Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday July 1 2026

The Cincinnati Reds travel to American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, to face the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, with television coverage on ESPN and MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Andrew Abbott is scheduled to start for Cincinnati. He enters this matchup with a 5-4 record, a 3.90 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and 90.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 87 hits, struck out 70 batters, walked 40, and surrendered 15 home runs. Shane Drohan gets the start for Milwaukee with a 3-2 record, a 3.12 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and 52.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 47 hits, struck out 52 batters, walked 17, and given up four home runs.

Cincinnati Attempts to Even the Series

The Reds enter this contest with a 39-44 overall record and a 20-22 road record. Cincinnati recently lost to Milwaukee 5-3 after splitting a three-game stretch against Pittsburgh. The Reds dropped a 9-4 decision after earning back-to-back victories by scores of 9-7 and 6-4. Prior to that, Cincinnati lost a 6-5 game against Milwaukee. The Reds have gone 2-3 over their last five games.

Cincinnati owns a .228 batting average with 353 runs, 634 hits, and 101 home runs. The Reds have produced a .310 on-base percentage and a .389 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.59 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP while holding opponents to a .249 batting average. Cincinnati is also 21-26 in night games.

The biggest strength for Cincinnati is its home run production. The Reds have hit 101 home runs, giving them the edge over Milwaukee in that category. The challenge has been limiting opposing offenses, as Cincinnati carries the higher ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average into this matchup.

Milwaukee Looks to Extend Its Division Lead

The Brewers come into Wednesday’s game with a 51-31 overall record and an impressive 27-17 record at home. Milwaukee recently defeated Cincinnati 5-3 after losing back-to-back games to the Cubs by scores of 4-3 in 10 innings and 8-2. Before those defeats, the Brewers earned a 6-2 victory over the Cubs and a 6-5 win over Cincinnati. Milwaukee has gone 3-2 over its last five games.

Milwaukee enters the contest batting .253 with 423 runs, 704 hits, and 76 home runs. The Brewers own a .337 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 3.40 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .219 batting average. Milwaukee is 32-19 in night games.

Milwaukee’s biggest advantage is the consistency of its pitching staff. The Brewers have the better ERA, WHIP, strikeout total, and opponent batting average compared to Cincinnati. Combined with stronger offensive production in batting average, runs, hits, and on-base percentage, Milwaukee enters with the more balanced statistical profile.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick

• Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

I’ll back Milwaukee in this matchup. The Brewers have the better overall record, the stronger home record, and they recently defeated Cincinnati 5-3. Milwaukee also holds advantages in several important team categories, including batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers make the Brewers the stronger choice based on the provided information.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick

• Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Milwaukee owns a strong 3.40 team ERA and a .219 opponent batting average, while Shane Drohan enters with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Cincinnati has hit plenty of home runs this season, but the Brewers’ pitching profile gives me confidence this game stays below the number.

Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.