Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 17, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/17/2026, 01:15 AM ET
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The Cincinnati Reds visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado, on Friday, July 17, 2026, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. The game will be televised on MLB.TV. Cincinnati enters the series opener at 43-52 overall and 21-24 on the road, while Colorado is 39-59 overall and 22-25 at home. ESPN Analytics gives the Reds a 51.4% chance to win and the Rockies a 48.6% chance. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB Picks⁠.

Starting Pitchers for Reds vs Rockies

Brady Singer is scheduled to start for Cincinnati, while Colorado has not settled on its starting pitcher. Singer enters the matchup with a 3-9 record, 4.72 ERA, and 1.47 WHIP through 89.2 innings. He has allowed 101 hits, 31 walks, and 20 home runs while recording 76 strikeouts. Those supplied numbers provide Cincinnati’s established starting profile for the series opener.

Cincinnati Seeks More Consistency Away From Home

Cincinnati enters Friday’s game with a 43-52 overall record and a 21-24 mark on the road. The Reds have won two of their last five games, recently defeating the Chicago Cubs 4-0 and earning an 11-5 victory over Philadelphia. Cincinnati recently lost 8-4 and 5-3 to Chicago and suffered a 1-0 defeat against Philadelphia. The Reds have alternated between strong offensive performances and games in which they struggled to score.

The Reds are batting .230 with 731 hits, 395 runs, and 119 home runs. They have produced a .310 on-base percentage and a .393 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff owns a 4.52 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, with 424 walks and 768 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .247 against the Reds, who have compiled a 20-19 record in day games.

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Cincinnati’s most important advantage is its pitching comparison with Colorado. The Reds have the lower team ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average. Cincinnati has also recorded 79 more strikeouts. Its 119 home runs are nine more than Colorado’s total, providing another measurable advantage. The primary concern is an offense that trails the Rockies in batting average, runs, hits, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Colorado Hopes Its Offense Can Deliver at Home

Colorado enters the matchup with a 39-59 overall record and a 22-25 mark at home. The Rockies have won only once in their last five games, recently defeating San Francisco 4-3. Colorado recently lost to the Giants by scores of 3-1, 4-2, and 8-2, while also falling 4-3 to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Three of the Rockies’ four recent losses were decided by two runs or fewer.

The Rockies are batting .255 with 847 hits, 466 runs, and 110 home runs. Colorado has posted a .326 on-base percentage and a .419 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff carries a 5.44 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, with 324 walks and 689 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .286 against the Rockies, who have produced an 11-20 record in day games.

Colorado’s biggest strength is its offensive production. The Rockies hold advantages over Cincinnati in batting average, hits, runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Colorado has accumulated 116 more hits and scored 71 more runs. However, the pitching numbers present a major weakness. The Rockies have the higher ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average, and their staff has recorded fewer strikeouts than Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Pick

  • Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline

Cincinnati is my moneyline selection. The Reds own the better overall record, have the slightly better road record compared with Colorado’s home mark, and hold a 51.4% matchup predictor probability. Cincinnati also has substantial advantages in team ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. Colorado’s offense has produced stronger season totals, but the Rockies have lost four of their last five games. The Reds’ pitching advantage and narrow edge in the matchup predictor provide enough support for the road team.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Total Pick

  • Take the over if the total is set at 10.5.

I would take the over at 10.5. Colorado carries a 5.44 team ERA and 1.52 WHIP, while opponents are batting .286 against its pitching staff. Cincinnati also has a 4.52 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, and its scheduled starter has allowed 20 home runs through 89.2 innings. The Reds recently participated in games that produced 12, eight, and 16 combined runs, while Colorado has scored 71 more total runs than Cincinnati. Those supplied figures support the potential for a higher-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati Reds 7 – Colorado Rockies 6

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