Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 20 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/20/2026, 12:35 AM ET
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The Cincinnati Reds travel to Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York, to take on the New York Yankees on Saturday, June 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. The Yankees enter the matchup as the favorite according to ESPN Analytics, which gives New York a 65.0 percent chance to win compared to Cincinnati's 35.0 percent. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Ready for Saturday Showdown

The Reds are expected to hand the ball to Andrew Abbott, while the Yankees are scheduled to counter with Will Warren. Abbott enters the contest with a 4-4 record, a 3.95 ERA, and a 1.41 WHIP over 79.2 innings. He has allowed 76 hits, struck out 58 batters, walked 36, and surrendered 11 home runs. Warren has been excellent for New York, posting a 7-1 record with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP across 72.2 innings. He has given up 70 hits, recorded 76 strikeouts, issued 24 walks, and allowed seven home runs.

Cincinnati Searching for Consistency on the Road

Cincinnati enters this matchup with a 35-38 overall record and a 16-19 mark away from home. The Reds have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently winning over the Mets twice and Arizona once while recently losing to the Mets and Diamondbacks. Cincinnati has shown flashes of strong play, but the club has struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season.

The Reds are batting .228 as a team with 311 runs scored, 558 hits, and 94 home runs. Cincinnati also owns a .312 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Reds carry a 4.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .251 against them. Cincinnati has also recorded 333 walks and 573 strikeouts and owns a 15-17 record in day games.

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One concern for Cincinnati is run prevention. The Reds have the highest ERA and WHIP in this matchup, and opponents are batting .251 against their pitching staff. While Cincinnati has displayed respectable power with 94 home runs, keeping New York's offense in check could prove challenging.

New York Bringing Strong Form Into the Bronx

New York comes into Saturday's contest with a 45-28 overall record and an impressive 21-13 home record. The Yankees have won four of their last five games, recently winning over Chicago twice and Toronto twice while recently losing once to Chicago. New York has consistently found ways to win and enters this matchup playing quality baseball.

The Yankees have posted a .246 team batting average with 381 runs scored, 597 hits, and 110 home runs. They also carry a .332 on-base percentage and a .442 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, New York owns a strong 3.35 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .224 batting average. The Yankees have struck out 631 batters while issuing only 225 walks and are 17-9 in day games.

New York's biggest strength has been its balance. The Yankees hold advantages in batting average, runs scored, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers illustrate why New York has been among the stronger teams in baseball this season.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Pick

  • Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

New York enters this matchup with the better overall record, the stronger home record, and a sizable edge in ESPN's matchup predictor. The Yankees also hold clear statistical advantages on both offense and pitching. With New York winning four of its last five games and receiving strong production throughout the lineup and pitching staff, the Yankees are the preferred side.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. New York owns a strong 3.35 team ERA and a .224 opponent batting average, while Will Warren has posted a 3.47 ERA this season. Although both offenses have power, the Yankees' pitching numbers suggest runs could be somewhat limited.

Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.

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