strikeouts, issuing 34 walks, and surrendering 12 home runs. While neither starter enters with dominant overall numbers, Peralta has logged significantly more innings while Boyd has allowed fewer home runs.
Cubs Looking to Continue Their Recent Success
The Cubs enter Thursday's contest with a 41-37 overall record and an 18-20 mark on the road. Chicago has won three of its last five games, including a 9-6 victory over the Mets in the opening game of this series. The Cubs also recently defeated Toronto and Colorado while suffering losses to both Toronto and Colorado during their last five contests.
Chicago has been productive offensively this season, batting .244 with 375 runs scored, 647 hits, and 92 home runs. The Cubs own a .338 on-base percentage and a .403 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have posted a 4.30 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP while holding opponents to a .239 batting average. Chicago has also recorded 612 strikeouts and owns a 16-17 record in day games.
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The biggest strength for Chicago is its offensive consistency. The Cubs hold advantages in runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and home runs compared to New York. Those numbers have helped them maintain a winning record and create scoring opportunities throughout the season.
Mets Trying to Respond on Their Home Field
New York enters the matchup with a 34-44 overall record and an 18-19 record at home. The Mets have lost three of their last five games and are coming off a 9-6 defeat against Chicago. They also recently suffered back-to-back losses against Philadelphia before earning victories over Philadelphia and Cincinnati.
The Mets are batting .231 with 317 runs scored, 604 hits, and 84 home runs. They own a .298 on-base percentage and a .372 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has produced a 4.14 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .233 batting average. New York has accumulated 704 strikeouts and issued 280 walks. The club also owns a 16-17 record in day games.
The primary strength for New York is its ability to miss bats. The Mets have recorded 704 strikeouts this season, substantially more than Chicago. Their staff also owns a lower opponent batting average than the Cubs, helping keep games competitive despite offensive struggles.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline
Chicago enters this matchup with the better overall record, stronger offensive numbers, and a recent victory over New York in the opening game of the series. The Cubs have scored more runs, collected more hits, and posted stronger on-base and slugging percentages. Those advantages make Chicago the preferred side.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Take the over if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8.5 because both starting pitchers enter with ERAs above 4.80, and these teams combined for 15 runs in the previous meeting. Chicago's offense has been productive all season, and recent results suggest scoring opportunities could be available for both clubs.
Final Score Prediction: Chicago Cubs 6 – New York Mets 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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