Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025
In our Reds vs. Athletics prediction, the Cincinnati Reds are third in the NL Central with a 74-72 record so far. They are having young right-hander Hunter Greene get the start as he is coming off a win over the New York Mets, where he pitched seven innings and allowed one run on one hit with two walks and 12 strikeouts.
The Athletics are struggling as they are sitting in fifth place in the AL West with a 67-80 record entering this game. Right-hander Luis Severino takes the mound and is coming off a no-decision against the Los Angeles Angels and throwing five innings and giving up three runs on four hits with three hit by pitches, one walk, and seven strikeouts.
Cover the diamond — MLB picks for Cincinnati Reds vs Sacramento Athletics in a fast read.
WRITTEN BEFORE FRIDAY’S GAME
Reds Looking to Stay in NL Wild Card Race
The Cincinnati Reds are hitting at a respectable level this season as the team is tied with the Baltimore Orioles for 18th in the sport with a .707 team OPS while averaging 4.3 runs per game. Cincinnati has been doing a good job in terms of drawing walks as they have 477 so far, which is 12th in MLB. Shortstop Elly De La Cruz has been hitting well as he has a .774 OPS with 19 home runs, 82 RBI, 97 runs scored, and 34 steals while being caught seven times.
Hunter Greene has been dominant according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 93rd percentile in strikeout percentage, 91st percentile in walk percentage, 90th percentile in whiff percentage, and 90th percentile in chase percentage. He has a four-pitch arsenal (fastball, slider, splitter, curveball) and his slider has been his best pitch as hitters have a .168 batting average and a .387 slugging percentage with six home runs and 50 strikeouts against it. Greene faced the Athletics once in 2023 and did not factor into the decision as he pitched five innings and allowed a pair of unearned runs on five hits with a hit by pitch, three walks, and 10 strikeouts.
Injury Report for Cincinnati
- Pitcher Ian Gibaut: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Wade Miley: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Rhett Lowder: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Carson Spiers: Shoulder (OUT)
- Left fielder Tyler Callihan: Forearm (OUT)
- Pitcher Brandon Williamson: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Julian Aguiar: Elbow (OUT)
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Athletics Looking to Swing Well
The Athletics are doing an outstanding job at the plate as they are seventh in the bigs with a .754 team OPS while scoring 4.58 runs per game. The team has been hitting for an incredible amount of power as they are fifth with 201 total home runs hit. Catcher Shea Langeliers has been leading the way at the plate as he has a .266/.314/.536 slash line with 30 homers, 68 RBI, 65 runs scored, and six steals on seven tries.
Luis Severino is pitching poorly this season when diving into his Baseball Savant page, as he is in the sixth percentile in whiff percentage, 14th percentile in xBA, 16th percentile in strikeout percentage, and 21st percentile in xERA. He has six different pitches (fastball, sweeper, sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) and his sweeper has been his best pitch as hitters have a .199 batting average and .340 slugging percentage with five home runs and 45 strikeouts. Severino faced the Reds twice last season as a member of the New York Mets as he went 0-0 in 11.2 innings and allowed three runs (two earned) on eight hits with four walks and 15 strikeouts.
Injury Report for Athletics
- Pitcher Ben Bowden: Lat (OUT)
- Pitcher Joey Estes: Back (OUT)
- Pitcher Jacob Lopez: Flexor (OUT)
- Pitcher Jack Perkins: Shoulder (OUT)
- Catcher Austin Wynns: Abdomen (OUT)
- Pitcher Jose Leclerc: Shoulder (OUT)
- Center fielder Denzel Clarke: Abductor (OUT)
- Third baseman Max Muncy: Hand (OUT)
- Pitcher Grant Holman: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Gunnar Hoglund: Hip (OUT)
- Pitcher Luis Medina: Elbow (OUT)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Athletics Pick
Spread Pick for Cincinnati Reds vs. Athletics
- Cincinnati Reds ML (5 units)
There is a significant gap when diving into the road/home splits for these starting pitchers. Hunter Greene is 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA and a .262 batting average against in 37.0 innings (seven road starts), while Luis Severino is 1-9 with a 6.34 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in 71.0 innings (13 home starts) up to this point. These bullpens are on different levels throughout the year as Cincinnati is 15th with a 4.06 reliever ERA, while the Athletics are 26th in the majors with a 4.74 bullpen ERA thus far. The Reds are 4-3 against the Athletics in their previous seven games, so take the Cincinnati Reds to secure a victory.
Over/Under Pick for Cincinnati Reds vs. Athletics
- UNDER (4 units)
Each pitcher has made two starts in September thus far and are stepping up as Hunter Greene is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA and a .133 opposing batting average in 13.1 innings, while Luis Severino is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP in 10.0 innings. Neither team is dominating with runners in scoring position this season, as the Reds are tied with the Baltimore Orioles for 19th with a .733 team OPS in those at-bats while the Athletics are tied with the Boston Red Sox for 13th with a .760 team OPS with runners in scoring position. All in all, go with the UNDER in this game as the better bet.
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