Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions, Friday September 26, 2025

By: Nathan Smith Updated 09/26/2025, 11:26 AM ET
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The MLB season is all but over, and while many teams have been officially eliminated from contention, there's still plenty to play for, including in our Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals prediction.

The Chicago White Sox (58-101) were historically bad in 2024, and while they've not been as bad this season, this is a team that's still got a ways to go before they can be competitive in any fashion.

On Friday, they start their final series with the Washington Nationals (65-94), a team that had hoped to take a huge step forward in 2025, but unfortunately, they too have been highly disappointing. Read on to see our Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals prediction.

Expected pitching matchup: RHP Yoendrys Gomez vs. RHP Cade Cavalli.

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Can the White Sox get to 60 wins this season?

The Chicago White Sox have been one of the worst teams in baseball for several years now, and with a dreadful 25-53 record away from home this season, they're well on their way to yet another historically bad campaign. Given their record, it's no surprise that the White Sox rank 28th in total runs this season, and with a team ERA of 4.25, not enough to keep them competitive, as they've got a long road ahead before turning things around.

Taking the mound for Chicago in this one will be 25-year-old Yoendrys Gomez, who has put together a solid 4.46 ERA across 11 appearances this season, with the talented young righty striking out a solid 42 hitters in 42.1 innings of work this season. Last time out for the White Sox was a tough loss to the New York Yankees, with two RBI to Michael Taylor not enough to get the job done as Davis Martin gave up three runs over 4.1 innings of work, with the team ultimately falling 5-3.

Can Washington end a disappointing year on a high?

The Washington Nationals are a team full of young, up-and-coming talent, but without the depth of stars needed to compete, they're set to finish the 2025 campaign in last place in the National League East standings. Despite a solid start, the Nationals' pitching struggled down the stretch as they now rank 29th in baseball in team ERA with a 5.32 mark, and while the offense is better, ranking 20th in the league in total runs scored, the immediate future doesn't look too bright.

In this one, Washington turns to second-year righty Cade Cavalli, who has produced a 4.23 ERA across nine starts in his second season, as he has struggled to stop giving up hits, allowing 50 across 44.2 innings this year. Last time out for the Nationals was a tight win over the Atlanta Braves, with two home runs to James Wood leading the way as Andrew Alvarez tossed 4.1 innings of shutout ball, as they came away winners 4-3.

Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals pick

Money line pick for White Sox vs. Nationals

  • Washington -130 (4 units)

Neither of these teams has been stellar thus far in 2025, but in their last 10 head-to-head matchups dating back to the 2019 campaign, it's the Washington Nationals that hold a tight 6-4 edge over the Chicago White Sox.

In their last five games played in Washington, it's the Nationals that hold a 4-1 edge, and with the White Sox having the worst road record in baseball this season, expect Washington to pick up a massive victory to start their final series of the season.

Over/Under pick for White Sox vs. Nationals

  • Over 8 (4 units)

Neither of these teams has thrived offensively this season, but with both teams having combined ERAs over 4.30 this season and the over being 6-4 in their last 10 head-to-head encounters, expect plenty of runs in this one.

For the White Sox, the over sits at 5-5 in their last 10 overall games, with just under five runs allowed per game during that span, and for the Nationals, the over comes in at 5-5 in their past 10, with 34 runs allowed during their recent six-game road trip.

Keep it simple, take the over.

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