Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Friday June 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/19/2026, 12:10 AM ET
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The Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees are set to meet at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, on Friday, June 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. The Yankees enter the contest with a strong 45-27 record, while the Reds come in at 35-38. ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives New York a significant advantage at 78.2% compared to 21.8% for Cincinnati. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Set for Friday Night

Cincinnati is expected to turn to Rhett Lowder for the start. He enters the game with a 3-3 record, a 4.60 ERA, and a 1.43 WHIP over 47.0 innings. He has allowed 42 hits, struck out 37 batters, walked 25, and surrendered three home runs. New York is expected to counter with Cam Schlittler, who has been outstanding this season. Schlittler owns a 7-3 record with a 1.82 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP across 89.0 innings. He has allowed 63 hits, recorded 96 strikeouts, walked only 18 batters, and given up five home runs.

Cincinnati Looking to Pull an Upset

The Reds enter Friday's matchup with a 35-38 overall record and a 16-19 mark on the road. Cincinnati has won three of its last five games, recently winning over New York by scores of 5-3 and 12-0 while also earning a 2-1 victory over Arizona. The Reds recently lost to New York by a 9-1 score and also dropped a 5-3 decision against Arizona during that stretch.

Cincinnati has produced a .228 batting average while scoring 311 runs and collecting 558 hits. The club has hit 94 home runs and posted a .312 on-base percentage along with a .395 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Reds own a 4.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .251. Their pitching staff has issued 333 walks and recorded 573 strikeouts.

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One concern for Cincinnati has been run prevention. The Reds carry a 4.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP, both of which are higher than New York's numbers entering this matchup. The combination of walks and opponent success at the plate has made it difficult for the club to consistently shut down opposing offenses.

Yankees Continue Their Strong Season

New York enters this game with a 45-27 overall record and an excellent 21-12 record at home. The Yankees have won four of their last five games, recently winning over Chicago by scores of 10-5 and 12-2 while also taking two of three from Toronto with victories of 8-3 and 3-1. Their only loss during the last five games came in an 8-5 decision against Toronto.

The Yankees have been productive on both sides of the ball this season. They own a .246 batting average with 380 runs scored, 591 hits, and 109 home runs. New York also carries a .333 on-base percentage and a .442 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has posted a 3.32 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .224 batting average. The Yankees have struck out 620 batters and walked 224.

The biggest advantage for New York is its overall balance. The Yankees have scored more runs, hit more home runs, own a lower ERA, a lower WHIP, and hold opponents to a lower batting average than Cincinnati. Those numbers help explain why they have one of the best records in this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

The Yankees have the stronger overall record, the better home record, and a commanding edge in the matchup predictor. They also own advantages in scoring, power production, and pitching statistics. Combined with the excellent numbers from their starting pitcher, New York appears to be in a favorable position entering Friday night's game.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8

I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8. Cincinnati's pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP, while New York has scored 380 runs and hit 109 home runs this season. With one of the league's more productive offenses involved, there is a reasonable path toward a higher-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 6 – Cincinnati Reds 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.

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