Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Monday June 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/29/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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The Cincinnati Reds travel to American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, to face the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday, June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before placing any wagers.

Starting Pitchers Take the Mound

Nick Lodolo is scheduled to start for Cincinnati. He enters Monday’s game with a 2-2 record, a 5.59 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, 46.2 innings pitched, 53 hits allowed, 38 strikeouts, 18 walks, and 8 home runs surrendered. Milwaukee will hand the ball to Robert Gasser, who is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, 30.0 innings pitched, 26 hits allowed, 31 strikeouts, 12 walks, and 6 home runs allowed. Based on the provided statistics, Gasser owns the better ERA and WHIP entering this divisional matchup.

Cincinnati Tries to Build on Its Weekend Success

The Reds enter this game with a 39-42 overall record and a 20-20 mark on the road. Cincinnati has recently won back-to-back games against Pittsburgh after previously dropping three straight contests to Milwaukee. Those recent victories helped the Reds bounce back after struggling against the Brewers earlier in the week.

Cincinnati is batting .227 with 346 runs, 617 hits, 100 home runs, a .310 on-base percentage, and a .390 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Reds have posted a 4.51 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .249. The staff has also accumulated 652 strikeouts and issued 361 walks. Cincinnati is 18-17 in day games.

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One area that stands out for Cincinnati is its power production. The Reds have hit 100 home runs, giving them a significant advantage over Milwaukee in that category. However, they also carry the lower batting average and higher WHIP into this contest.

Milwaukee Continues Its Strong Season at Home

The Brewers bring a 50-30 overall record and a 26-16 home record into Monday night’s matchup. Milwaukee recently lost to the Cubs after earning a victory over Chicago, and before that the Brewers swept a three-game series against Cincinnati. Overall, Milwaukee has won three of its last five games and continues to hold one of the better records among the teams in action.

Milwaukee owns a .253 team batting average with 415 runs, 687 hits, 73 home runs, a .337 on-base percentage, and a .393 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has produced a 3.42 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, 271 walks, 788 strikeouts, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Brewers are also 19-11 in day games.

Milwaukee’s biggest strength is its overall balance. The Brewers lead Cincinnati in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. Those numbers have been a major reason for their success throughout the season.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick

  • Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee is my choice in this matchup. The Brewers own the better overall record, the stronger home record, and the better team statistics in nearly every major category. Robert Gasser also enters with the better ERA and WHIP compared to Nick Lodolo. While Cincinnati has the edge in home runs and enters after winning two straight games, Milwaukee’s complete statistical profile makes the Brewers the stronger side.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8.5

I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been outstanding this season with a 3.42 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. Cincinnati has struggled to hit consistently with a .227 batting average, and although the Reds have displayed power, I expect Milwaukee’s pitching to help keep scoring under control.

Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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