Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 18, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 08/18/2026, 01:05 AM ET

The Chicago White Sox and Chicago Cubs meet Tuesday night at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois, with first pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. MLB.TV and TBS will provide coverage. The White Sox enter at 65-58 overall and 28-34 on the road, while the Cubs are 72-53 overall and 36-26 at home. The White Sox have won four of their last five, including three straight, while the Cubs are 2-3 over their last five and have dropped two consecutive games. ESPN's matchup predictor favors the Cubs at 61.5%. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Check out our free MLB picks for more baseball predictions and betting analysis.

Starting Pitchers

The White Sox had not announced their starting pitcher at the time of this preview. Kevin Gausman is scheduled to start for the Cubs and enters at 6-11 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 139 innings. The right-hander has allowed 139 hits and 17 home runs while striking out 138 and walking 38. With Chicago's starter still undecided, the pitching matchup cannot be evaluated as completely as usual.

White Sox Carry Strong Momentum Across Town

The White Sox enter Tuesday at 65-58 overall, although their 28-34 road record has been less impressive. Recent form has been excellent, with wins in four of their last five games. They swept their latest three-game set by scores of 9-5, 4-3, and 7-5 after previously beating Cincinnati 5-0.

Chicago is batting .240 with 594 runs, 993 hits, and 164 home runs. The White Sox have a .318 on-base percentage and .412 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.11 ERA and 1.29 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .238 batting average.

Power could be particularly important at Wrigley Field. The White Sox have hit five more home runs than the Cubs despite playing two fewer games, and their recent offense has been productive. Chicago has scored at least four runs in four straight games and has generated 28 runs over that stretch.

Cubs Look to Rebound at Wrigley Field

The Cubs enter at 72-53 overall and have been solid at Wrigley Field with a 36-26 home record. Their recent results have been uneven, however, with losses in three of their last five. The Cubs have dropped their last two games by scores of 8-4 and 11-4 after earning a 3-0 victory.

The Cubs are batting .248 with 645 runs, 1,065 hits, and 159 home runs. They own a strong .337 on-base percentage and .417 slugging percentage. Chicago's pitching staff has recorded a 4.16 ERA and 1.26 WHIP while opponents are batting .245.

The Cubs hold the stronger overall offensive profile, particularly in batting average, runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Their 51-run advantage over the White Sox is significant. The concern is recent run prevention, with the Cubs allowing 26 runs across their last three games.

Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs Picks and Prediction

Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline

The White Sox are the value side based on the information available. They enter on a three-game winning streak and have won four of five, while the Cubs have lost three of five. The season-long gap between these clubs is not enormous, either. The White Sox actually hold slight advantages in team ERA and opponent batting average while possessing more home-run power. With Gausman carrying a 4.53 ERA and the Cubs struggling to prevent runs recently, the White Sox are the preferred side.

Pick: Over 8.5

Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. The White Sox have scored 28 runs over their last four games, while the Cubs have surrendered 26 runs over their last three. Both teams have also hit at least 159 home runs this season, and neither pitching staff owns a team ERA below 4.00. With the White Sox starter still undecided and Gausman carrying a 4.53 ERA, Over 8.5 is the preferred total.

Disclaimer: This preview was completed before play on Monday.

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